AMDEW80 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 NWS expected snowfall map afternoon update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 CTP is starting to put accumulations in their grid forecasts for Wednesday daytime. Has Harrisburg 4-8”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 39 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I lived there from 2004-09 and had a bunch of moderate events, nothing I would really call major. The largest single event was the Valentines Day 2007 snow/sleet event with I think 11". Consistently below average snow, one year 08-09 maybe got above 40". PLENTY of events that split PA down the middle and skipped us over, storms that formed too late or cutters that were sleet events. This looks like the kind of storm that can really dump on them-a track over the Chesapeake Bay into S NJ is essentially textbook for that area. The result is a sloppy mess for my backyard but I'll be thrilled if somehow UNV can pull it off to get above 20". Yes it's really been since 1994 that it's happened. The area is known for nickle/dime events that can add up but often to below season average. Further east/north often get in on the big nor'easters. 3/14/17 if I recall was a very nice event in State College but not like Binghamton/Scranton area. I drove through much of PA in the wake of that and definitely remember a huge max in NE PA that petered out a little to the west. Great to still see you posting! I remember many of your posts from EUSWX during those years you lived here. Really seems like this might finally be the big one for us....I've finally given in to full-on hype and excitement. Those last two EURO runs are probably the best I've seen in 20 years of tracking them. Nice to see the last minute trends breaking in our favor for once. Hope Gail can find a way to exceed expectations for everyone in this forum! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, basehore said: NWS expected snowfall map afternoon update I'm still fine w/ that, cause sleet will be mixed in. Pack retention.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I'm still fine w/ that, cause sleet will be mixed in. Pack retention.... I'm better than fine with that. When is the last time that everyone who posts in this thread got at least 1' from the same storm? Even Clearfield is 1' on that map. 13" of ice/snow = very satisfied. Please quote this post tomorrow evening when I'm complaining about sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I'm better than fine with that. When is the last time that everyone who posts in this thread got at least 1' from the same storm? Even Clearfield is 1' on that map. 13" of ice/snow = very satisfied. Please quote this post tomorrow evening when I'm complaining about sleet. Lol, you and me both.I will gladly take 13” of snow, with sleet mixed in.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm better than fine with that. When is the last time that everyone who posts in this thread got at least 1' from the same storm? Even Clearfield is 1' on that map. 13" of ice/snow = very satisfied. Please quote this post tomorrow evening when I'm complaining about sleet. its been fun for sure. Nice to be doing this again. As long as it doesnt get any further west, I'm with you on being just fine w/ this. It sure is a rarity when we all are flirting w/ 12+ accums, and some potentially double that. Its still a forumwide event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Horst & Rayno 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 37 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm better than fine with that. When is the last time that everyone who posts in this thread got at least 1' from the same storm? Even Clearfield is 1' on that map. 13" of ice/snow = very satisfied. Please quote this post tomorrow evening when I'm complaining about sleet. I think the same thing. We are going to be close to the mix line. At least now I don't have to deal with accidents since now retired. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Oh no they didn't... Wednesday Night Snow before 1am, then snow and sleet. The snow and sleet could be heavy at times. Low around 23. Northeast wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 lol....and at 29 the NAM is 25-50 miles SOUTH of 12z. precip responds in a nice way as well. Giddy up.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, pasnownut said: lol....and at 29 the NAM is 25-50 miles SOUTH of 12z. precip responds in a nice way as well. Giddy up.... Gooooood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 NAM looking good boys!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 NAM looking good boys!!! Taking step in a good direction!!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @33 Voyager and I wholeheartedly approve... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 This run of the NAM, for me, makes me nervous as hell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 sorry about the EURO only get 24HR increments. from 24 to 48 it jumped east so everything else in between I didn't/couldn't see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Being NAM'd again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @35 it still wants to jump the LP west (this is what I didnt get at 12z either), but the southward adjustment seems to help the thermal boundary and they are a little more stout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 12z 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3k NAM has 45-50 dbz reflectivity over Cumberland county for 3 hours between 0Z and 3Z! That's like 4"/hr rates. 22" total snow, 26" Kuchera total. WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 No more snow showers. Wednesday Snow, mainly after 11am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 31. East wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Wednesday Night Snow before 1am, then snow and sleet. The snow and sleet could be heavy at times. Low around 26. North wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, CarlislePaWx said: 3k NAM has 45-50 dbz reflectivity over Cumberland county for 3 hours between 0Z and 3Z! That's like 4"/hr rates. 22" total snow, 26" Kuchera total. WOW That greater radar reflectivity could indicate sleet mixing in which is the time frame of that most likely occurring...still likely one for the books! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Caveman said: That greater radar reflectivity could indicate sleet mixing in which is the time frame of that most likely occurring...still likely one for the books! I don't think it's sleet. I looked at p-type and it showed it was snow. But, you never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: 3k NAM has 45-50 dbz reflectivity over Cumberland county for 3 hours between 0Z and 3Z! That's like 4"/hr rates. 22" total snow, 26" Kuchera total. WOW I think CTP mentioned the possibility of banding tomorrow night with 2-4"/hour rates quite possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: I don't think it's sleet. I looked at p-type and it showed it was snow. But, you never know. dude, the 3k is truely NSFW.....FORUM wide including western brethren. go toggle the snow panels. Sweet mother of all things holy..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 drops the mic............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: dude, the 3k is truely NSFW..... go toggle the snow panels. Sweet mother of all things holy..... During the Jan 2016 storm, Cumberland County was fortunate to remain under the "Death Band" for 3 hours. The snow rates during that period were 3.5" / hour. I got 10" in like 3 hours. Ended up with 35" total in the end. Biggest storm of my life. You gotta like this run for Lanco! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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