paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Prior to that, a lot of us mix taking the GFS verbatim. It takes the primary to Latrobe before dying it off. Everyone in the southern third of PA taints Sunday night/Monday morning before the coastal takes over. Ended up being a good run, but there are things to work out still. It does mix for about 6 hour or so but snowfall totals won't fail on this run. This is still a Sunday morning to Tuesday event. Long duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, paweather said: It does mix for about 6 hour or so but snowfall totals won't fail on this run. This is still a Sunday morning to Tuesday event. Long duration. Ends up being a 1 to 2' storm across most of the area. Not too shabby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 That GFS looks wonky but it still works out. Someone (GFS vs Euro) is gonna have to cave or be very wrong on how the storm unfolds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, canderson said: That GFS looks wonky but it still works out. Someone (GFS vs Euro) is gonna have to cave or be very wrong on how the storm unfolds. I think the GFS is caving. Each run looks more like the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 whew....GFS trended towards Euro. That was big IMO. Still needs work, but is already workable. I'm glad to toss the ICON. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, canderson said: That GFS looks wonky but it still works out. Someone (GFS vs Euro) is gonna have to cave or be very wrong on how the storm unfolds. watching the progression, it is bowing to the King......and really should bring confidence up if the trend continues, as it's now only a few small moves away from dynamite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: whew....GFS trended towards Euro. That was big IMO. Still needs work, but is already workable. I'm glad to toss the ICON. I think you're the only one who pays attention to der Ikon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: watching the progression, it is bowing to the King...... Last night I thought so, but for some reason this run to me looks wonky. I should look again/closer - you're very likely right and I just am missing how it's still inching closer lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Atomixwx said: I think you're the only one who pays attention to der Ikon. I pay attention to trends my friend...not verbatim outputs...no matter how I like or dislike them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, anotherman said: That looks a lot like the model runs from 12/11/2020 before the 12/14 event... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, anotherman said: That is awesome. Panels 102-114 are just fun to watch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, paweather said: That is awesome. Panels 102-114 are just fun to watch! In my opinion, the GFS will continue to improve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, canderson said: Last night I thought so, but for some reason this run to me looks wonky. I should look again/closer - you're very likely right and I just am missing how it's still inching closer lol. 0z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: 0z 12z The TUCKED IN Look! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, paweather said: The TUCKED IN Look! Next panel is money, but this one shows the initial coastal pop that was more open at 0z. Hopefully that helps @canderson 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 This is timely, lol. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said: This is timely, lol. Timely but too late. . Da boys already opened the gate... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: Timely but too late. . Da boys already opened the gate... Lol, I wasn't trying to imply anything in here since this is where we discuss such things. I just noticed that post came out right around when the GFS did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: This is timely, lol. Probably talking about these Off Weather Forecasting sites. I cannot remember the names of them that would post snowmaps on social media sites days and days ahead of a storm to get attention. Gosh what were some of the names of those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Timely but too late. . Da boys already opened the gate... The real issue is ignorance. And I don't use that word in a mean-spirited way. I know enough about weather to ignore snow maps. Honestly, I don't really spend time looking at them much at all. That's my choice, I know that many love them, and that is great too! The problem, bigger scale, is when a map is posted and put out there for people that know nothing about the weather. They see an outlandish map, and automatically, it becomes a forecast. That's the problem. It's not in this forum, it's with the public at large. (and how they're perceived) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: Probably talking about these Off Weather Forecasting sites. I cannot remember the names of them that would post snowmaps on social media sites days and days ahead of a storm to get attention. Gosh what were some of the names of those. S&S Stormchasers. The creators of social media hysteria with snow maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: S&S Stormchasers. The creators of social media hysteria with snow maps. And failure to pay contractors for services provided. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: The real issue is ignorance. And I don't use that word in a mean-spirited way. I know enough about weather to ignore snow maps. Honestly, I don't really spend time looking at them much at all. That's my choice, I know that many love them, and that is great too! The problem, bigger scale, is when a map is posted and put out there for people that know nothing about the weather. They see an outlandish map, and automatically, it becomes a forecast. That's the problem. It's not in this forum, it's with the public at large. (and how they're perceived) You cannot show snow maps to those who don't understand the fact that all it is is an educated guess. The fact of the matter is that the general public still thinks a weather forecast is not a forecast, but a fact that WILL happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: S&S Stormchasers. The creators of social media hysteria with snow maps. YES! That is one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Lol, I wasn't trying to imply anything in here since this is where we discuss such things. I just noticed that post came out right around when the GFS did. lols. I know but Im wondering if they are trolling us in here and nervous that we run social media websites that put this crazy stuff out ....when in reality were just a bunch of cool dudes/dudettes? that enjoy talkin weather. I'm just playful right now, because having the GFS trending better is a big boost in confidence. edit - as they say in the MA thread...NINJA'd....like multiple times over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: S&S Stormchasers. The creators of social media hysteria with snow maps. are they still around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 CMC time. *Edit: Is real slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 GFS offers up a good representation of what I've been trying to explain about the handoff of the primary to the coastal. We gotta get into the thick of the initial precip wave of the primary, transfer the low and pivot the shield over us. If we do that, this is probably a really nice snowstorm for everyone in here. And even if it mixes southern tier, those folks are in the best position from the winding coastal low stalling. The Euro is starting to come around to this a bit better and the 0z last night was about perfect switching that primary 850mb low to the coast. It didn't dip the low as much. Euro ensembles at 6z this morning and 6z control run still seem to favor the southern tier and neighboring Mid-Atlantic and still seem weak with the precip shield in between the transfer. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 10 minutes ago, pasnownut said: are they still around? I honestly don't know. I only knew about them from this forum. I have zero social media accounts other than Linkedin and have no intention of ever having any. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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