H2O Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 9 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Why is Fairfax County under a Winter Storm Watch? Why does butter taste like butter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 22 minutes ago, mappy said: the NAM is def not worth all this If it was about the CRAS it would be. No one puts CRAS in a corner! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I’ll gladly track a storm that gives me snow days away only to torch and go rain than help my kid do algebra homework. Compound inequalities can go to hell. Let the NAM do those since it’s so super smart 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 gFs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Hey @wxtrix you have a good Brussels sprout recipe I can make for Christmas dinner? Bacon was requested to be part of it and I’m not a cook so needs to be easy enough I won’t screw it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I do my own private pbp then go into the main thread and get some good laughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingJWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I only got to see 1" of snow last winter, so if this storm can beat that for me, I'll count that as a win. Even the amped/warm runs should do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Think I need to make another map. This one is for all the fighting. My wx zone can beat up your wx zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 32 minutes ago, H2O said: Compound inequalities can go to hell. Let the NAM do those since it’s so super smart At least it isn’t Related Rates, or Trigonometric Integrals... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I posted this by accident in the long range forum and meant it to be here... I’m happy to post here but every time I post anti snow or show a trend and give an analysis it’s taken as negative or harsh. I watched over the weekend at day 5 model hugging the snowiest solutions, it’s rare for it to work out that way area wide especially with such a marginal temperature setup. Conversations among colleagues can get like this...diverging opinions and Mets can be sensitive I will say that. But inevitably, the very grids a forecaster makes come from a blend of every model you see out there including the NAM, SREF, GFS, EURO etc its a blend of all and ensembles. You can gain clues into how a system is evolving from the NAM even at 48 and 60 hours. Take all the runs today...all of them are trending toward a well north and west setup of snow, rain more dominant east and you can’t just toss the NAM it’s showing this consistently run after run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Sure we can. It’s called putting blinders up and ignoring the bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Spoke to @Bob Chill via email. He and his family are healthy and well. He’s been busy with work and it’s covid impacts and changes. He doesn’t expect to post anymore but may in the future. He still lurks a bit. Thanks for the update. I’m really glad to hear that he’s healthy and doing well. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 This has all the vibes of a storm thats slipping away. We've seen it before. Huge totals forecasted, then just a few folks get 4-6" while everyone else sees just snow tv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Browns over the Ravens tonight. They are simply better right now, and the Ravens will again make enough mistakes and commit enough critical penalties to lose. The Browns smell blood with the Steelers in free fall. They win and they are one game back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 One thing we have going for us is La Nina years aren't modeled well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 15 minutes ago, CAPE said: Browns over the Ravens tonight. They are simply better right now, and the Ravens will again make enough mistakes and commit enough critical penalties to lose. The Browns smell blood with the Steelers in free fall. They win and they are one game back. When was the last time the Browns beat the Ravens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Well according to the LWX probabilistic forecast, I have a 5% chance of getting 8”. So I’m going all-in on that. If someone asked me last year at this time, what are the odds a pandemic would more or less shut down the planet in 2020, I’d have said certainly less than 5%. So using this kind of impeccable logic, I fully expect a foot by Thursday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: When was the last time the Browns beat the Ravens? Last year, I think. Maybe week 4? Then the Ravens won out the regular season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: 15-20" in southern, Pa in mid December is definitely HECS material . Imo ...Definitely some local areas will see that most likely as currently modeled. Hopefully N.Md is one of them lol. That's the one area that might be able to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Okay. My mind is far enough removed from seeing 1-2ft along 95 that I am past that and can now be excited for hopefully 4-8 here in Columbia. Great first event if that pans out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I had dinner at my parents and they had crappy local news on. LOL the relic Bob Turk had my yard in the 4-6" area. Supposedly whack-u-weather affiliated. TV weather personalities are so 1990s, and sooo bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: I had dinner at my parents and they had crappy local news on. LOL the relic Bob Turk had my yard in the 4-6" area. Supposedly whack-u-weather affiliated. TV weather personalities are so 1990s, and sooo bad. Bob Turk started in 1973 the year I was born. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, HighStakes said: Bob Turk started in 1973 the year I was born. Unreal. He has been around forever. I had to explain to my parents that no, in fact it was going to be a rainstorm here with maybe some flakes mixed in at the end or a light coating, and they were like, why is he saying we are getting a snowstorm? lol pathetic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, wxtrix said: this one is pretty simple and will be quicker than roasting them in the oven: https://www.foodandwine.com/recipes/brussels-sprouts-bacon Thank you! Seems easy enough, you’re the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I'm petty sure I'm no longer interested in these long track potential storms. I'm freaking tired and it might not even snow....yeesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 23 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: We should keep a scoreboard of euro vs. gfs leading up to the event. Euro wins... what... 75% of the time? Anyone else see the username and immediately think this? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm petty sure I'm no longer interested in these long track potential storms. I'm freaking tired and it might not even snow....yeesh. Yeah, same. It's fun for the big dogs, but exhausting in the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm petty sure I'm no longer interested in these long track potential storms. I'm freaking tired and it might not even snow....yeesh. You’re tired because you’re old. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, mattie g said: Anyone else see the username and immediately think this? Yup! Origin of the name! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm petty sure I'm no longer interested in these long track potential storms. I'm freaking tired and it might not even snow....yeesh. In a way I am glad I have been able to sit this one out, emotionally speaking. I do know a good synoptic setup for here, and this one was hard to get enthused about. Been sleeping like a baby while y'all have been poring over every run and staying up for the 0z Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now