Voyager Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 27 minutes ago, pasnownut said: @33 Voyager and I wholeheartedly approve... If you're talking about the 3k then yes, I most definitely agree! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: During the Jan 2016 storm, Cumberland County was fortunate to remain under the "Death Band" for 3 hours. The snow rates during that period were 3.5" / hour. I got 10" in like 3 hours. Ended up with 35" total in the end. Biggest storm of my life. You gotta like this run for Lanco! Honestly its as good as we can expect here. I never thought or believed we'd be on the podium for snow amounts for this one. You to voyagerville and surrounding locals have been in the crosshairs and are in the jackspots. I'm pulling for all of you. I just want my 12+ and I'm set. If that deformation band plays out as modeled, I may run at 15". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Voyager said: If you're talking about the 3k then yes, I most definitely agree! This was the correction I was suggesting might happen for you this morning. There was just a little too much bouncing around of LP's and it didnt seem right. Mind you ....no chest thumping yet, because we really have 3 more runs till show time, so this is just me feeling better about my suspicions possibly being legit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: This was the correction I was suggesting might happen for you this morning. There was just a little too much bouncing around of LP's and it didnt seem right. Mind you ....no chest thumping yet, because we really have 3 more runs till show time, so this is just me feeling better about my suspicions possibly being legit. Yes, and this is what our buddy PSUhoffman has been talking about all day. We can still be okay BUT we needed the north/west trend to stop, and stop with the 18z suite. At least on the 18z NAM, it did just that. Right now, that's exactly what we wanted and all we could hope for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 9 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Honestly its as good as we can expect here. I never thought or believed we'd be on the podium for snow amounts for this one. You to voyagerville and surrounding locals have been in the crosshairs and are in the jackspots. I'm pulling for all of you. I just want my 12+ and I'm set. If that deformation band plays out as modeled, I may run at 15". I said last Saturday I liked the I 81 corridor and Cashtown to jack...going down with the gail-force storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMDEW80 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 NWS low/probable/high with percentages for central pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, basehore said: NWS low/probable/high with percentages for central pa Someone smarter than me needs to explain this. Lancaster's expected snowfall is 13". Yet, the chances of Lancaster seeing more than 12" is 46%? What am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The NAM didn't put a 50" over Camp David, toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 After days of tracking......we finally see closure tomorrow mid day. My first and only call 15" here in Palmyra. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I would think thundersnow will be prevalent?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gosnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 52 minutes ago, pasnownut said: 12z 18z I like the expansion of greens throughout PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I'll sacrifice my own snow for @KPITSnow, @MAG5035 and @2001kx to get above WSW levels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, canderson said: I'll sacrifice my own snow for @KPITSnow, @MAG5035 and @2001kx to get above WSW levels. How about we all get 10+? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, KPITSnow said: How about we all get 10+? Deal! We can call it the anti- @Atomixwx storm! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Get everyone a foot. Call it a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, canderson said: Deal! We can call it the anti- @Atomixwx storm! They should have left you in shitass Azerbaijan. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, canderson said: Deal! We can call it the anti- @Atomixwx storm! Eh, just call it "AA" for short. Perusing other forums, there's lots of bickering going on. Ah...snow brings out the best in all of us. And when it doesn't snow, well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, canderson said: I'll sacrifice my own snow for @KPITSnow, @MAG5035 and @2001kx to get above WSW levels. Good, I'll have my lawyers ready the contract for signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gosnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I think i saw someone wanting thundersnow? From state college afternoon discussion. This target area will see a one-two (maybe even three) punch of warm advection heavy snow later Wednesday afternoon and evening, followed by a period of peak CSI-banded heavy snow with the potential for Thunder snow later Wed Evening through a few hours after midnight as the nose of a strong 50-60 kt easterly 850 mb jet and 130 kt upper jet focuses hefty uvvel and slantwise instability near and just to the NW of I-81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 18z GFS Kicked off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: They should have left you in shitass Azerbaijan. This made me spit out my Starbucks chai. Well done! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The high in Canada reaches 1040. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Pretty darn tucked in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 We just got GFS'd. Nice 36Hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 No signs of mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 That GFS looks awfuuuullllly close the 12z Euro track (and low placements), no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @36 LP about 25 miles EAST of 12z. Looks like we all stay white verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, pasnownut said: @36 LP about 25 miles EAST of 12z. Looks like we all stay white verbatim. yep. I didn't see any signs of mix even further SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Not by a lot, but the GFS is east. For those riding the fence, not by a lot can mean a whole lot. And, like the NAM, the trend has stopped at 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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