87storms Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 9 minutes ago, DanTheMan said: It seems VERY early to be seeing accumulation forecasts it's a large scale system which is probably why that's happening and it's the first legit trackable event. cad is often times underdone (per mets), so that might be something worth keeping an eye on. it's not an arctic airmass ala pd2 and it's mid-dec, so there'll be challenges, but i'm fine with snow to start and rolling the dice from there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Well, we took some flack, but we made it through D-4 intact and still on course. D-3 comes next. We lower the landing gear after the 0z Monday runs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 I'm curious do the ladies think when guys are negative and whiners and debbie downers that it's hot and attractive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Let the Fall Line do Fall Line things. Don't overthink it. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Let the Fall Line do Fall Line things. Don't overthink it.Good to see ya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: Let the Fall Line do Fall Line things. Don't overthink it. I love being above the Fall Line Sorry @CAPE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I love being above the Fall Line Sorry @CAPE I used to be there, many years ago now...lol. Our winter storms are often not your winter storms, and vice versa. Climo snow avg here beats DC at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Millville is the wind beneath my wings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I love being above the Fall Line Sorry @CAPE I’m at like 325’ and 4-5 miles west of 95. Definitely west of the fall line and at some elevation, but too close to feel that climbing-a-pole feeling in these situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 my poor Wahoos are getting killed. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 14 minutes ago, mattie g said: I’m at like 325’ and 4-5 miles west of 95. Definitely west of the fall line and at some elevation, but too close to feel that climbing-a-pole feeling in these situations. Same. I’m 370-380’ two miles from 95. It helps. A lot in many situations. But still close enough to be dicey compared to the M-D line crew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Same. I’m 370-380’ two miles from 95. It helps. A lot in many situations. But still close enough to be dicey compared to the M-D line crew. I'm at 340' about 7 miles NW of Fredericksburg and 5 miles WNW of 95. It's different down here obviously from central or Northern Maryland, but in some marginal events, 1/8/2020 comes to mind, I can go from work and white rain to my house and 2" of snow on the ground. Probably not a big difference in this coming storm, but that extra 250-300 feet really helps at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Its raining right now. These models keep flipping..Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 This shit just doesnt feel right without Bob. Anyone know if he is OK? PM me if necessary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 So glad I remembered how to put somebody on ignore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I know. Does anyone have his number or email. Mods? We're inside of five days. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 41 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Same. I’m 370-380’ two miles from 95. It helps. A lot in many situations. But still close enough to be dicey compared to the M-D line crew. 27 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: I'm at 340' about 7 miles NW of Fredericksburg and 5 miles WNW of 95. It's different down here obviously from central or Northern Maryland, but in some marginal events, 1/8/2020 comes to mind, I can go from work and white rain to my house and 2" of snow on the ground. Probably not a big difference in this coming storm, but that extra 250-300 feet really helps at times. Elevation, latitude, and longitude obviously all play a part. I’m pretty far west, all things considered, but at the lower end of elevation and with latitude not in my favor. I do see the benefits of being west of the fall line in a lot of situations though. I’ve done better than folks inside the Beltway in marginal events, so I don’t have huge complaints in that regard. I think 12/5/2002 was one - I got like 4” or so and places 5 miles east may have gotten a coating. I’d love to be farther west, but there are a lot of benefits to being where I am right now. I just wish more snow were one of them! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 I’m east of the fall line Oh wait, I’ll be in McHenry for this at 2,800 feet....bring on the 18z GFS you eastern folks!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: I’m east of the fall line Oh wait, I’ll be in McHenry for this at 2,800 feet....bring on the 18z GFS you eastern folks!!!! Hick 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 56 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: my poor Wahoos are getting killed. Hokies have been a dumpster fire all season, we must have been saving up for this game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Meanwhile, here will be CAPE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Guess the Germans forgot to run the ICON tonight. Probably for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Missed all the model mayhem today . I was invited up to my buddy's newly bought lodge ( Lakestar lodge ) in Deep Creek Lake. It's a really beautiful spot . Wisp views are fantastic and beer is a flowing. The owners are great people. Here's a pic looking out my suite .Wisp opened up yesterday. I’ll need to stop by there sometime and say hi — there are fantastic lake, Wisp, and 4th of July firework views from there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 47 minutes ago, mdhokie said: Hokies have been a dumpster fire all season, we must have been saving up for this game welp, congrats. My expectations were low but I didn't think we'd get killed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: welp, congrats. My expectations were low but I didn't think we'd get killed. unfortunately it might have saved fuentes and screwed us long term. Still hars to compete with Clemson in this conference. On to basketball season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 56 minutes ago, nj2va said: I’m east of the fall line Oh wait, I’ll be in McHenry for this at 2,800 feet....bring on the 18z GFS you eastern folks!!!! Does deep creek or back home do better? I'm in Kansas City so will only get to watch on my webcams . Just like the big one in 2016! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 6 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: ICON (I know) has been pretty consistent with snow to sleet/FRZA. Just trying to recall the past couple years, I know the ICON has advertised big FRZA storms before. None have ever come to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Was gonna say this before the 0z suite came out but forgot to, but thanks PSU and others for the incredible analysis about the storm itself, as well as analysis on med/long range patterns. You guys are what make this worthwhile, and it's amazing to learn from some of the best. Cheers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, mdhokie said: Does deep creek or back home do better? I'm in Kansas City so will only get to watch on my webcams . Just like the big one in 2016! I won’t get into the intense banding that the 81 corridor/ish crowd will get but can make up for some of that with better ratios. Phin also pointed out the orographic enhancement that the globals won’t pick up on yet - and the upslope snow showers that will continue after the coastal moves away. But i think the bullseye will be somewhere in the 81 corridor-ish. This will be my first coastal since buying the place in late 2016 so will be interesting to learn climo out there for these events. Lucky for you, there will be more snow in Oakland this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Sounds about right for the mid Atlantic wheel of emotions...worries bubbling up about a SE trend hours after the worry was a north trend that turned everyone mixing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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