WmsptWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, canderson said: What's that jackpot over Ohio? What's going on out west? That's just residual cocaine blowover from the winds as they pass Columbus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Atomixwx said: That's just residual cocaine blowover from the winds as they pass Columbus. hahahahah Columbus is actually a great city. The rest of that state is trash, but Columbus is nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, canderson said: What's that jackpot over Ohio? What's going on out west? Watch the primary and how the qpf is being thrown at KPIT then as coastal takes over it throws love back to them once again (although most of their action is front end - and w/ primary far enough south it doesnt erode precious thermals. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, canderson said: What's that jackpot over Ohio? What's going on out west? It's the primary low. I've been saying over and over (and over) for the last couple days.. that low has to track close enough to put the precip shield over PA and transfer to pivot it over PA. The Euro had been ducking it and popping the coastal, narrowing the heavy snow swath. It's starting to finally put the precip shield from the primary solidly into PA like the GFS has been doing while transferring in time to keep things mostly snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: Watch the primary and how the qpf is being thrown at KPIT then as coastal takes over it throws love back to them once again (although most of their action is front end. That sounds great to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said: It's the primary low. I've been saying over and over (and over) for the last couple days.. that low has to track close enough to put the precip shield over PA and transfer to pivot it over PA. The Euro had been ducking it and popping the coastal, narrowing the heavy snow swath. It's starting to finally put the precip shield from the primary solidly into PA like the GFS has been doing while transferring in time to keep things mostly snow. lol...you've been a great mentor to learn from. Were a lucky bunch. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, MAG5035 said: It's the primary low. I've been saying over and over (and over) for the last couple days.. that low has to track close enough to put the precip shield over PA and transfer to pivot it over PA. The Euro had been ducking it and popping the coastal, narrowing the heavy snow swath. It's starting to finally put the precip shield from the primary solidly into PA like the GFS has been doing while transferring in time to keep things mostly snow. I'm surprised it gets that much moisture so far west. That's awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said: It's the primary low. I've been saying over and over (and over) for the last couple days.. that low has to track close enough to put the precip shield over PA and transfer to pivot it over PA. The Euro had been ducking it and popping the coastal, narrowing the heavy snow swath. It's starting to finally put the precip shield from the primary solidly into PA like the GFS has been doing while transferring in time to keep things mostly snow. As always love your analysis. Seems KPITT best chance at a foot is mainly the primary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, canderson said: hahahahah Columbus is actually a great city. The rest of that state is trash, but Columbus is nice! Okay, I'll rephrase: Chillicothe. The blow lives in Chillicothe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, canderson said: I'm surprised it gets that much moisture so far west. That's awesome! TBH its probably 70/30 primary/secondary for western locals. Mag can check me on that but parcing over panels...thats what i saw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: TBH its probably 70/30 primary/secondary for western locals. Mag can check me on that but parcing over panels...thats what i saw. Yup, the primary. Didn't realize it'd get them so much out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, canderson said: Yup, the primary. Didn't realize it'd get them so much out there. Yea, look at the swath in the Mid-west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Euro ENS anyone. Hoping they are not SE of Op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 13 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: It's the primary low. I've been saying over and over (and over) for the last couple days.. that low has to track close enough to put the precip shield over PA and transfer to pivot it over PA. The Euro had been ducking it and popping the coastal, narrowing the heavy snow swath. It's starting to finally put the precip shield from the primary solidly into PA like the GFS has been doing while transferring in time to keep things mostly snow. This is what is going to leave me in the dry slot during the transfer and kill my totals in the western laurels......still fun to track! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Lol...my flight path. AVP to ORD before Houston... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, ChalkHillSnowNut said: This is what is going to leave me in the dry slot during the transfer and kill my totals in the western laurels......still fun to track! You may not be in winner circle, but you'll do just fine. Verbatim you snow from 68-108 +/- on most models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Euro ensemble, 12z v. 6z. Trend between that and esp comparing 12z to the 0z ensemble is tightening the 6" mean on the northern extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Euro OP threw out some crazy QPF totals over SE PA...ensemble mean suggests a slight, overall reduction from 0z. On the OP, I was on the western fringe of the best QPF. On the mean, I'm on the NE edge of the 6" line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 are we Still looking to kickoff this snow party, mid morning Sunday? or has timing changed on todays runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I think the main concern now is suppression versus North, and yes I sound like PSU. Bu the trends today even the OP runs for the most part have been good, the ENS not so good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 When is our time to get NAM'd. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Euro OP threw out some crazy QPF totals over SE PA...ensemble mean suggests a slight, overall reduction from 0z. On the OP, I was on the western fringe of the best QPF. On the mean, I'm on the NE edge of the 6" line. Uncanny how the Op's were mostly east today but the ensembles are all over the place. 20% of the EC ensembles miss most of PA with coastal love. Not really locked in yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 43 minutes ago, sauss06 said: are we Still looking to kickoff this snow party, mid morning Sunday? or has timing changed on todays runs? Most stuff I saw suggest your roads will have caved by mid morning Sunday. It may be snowing before sunset (Meant Sunrise, sorry) just using the current op's runs as guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Uncanny how the Op's were mostly east today but the ensembles are all over the place. 20% of the EC ensembles miss most of PA with coastal love. Not really locked in yet. Miller B! Never gonna know until it starts. I still like where we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Uncanny how the Op's were mostly east today but the ensembles are all over the place. 20% of the EC ensembles miss most of PA with coastal love. Not really locked in yet. was hoping for the op to pair up w/ Ens, but really is enough difference to not spike any footballs yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 27 minutes ago, Voyager said: Lol...my flight path. AVP to ORD before Houston... Yeahhhhhh - good luck. :/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, canderson said: Yeahhhhhh - good luck. :/ Yep Good luck Voyager. Safe travels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Time for HH. But whatever happens and it could be a fail it is still much better than last year. Win or lose we are tracking this year. I have to start playing with my Psychology in me. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, paweather said: Miller B! Never gonna know until it starts. I still like where we are. It's just weird that most of the Op's all made similar moves. Coincidence I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: It's just weird that most of the Op's all made similar moves. Coincidence I guess. Yeah I knew with all the great trends we were having we may see some off trends as seems to always be the case. But even the off trends today didn't result in failure. EURO/GFS and even CMC was good if not decent. They have the general idea of what is going to happen now it comes down to placement of the transfer and where it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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