paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Agreed. Looks good to me. About to get nam’d I think so. I would have liked to see more of the front end thump but it will change at 0z anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, paweather said: I think so. I would have liked to see more of the front end thump but it will change at 0z anyways. Yeah it’s at range but with the stacked low look it would crawl north and dump 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Yeah it’s at range but with the stacked low look it would crawl north and dump Yep, it would be dumping.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 NAM's tighter with the precip shield but generally looks like the Euro with positioning of features. High a bit stronger on the NAM. Not really much to gather from it at this point, it's still just getting the coastal started at 84 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Germans say dig! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Any guesses on the incoming GFS? Caves more to the euro? North south ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, daxx said: Germans say dig! We talking Bastogne foxholes or Somme trenches? Big difference. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, daxx said: Germans say dig! It sits on @Wmsptwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, daxx said: Germans say dig! still snowing after 120. LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 NWS starting to Hype it up. .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Cold air will be with us into the weekend. Low temps will be in the single digits to near 0 in the northern tier both Sat and Sun morning, especially if the boundary layer decouples and winds go calm. If winds to not decrease, it will still feel cold with wind chills likely below 0 across the northern tier. The next system to watch will come in on Sunday, likely beginning as all snow CWA-wide. The first batch of precip would be associated with WAA and isentropic ascent as moisture is advected toward a 1032mb high over northeastern North America. Models do diverge a bit on how quickly a secondary low will develop, and how close that low will be to the coastline. The strength and placement of fgen/deformation bands on the NW side of this developing low will depend largely on the secondary low track and intensity. Nevertheless, model guidance has come into better agreement with a winter storm dropping plowable snow across much of central PA. NBM probabilistic snow guidance is showing a 50% chance of 8+ inches of snow over a 36-48 period, with a local maximum over south central PA. Wintry mix may move into the southern tier, limiting snow totals across the southeast as warmer air and/or a dry slot moves in aloft. We will continue to ramp up messaging for this storm as long as models continue to trend toward a significant storm. The storm is still several days out and beyond hour 84 so we do not yet have QPF grids or an official snow map through the duration of the storm. Continue to monitor for updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Cashtown. Don't get the MA Forum all wound up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Models targeting area between Carlisle to State College as a jackpot. I’m in the right thread this time 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: Cashtown. Don't get the MA Forum all wound up. Too many windows on my phone open. I wasn’t trying to stir the bees nest. I was chased out quick lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Models targeting area between Carlisle to State College as a jackpot. I’m in the right thread this time That was classic as soon as I read your post, I knew someone was ready to shoot it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Too many windows on my phone open. I wasn’t trying to stir the bees nest. Its all good loved it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 You got the VA people scared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, paweather said: That was classic as soon as I read your post, I knew someone was ready to shoot it down. I tried to delete post but I wouldn’t let me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 @Bubbler86 thanks for smoothing things over for me. You da man man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: I tried to delete post but I wouldn’t let me Again, all good Bubbler came to your defense as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: @Bubbler86 thanks for smoothing things over for me. You da man man. LOL, if that bee's nest gets stirred I am not sure anything can stop it. They have been hanging PSU in effigy for sayi8ng the word suppression one too many times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, paweather said: You got the VA people scared. Snow is serious business! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I'd be real damn excited if I were any of you living from I-80 to the PA line 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: I'd be real damn excited if I were any of you living from I-80 to the PA line That’s what I was trying to say lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: I'd be real damn excited if I were any of you living from I-80 to the PA line Thanks MillVille. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: That’s what I was trying to say lol. That was a pretty funny, unintentional post in the MA sub. I see this being a big storm that'll make many happy in both sub-forums. Wish I was back east for it! I'll be popping in occasion to check in. Got a nice 4 day weekend after a string of mid shifts. Let the good times roll 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 not sure the GFS is going to join any south trend this run. Slightly north low compared to 12Z and slightly higher heights in front at 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: That was a pretty funny, unintentional post in the MA sub. I see this being a big storm that'll make many happy in both sub-forums. Wish I was back east for it! I'll be popping in occasion to check in. Got a nice 4 day weekend after a string of mid shifts. Let the good times roll Yes feel free to leave some of your expertise north of the Mason Dixon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Thanks MillVille. No problem! Someone in here is gonna get nuked. Question is who? Still a bit more to answer, but I love an area like true south-central PA for this one. Harrisburg/York/Gettysburg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Yes feel free to leave some of your expertise north of the Mason Dixon I will do my best! I'll be giving my two cents often in the MA sub, but I'll pop in for thoughts for y'all as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: I will do my best! I'll be giving my two cents often in the MA sub, but I'll pop in for thoughts for y'all as well. How much are you hating Midland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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