Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Euro is doing what my my thought scenario was a few posts back. Swings a ns wave through, drags the baroclinic zone/boundary into the mid atl, bowling ball vort coming east from the Rockies. Need it to keep moving so it doesn't pump heights ahead too much while moving thru before confluence pulls out of the Northeast. All about timing...lets see where she goes Eta: the kicker moving into the West Coast should keep our potential system moving. Not a bad look at all thru this panel 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Confluence pulling out at 174. 1032 hp centered over us. 1012mb system is in Tenn Valley pushing into the back of the hp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 At 180 the hp still centered right over Atlantic City. Storm has stopped in its tracks in the TV and weakness is evident off the SC coast trying to redevelop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 186 light snow in western sections. Surface low reflection off the C/NC border. 1031 hp offshore but CAD evident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 192 light snow northern sections, sleet most of SE PA. Rain in extreme SE PA. Surface wave is weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 198 system pulling away. Light rain showers everyone. LP Western GL ruling the flow. Meh, didnt get it done but there is the northern solution I was fearful of. This isn't a suppressed look at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Looks like the LP in the GL mucks up thermals for what could have been a decent Southwest flow gradient event in later panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 I've seen worse late Feb looks. Clean up that mess near the GL, flatten out the SER a hair, and move the Western ridge east a blip and we probably have something. Winter isn't over yet thats for sure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Anti snow sun angle season is here, melted the snow on my car through the clouds and a temp of 30F 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 27 minutes ago, RedSky said: Anti snow sun angle season is here, melted the snow on my car through the clouds and a temp of 30F I actually really enjoy the last 2 weeks of feb and the first days of March. Not enough angle yet to be completely detrimental but just enough to usually keep roads in check and as you said also helps with cleaning the car. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Rgem is 3-6" for se pa on Monday. Someone sell me some hopiates because I want to believe 7" weenie dot over red skys house 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 2 hours ago, The Iceman said: Rgem is 3-6" for se pa on Monday. Someone sell me some hopiates because I want to believe 7" weenie dot over red skys house Two contours south of me but that's ok everything moves NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Low north of us and precip arrives in the dead afternoon, if this one could get delayed 6 hours we may have a shot... Right now looks like white rain at best like the ICON. I hope the rgem comes true but I have serious doubts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 4 hours ago, The Iceman said: Rgem is 3-6" for se pa on Monday. Someone sell me some hopiates because I want to believe 7" weenie dot over red skys house It appears the timing of this is horrible, late morning / early afternoon. It would be a nice little hit if somehow overnight... Flyers / Bruins Sunday outdoors at Lake Tahoe. My God look at that scenery... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Been light snow since at least first light. Elevation squeeze. Sun out....blue sky scattered about.....yet the light snow has not stopped. Love the mountains. About an inch thus farSent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Rgem continues to hint at maybe c-2" along 95 n and w(2" are the nw areas). 3km is pretty close to that too. Timing just absolutely blows though! Im rooting for white rain/snow tv at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 What happened to the Friday threat? Just up and went poof overnight on all guidance except the ICON. Though last time the icon was on its own, things turned out pretty well(super bowl storm). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Been light snow since at least first light. Elevation squeeze. Sun out....blue sky scattered about.....yet the light snow has not stopped. Love the mountains. About an inch thus farSent from my iPad using TapatalkStill snowing without a stop. 1.5-2......fluffySent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 24 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Rgem continues to hint at maybe c-2" along 95 n and w(2" are the nw areas). 3km is pretty close to that too. Timing just absolutely blows though! Im rooting for white rain/snow tv at this point. This will a be grass only (or snow on snow) event if anything. May not even stick on cars....unproductive snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 13 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: This will a be grass only (or snow on snow) event if anything. May not even stick on cars....unproductive snow. I’m curious what falls. I’m wondering if it will be white rain, rain, snow that acc on snow, rate dependent snow, no clue really. Best guess is rain with flakes mixed in for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: I’m curious what falls. I’m wondering if it will be white rain, rain, snow that acc on snow, rate dependent snow, no clue really. Best guess is rain with flakes mixed in for the city Snow on snow maybe but that's about it. No car toppers, no pavement/asphalt and basically slop to rain IMO. Would like a surprise but I don't see it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 21 hours ago, RedSky said: Anti snow sun angle season is here, melted the snow on my car through the clouds and a temp of 30F I have it pegged down between the 2nd and 3rd week in Feb its effects start to be noticed. Not super horrible yet but you notice it from a month ago. I'm sitting at 31F and sunny but quite a bit dripping going on... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 17 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: I have it pegged down between the 2nd and 3rd week in Feb its effects start to be noticed. Not super horrible yet but you notice it from a month ago. I'm sitting at 31F and sunny but quite a bit dripping going on... Good icicle making conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Just now, KamuSnow said: Good icicle making conditions. No doubt and should have mentioned this. I have some nice ones....although a couple may drill me in the head falling if not careful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Just now, Birds~69 said: No doubt and should have mentioned this. I have some nice ones....although a couple may drill me in the head falling if not careful. I laughed but be safe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 ECM UKIE GFS PARA want to add 3-4" snow to the glacier in the high counties Monday. From there the 30 days of endless cold and snow ends and the spring melt begins will be interesting to see how long it lasts. No question this is a top ten 30 day period of snow/cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 I'm about to go out and do some snow cleanup touch up. Don't know about anyone else, but with the amount of sleet we had down here this has been a labor/exertion intensive process. 3x the effort of last week, which lines up inversely with the 3:1 ratio for sleet (vs 10:1 for average snow). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: ECM UKIE GFS PARA want to add 3-4" snow to the glacier in the high counties Monday. From there the 30 days of endless cold and snow ends and the spring melt begins will be interesting to see how long it lasts. Yeah I've been thinking about that too. This month has been awesome. Hoping to hold onto some snowpack thru the end of the month, which would be notable. I'm somewhat susceptible to cabin fever, etc. by the time we get to this time of the year. Like last winter was basically 5 months of brown and drab, and looking forward to April which seemed far away in February. This year (and even a normal snow year) is much better - snow on snow etc., changes up the landscape, looks beautiful, and next thing you know spring is right around the corner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 2 hours ago, The Iceman said: What happened to the Friday threat? Just up and went poof overnight on all guidance except the ICON. Though last time the icon was on its own, things turned out pretty well(super bowl storm). GFS trended the right way. Euro has it but weakish. Worth keeping an eye on but not a strong signal attm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Sun is all but gone, clouds moved in and breezy... 31F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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