Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 4 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is the super zoomed in 0z Euro Kuchera ratio snow map for CTP. Maybe this is the one?!??! That same zone was over Central VA just a run or two ago. Need the capture to not go any further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That same zone was over Central VA just a run or two ago. Need the capture to not go any further north. i was thinking the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 8 minutes ago, sauss06 said: i was thinking the same. Still portends to be an interesting weather event either way as almost all the Globals show a retrograding, Sandy like solution so lots of back building talk. 2016 was technically a Miller B I believe but had a precip swath more like an A so more safety from screw jobs. We do have a great shot at decent snows with the WAA here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: I went and exchanged money for chips here... Did that yesterday!! well done overnight crew!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 33 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That same zone was over Central VA just a run or two ago. Need the capture to not go any further north. In truth that was a notable jump north. not concerned.... yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 hour ago, Superstorm said: 06z GFS starting to come in line. . Yes, the 6z GFS & GEFS both continued to move to a more Euro/EPS like solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Still portends to be an interesting weather event either way as almost all the Globals show a retrograding, Sandy like solution so lots of back building talk. 2016 was technically a Miller B I believe but had a precip swath more like an A so more safety from screw jobs. We do have a great shot at decent snows with the WAA here. And to add to that the retrograde as depicted would give ample time for ccb’s/deform to really do its thingy. models should start to show that soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, the 6z GFS & GEFS both continued to move to a more Euro/EPS like solution. Goalposts narrowing with all of us in them. just need euro to stop the northern ticks. As cold is on the way out that’s a concern, but I’m just being picky right now and I don’t want us to fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The EPS also delivered the goods again for CTP. Great cluster of coastal hugger ensemble member lows and a picture perfect mean low track for a classic CTP snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The next frame of the 0z EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Goalposts narrowing with all of us in them. just need euro to stop the northern ticks. As cold is on the way out that’s a concern, but I’m just being picky right now and I don’t want us to fail. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 0z EPS snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The EPS also delivered the goods again for CTP. Great cluster of coastal hugger ensemble member lows and a picture perfect mean low track for a classic CTP snowstorm. Catching up here with coffee. Reading ma thread psuhoffman points out that the op is a northwest outlier so this could adjust back south. Either way this is an exciting storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I got this for Christmas from my sister. The scale goes to 36”. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: I got this for Christmas from my sister. The scale goes to 36”. Ooooh, I need one of those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, anotherman said: Ooooh, I need one of those. Yes it was the greatest Christmas present Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Yes it was the greatest Christmas present I believe that is Justin Berk's baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, anotherman said: I believe that is Justin Berk's baby. I has the Maryland state colors so you’re prob right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 26 minutes ago, pasnownut said: In truth that was a notable jump north. not concerned.... yet. Congrats Binghamton??? I know, now I'm going to be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Voyager said: Congrats Binghamton??? I know, now I'm going to be My bet is that it adjusts back south just a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Good seeing the GFS making a move towards the Euro! Would have hated the Euro and CMC caving to the GFS. It appears that the NWS was going with the GFS. Going with a warmer scenario (which is the GFS), kept the chance of a snow/sleet mix along the southern tier and even mentioned some FZRA across the Laurels where max layer wet bulb temps rise to around +5C late Sunday night and Monday morning. The bottom line is it is way too early for snow/ice amounts and type with things certain to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, anotherman said: My bet is that it adjusts back south just a bit. My take is that the storms jackpot heavy snow area keeps expanding once the qpf starts adjusting up. DC and points north 2ft amounts. A storms crawling up the coast could be one of biggest storms in the last 25 years. Once NAM comes into range, it will start spitting out 36-48” amounts. This one is why I got into weather. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Interesting that some of the MESO's have a pre dawn Sunday start now....for much of the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: My take is that the storms jackpot heavy snow area keeps expanding once the qpf starts adjusting up. DC and points north 2ft amounts. A storms crawling up the coast could be one of biggest storms in the last 25 years. Once NAM comes into range, it will start spitting out 36-48” amounts. This one is why I got into weather. Now that is quite a statement. I hope you're right. Did you see all the analog storms for this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Interesting that some of the MESO's have a pre dawn Sunday start now. Weekend rule starting early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, anotherman said: Now that is quite a statement. I hope you're right. Did you see all the analog storms for this one? Yep the big boys. 96, the 30” 2016 storm and others. What do the winds look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, sauss06 said: Weekend rule starting early Yep always 6 hours earlier than forecast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Yep the big boys. 96, the 30” 2016 storm and others. What do the winds look like. The Euro had some crazy winds once the coastal cranks up, but it tends to overdo winds at the surface. Not sure about other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, anotherman said: The Euro had some crazy winds once the coastal cranks up, but it tends to overdo winds at the surface. Not sure about other models. I figured there would be a big gradient with a nearly stalled storm. The B word could start showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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