paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:04 AM, cfbaggett said: Expand Thanks for sharing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:04 AM, cfbaggett said: Expand Yeah, this is what I mentioned in an early post. What exactly does having such a large number of members west of the OP mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:04 AM, cfbaggett said: Expand I hope the 4 WAAYYY east outliers can offset the 14 western outliers. Ughh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:07 AM, pasnownut said: I hope the 4 WAAYYY east outliers can offset the 14 western outliers. Ughh. Expand The green marks the spot and has been consistent on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 We are going to get Nam'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cfbaggett Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The green is a mean, median longitude is a tad west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:08 AM, paweather said: The green marks the spot and has been consistent on the models. Expand There are more left leaning members than before. However, isn't this the time we start giving more weight to the OP run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:10 AM, cfbaggett said: The green is a mean, median longitude is a tad west. Expand Yep but pretty consistent with the model runs over the last several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:08 AM, paweather said: The green marks the spot and has been consistent on the models. Expand Green is the mean but that can and will move as the outliers directly aftect it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cfbaggett Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 And there may be timing differences amongst the members, so some that are east, could have been further west an hour or two earlier. Anyway, it all looks really exciting, regardless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:11 AM, Itstrainingtime said: There are more left leaning members than before. However, isn't this the time we start giving more weight to the OP run? Expand That’s a great point. We are now entering the time where op and mesos start gaining weight as they are higher resolution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 1:54 AM, KPITSnow said: SOmeone posted the Euro ensemble members in the Mid Atlantic forum, and there are a ton of members that are tracking well inland....as in over DC and baltimore. Any thoughts on what that means? There are a few very far east members but the majority of members are west of the OP. Ok, not over DC and Baltimore but straight up the bay which would seem significant. Expand Not our region, most of our concerns are not the same as theirs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:14 AM, cfbaggett said: And there may be timing differences amongst the members, so some that are east, could have been further west an hour or two earlier. Anyway, it all looks really exciting, regardless. Expand Thanks again for sharing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Wednesday 4pm: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:11 AM, Itstrainingtime said: There are more left leaning members than before. However, isn't this the time we start giving more weight to the OP run? Expand Yes! This! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:15 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: Not our region, most of our concerns are not the same as theirs! Expand Oh I know...my concern is being fringed, so a low that is 50 miles west for me could make a huge difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 More uniform western expanse of qpf early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:19 AM, pasnownut said: More uniform western expanse of qpf early on. Expand Primary not dying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Nam'd we knew it would happen, not saying this is the solution. But it is at least nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @48 LP slightly sse of 18 z. Ip/zr as well. Oh so close to a kaboom for me. Happy so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 CCB: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 That CCB is epic...even out here we are on the back end of it but still benefit in a pretty big way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Don’t know what snow maps will look like but I’m down with what the 0z NAM is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 40" it is 2020 so you never know. LOL. Just kidding, let's get this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:28 AM, KPITSnow said: That CCB is epic...even out here we are on the back end of it but still benefit in a pretty big way. Expand What does CCB mean. I see the QPF. Is that the rate per hour it’s falling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:30 AM, Ahoff said: What does CCB mean. I see the QPF. Is that the rate per hour it’s falling? Expand Cold conveyor belt. I'll let someone better at it explain it though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:29 AM, paweather said: 40" it is 2020 so you never know. LOL. Just kidding, let's get this. Expand How about 30 “ ?!?!?! The 3k NAM is out of this world!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:37 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: How about 30 “ ?!?!?! The 3k NAM is out of this world!!! Expand Yep I figured. When I saw the setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:37 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: How about 30 “ ?!?!?! The 3k NAM is out of this world!!! Expand TT is BROKE. y’all r killin me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:38 AM, paweather said: Yep I figured. When I saw the setup. Expand 50” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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