Cashtown_Coop Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Dr No. No Tuck. Euro lead the way with this storm and that’s hard to dismiss. I want to hand the storm over to short range models and take a blend but it’s hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Euro lead the way with this storm and that’s hard to dismiss. I want to hand the storm over to short range models and take a blend but it’s hard Miller B fun. Not sure we could trust anything 48 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Miller B fun. Not sure we could trust anything 48 hours out. Amazing that some of these models have 17, 18 inches over my house and the Euro has 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Euro is favoring the outcome many storms have taken this year. Sheared out mess.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 13 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Euro is favoring the outcome many storms have taken this year. Sheared out mess. . and that coupled w/ typical miller B screwjobs, is why I dislike them, and why I've set 6-10 as my goal, as the path to victory is often a convoluted mess. Just not clean n easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Disappointing the Euro took off to the south on us. Appears it puts most of Pa. at 2-3" GFS, Nam, CMC further north leaving the Euro currently as the outlier. Who said NEVER TRUST A MILLER B? Still a couple days of wiggle time. Thanks to everyone contributing!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 You have to trust the Euro. It is showing the seasonal trend Boxing Day cones to mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 If the Euro was the only model showing a snowstorm, it would cave to the rest. When it's the only model not showing a snowstorm, all other guidance moves towards it. Uncanny... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 13 minutes ago, canderson said: You have to trust the Euro. It is showing the seasonal trend Boxing Day cones to mind. I don't think this setup is anything like Boxing Day... ...other than perhaps the final result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 58 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Euro is favoring the outcome many storms have taken this year. Sheared out mess. . I read one met's opinion this morning that he believes the Euro is out to lunch with how it's handling the energy and it will correct itself and end up hitting us. Next met came along and said exactly what you did - the Euro is simply handling/responding to the pattern...shred and weaken, shred and weaken... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: If the Euro was the only model showing a snowstorm, it would cave to the rest. When it's the only model not showing a snowstorm, all other guidance moves towards it. Uncanny... My thoughts are the Euro being on it own is a red flag. But it will be interesting to see the final outcome. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 So we get back into the groove from the EURO: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 I'll take the 12z NAM run every day, all day. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, canderson said: I'll take the 12z NAM run every day, all day. Amen. And Awoman. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, Atomixwx said: Amen. And Awoman. Yes for sure it is not the run where the backend over delivers but it is a good thump. At 84 the Primary is still delivering the goods out in Ohio. The NAM followed somewhat of the EURO so we have to watch the coastal it is no longer tucked in as it seems more progressive and goes east. Miller B's are so much fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 If the Euro moves anywhere today it needs to move west. Nam run looks pretty good! Thanks for posting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 hour ago, canderson said: You have to trust the Euro. It is showing the seasonal trend Boxing Day cones to mind. Oh, that one was bad. Allentown had more than a foot if I recall, and I used a wisk broom to sweep off my sidewalk. That was worse than the times Atlantic City got a blizzard and I got flurries in ABE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, Voyager said: Oh, that one was bad. Allentown had more than a foot if I recall, and I used a wisk broom to sweep off my sidewalk. That was worse than the times Atlantic City got a blizzard and I got flurries in ABE. We got the day off and iirc it didn't even rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, canderson said: We got the day off and iirc it didn't even rain. Yup been there, done that. Don't want the t-shirt...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 I’ll just take the 12Z Icon and ignore the rest of the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, GrandmasterB said: I’ll just take the 12Z Icon and ignore the rest of the models HAHA was just going to post this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, GrandmasterB said: I’ll just take the 12Z Icon and ignore the rest of the models It’s actually a tick Nwest from it’s previous run. Too bad it sucks. Onto the GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 12z: NAM: Hope for the front thump ICON: We hug tight and don't let go RGEM: South of 6z, little above the M/D line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, GrandmasterB said: It’s actually a tick Nwest from it’s previous run. Too bad it sucks. Onto the GFS! Just now, Itstrainingtime said: 12z: NAM: Hope for the front thump ICON: We hug tight and don't let go RGEM: South of 6z, little above the M/D line Im gonna say that the 12z Nam was an improvement. Tightened up a bit, but I can see room for it to go boom..a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: It’s actually a tick Nwest from it’s previous run. Too bad it sucks. Onto the GFS! The ICON has to be right at least every now and again. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 As I eagerly await the GFS to refresh and rapidly toggle the previous runs...wondering if this is borderline unhealthy for frozen liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 9 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 12z: NAM: Hope for the front thump ICON: We hug tight and don't let go RGEM: South of 6z, little above the M/D line I think we should feel the most confident of a good front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Biggest GFS run of all time coming up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 I have a feeling this is going to be the worst model run in the history of model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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