mattie g Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:19 PM, Kmlwx said: Can you imagine how bad model threads will be when there are models with resolution down to like 100m. "I'm 100 yards from the changeover ugh" "This storm is a bust, I'm getting 0.2 inches less than my neighbor" Expand When your neighbor get's 0.2" then yeah...that's pretty bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 1:54 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: My my but this place is uplifting this morning. Expand Phin will soon be showing a live feed of his place in Randolph getting 18” of snow while its raining across this area. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The NAMs even hoses NYC. They are forecast to get 10-16 in the city with near blizzard conditions. If they get 1-3/dryslot there are gonna be some serious weenie cliff jumpings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 We just have to hope that it's not a year when we get good blocking but zero good luck. It's early - let's see what we can do as we approach January. Besides, the later winter months are our wheelhouse. This is a bummer but very on-brand for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 This only sucks because we watched the progression from nothing to building potential to several runs supporting a significant snowfall for many then the gradual decline speeding up to the head on collision with climo. If for some reason we saw this threat last night for the first time we'd probably be like hey look i'll take that for mid December over 60 and sunny. But.....alas....we don't live there anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Fire up the panic room. Last night Mappy was talking about the real Phineas in the storm thread. Sounded interesting so I looked it up. Here is a pretty interesting short article on the guy if you want to read something non weather related. I had never heard of this story. So thanks for giving me something to take my mind off of the NAM. https://www.verywellmind.com/phineas-gage-2795244 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:43 PM, DCTeacherman said: The NAMs even hoses NYC. They are forecast to get 10-16 in the city with near blizzard conditions. If they get 1-3/dryslot there are gonna be some serious weenie cliff jumpings. Expand Good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:43 PM, DCTeacherman said: The NAMs even hoses NYC. They are forecast to get 10-16 in the city with near blizzard conditions. If they get 1-3/dryslot there are gonna be some serious weenie cliff jumpings.The best part of any bad run is when it brings others down with you 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Wants a NAM'ing, gets a reverse NAM'ing. 2020, you do you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 This is starting to remind me of the storms when I was a kid. A 2 - 4" thump, and then 35 and drizzle. Great snowball weather, but damn you came home soaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 3:17 PM, nw baltimore wx said: This is starting to remind me of the storms when I was a kid. A 2 - 4" thump, and then 35 and drizzle. Great snowball weather, but damn you came home soaked. Expand I remember the hand me down snow pants from my older brother that I’d use in those setups. They would weigh 75 pounds by the time I got inside from all the water it absorbed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 This is going to out-bust March 2013. Amazing how the NAM outscored the Euro...only in 2020 could this happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 3:17 PM, nw baltimore wx said: This is starting to remind me of the storms when I was a kid. A 2 - 4" thump, and then 35 and drizzle. Great snowball weather, but damn you came home soaked. Expand This storm would have been much better if it snuck up on us. If the models had run in reverse from what they did and been all warm rain for days until showing this 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 3:22 PM, PhineasC said: This storm would have been much better if it snuck up on us. If the models had run in reverse from what they did and been all warm rain for days until showing this 24 hours out. Expand Those storms are the best. It looks like 40 and rain at D3 then BAM you're sitting at 5" - 9" and NWS is playing big time catchup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I feel the most for Ji he worked so hard to get the models to show snow. I'm sure he is devastated right now hopefully he will recover quickly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 3:29 PM, leesburg 04 said: I feel the most for Ji he worked so hard to get the models to show snow. I'm sure he is devastated right now hopefully he will recover quickly Expand How do you think his Facebook cult will respond to a new forecast of a flood watch for Leesburg? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 3:14 PM, North Balti Zen said: Wants a NAM'ing, gets a reverse NAM'ing. 2020, you do you. Expand Like I said this morning, when the insults of the NAM started flying it took it personally. Now who's laughing? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 3:29 PM, leesburg 04 said: I feel the most for Ji he worked so hard to get the models to show snow. I'm sure he is devastated right now hopefully he will recover quickly Expand DT told me that it was because he stopped posting. When that happened the storm went to kaka Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 3:30 PM, nj2va said: How do you think his Facebook cult will respond to a new forecast of a flood watch for Leesburg? Expand He actually made a reasonable post today because you can't sugarcoat a massive turd like this....of course that means he will probably come on here later and blow things up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 3:22 PM, Eskimo Joe said: This is going to out-bust March 2013. Amazing how the NAM outscored the Euro...only in 2020 could this happen. Expand Didn't the NAM lead the way in the Boxing Day disaster too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 3:50 PM, PrinceFrederickWx said: Didn't the NAM lead the way in the Boxing Day disaster too? Expand Yea...the NAM only leads up to disaster. I'm REALLY hoping the NAM is wrong but man it's hard to ignore. @PhineasC talked about how we can sometimes get a rouge SE bump by like 25 - 50 miles and brother do we need it now more than ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 3:29 PM, Scraff said: Expand IT WAS... I am not a sympathizer I am merely trying to feed my family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 GFS gonna Lucy the hell out of us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 We need the bleeding to stop or this is gonna get ugly......model comes out and bleeding stops.....I don't believe it this thing is over. I don't know guys, some of you are really dumb lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Thanksfor posting @ErinInTheSky --- since I am weighing if to make the chase to northern frederick county, that helps to view. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 4:13 PM, North Balti Zen said: Thanksfor posting @ErinInTheSky --- since I am weighing if to make the case to northern frederick county, that helps to view. Expand Just go all the way to Hagerstown at that point. Pretty easy drive up 70, and easy to pick up 68 if you need to get even further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I remember a storm way back in 1978 in Kettering, MD where they were saying a brief period of snow, then rain with a low passing over the area. I was bummed. I remember walking home from school looking at the smooth overcast sky and how sharp the cold felt and thought how much it sux that it's gonna rain. Light snow started in the evening and turned heavy quickly. We got a completely unexpected front end thump with 5-7" in about three hours or so. The news broke in with special reports. It was so fun! When the changeover happened later that night into the next day it was mostly drizzle and the snow stayed around with temps in the mid-30s. The snowballs were brutal! Models were primitive compared to now but it would be awesome to get another surprise like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 When can we start the nowcast/obs thread so I can stare out my window and say SLEET once before I get rain at 34 degrees for 6 hours tomorrow? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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