paweather Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: 12z Euro for D7 is a board crasher.....in more than one way . I'm huggin for 6 hrs. It gives us hope for at least 6hrs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Superstorm said: Check the Euro out!! . If only... Nothing, I mean nothing will get me excited at this lead time. Nope...not happening. Then again - it's nice to have the #1 model showing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: If only... Nothing, I mean nothing will get me excited at this lead time. Nope...not happening. Then again - it's nice to have the #1 model showing it. Hence my "huggin for 6 hrs" post. I will say that if one parses over major nooners for next Monday's event, they are all seeing something and are rather similar at 144hrs, which raises my bar a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 21 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: If only... Nothing, I mean nothing will get me excited at this lead time. Nope...not happening. Then again - it's nice to have the #1 model showing it. "We are due" "The early bombs get sniffed out early" "The Euro is King" I'm starting the reasons over the years it will happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Latest HRRR snow starts between 2z and 3z in the LSV. 2-3" for most. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 The 18z GFS gave a slight bump to the snow totals tonight over Harrisburg and York on westward in the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 The last few hourly runs of the HRRR have been steadily boosting our little front end snow tonight in the LSV from near the river on west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 22 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The last few hourly runs of the HRRR have been steadily boosting our little front end snow tonight in the LSV from near the river on west. I’m waiting for my first flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I’m waiting for my first flakes Do you have a good local radar that you could post when the precip gets close to the LSV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Do you have a good local radar that you could post when the precip gets close to the LSV? I’m using my RadarScope app. Back edge already showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Thanks, it looks like the radar is filling in to the west & southwest of PA which should get better precip going later on for south central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 CTP not buying HRRR - it’s cut Harrisburg down to less than an inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Light snow on the doorstep in the next hour. Let’s hope for a HRRR win and fill in of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Light snow on the doorstep in the next hour. Let’s hope for a HRRR win and fill in of precip. smart guys must not be buyin what the HRRRRRRR is sellin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Snow picking up. Everything white 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 16 minutes ago, pasnownut said: smart guys must not be buyin what the HRRRRRRR is sellin It would be nice if they made a forecast today and stuck with it before changing it 5 times before the event even gets underway. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 10 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: It would be nice if they made a forecast today and stuck with it before changing it 5 times before the event even gets underway. yeah north country went from 5" 24 hours ago to 1". W primary going west, I was never giddy bout this one. Hope that in a week from now, its worth the wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Light snow commenced here in Palmyra Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 CTP sees this is a nothingburger - just took out any ice and less than .5” for MDT. They’re looking at the lack of moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Virga has commenced in Tamaqua... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Voyager said: Virga has commenced in Tamaqua... Hang in there. I hope we get lucky with the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 After a few minutes of flurries, some light sleet falling here. Call it a T. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 16 minutes ago, paweather said: Hang in there. I hope we get lucky with the HRRR. I wish I could offer you some hope but after barely a ground-whitening 0.1" it's already coming to an end. I still have a fine mist of snow falling but nothing that will add to the total. Oh well, here's hoping for this Sunday. I don't understand how the HRRR can be so wrong when it's only going out less than 6 hours? It flat-out busted! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: I wish I could offer you some hope but after barely a ground-whitening 0.1" it's already coming to an end. I still have a fine mist of snow falling but nothing that will add to the total. Oh well, here's hoping for this Sunday. I don't understand how the HRRR can be so wrong when it's only going out less than 6 hours? It flat-out busted! Yeah I know gave us hope this thing just went to nothing. I hope Sunday/Monday tracks consistency the next couple of days to give us hope but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Light snow for the last hour or so in Marysville with a light coating so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 30 minutes ago, paweather said: Hang in there. I hope we get lucky with the HRRR. Echos already moved south of me. Not one flake made it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: yeah north country went from 5" 24 hours ago to 1". W primary going west, I was never giddy bout this one. Hope that in a week from now, its worth the wait. The 12z Euro and the other 12z models today had a great look for a CTP snowstorm for Sunday into Monday! The ensembles support the chance as well and it’s only 5 or 6 days away. Maybe this will be indeed worth the wait. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 The truck out front had some snow on the hood for about 30 minutes. Win? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, canderson said: The truck out front had some snow on the hood for about 30 minutes. Win? This event is just getting started. There is more precip developing now in western and central PA. There is also a lot of precip to our south and west that will move through as snow to start and then become a mix by morning. Most models today didn’t even have precip starting in Harrisburg until near midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This event is just getting started. There is more precip developing now in western and central PA. There is also a lot of precip to our south and west that will move through as snow to start and then become a mix by morning. Most models today didn’t even have precip starting in Harrisburg until near midnight. Don’t think it’ll be pure snow unfortunately - I don’t buy the HRRR at all. CTP’s 9 pm forecast discussion writes off anything of substance due to temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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