ChescoWx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 35 minutes ago, mattinpa said: It’s only Feb 12. I don’t think our snow threats are over. Hopefully the Tuesday threat got as far north as it is getting and goes south now. Every winter is different, so we'll see how this one plays out. I believe 2010-11 was a snowy Nina for us, that one abruptly ended after an ice storm in mid Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Too early to talk about the 19-21st time frame? Snow to rain? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Started off February rocking with a B to an A+ storm depending on location, and a two week outlook that was OFF THE HOOK GREAT LOOKING. What has happened since? Performed at the extreme low end snow potential guidance envelope, and the best the third week can offer is an ice storm of some kind. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 10 minutes ago, RedSky said: Started off February rocking with a B to an A+ storm depending on location, and a two week outlook that was OFF THE HOOK GREAT LOOKING. What has happened since? Performed at the extreme low end snow potential guidance envelope, and the best the third week can offer is an ice storm of some kind. I'm rooting for hours of heavy rain with temps in the mid teens... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Thames has frozen over the first time in 60 years, and there's pics of snow in Scotland almost as impressive as north Japan in winter. The clear winners of the SSW event early January is the UK. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Well the winter event weenie in me thinks ice would be more exciting than rain, but my head says ice is bad. So I am conflicted, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 Current temp 24/DP 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Overnight guidance only has increased the flood threat this week. Gfs has Philly hitting 60 on Friday morning in addition to 1" on qpf. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 38 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Overnight guidance only has increased the flood threat this week. Gfs has Philly hitting 60 on Friday morning in addition to 1" on qpf. Yet the Euro has barely a drop of non-frozen the entire run for most of PA and temps well BN. Euro mostly all snow the same period where the GFS is 60 and rain. One will fail terribly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 So do we go with the Euro has been crud lately theory and ignore it? Or does it have support with the seasonal trend to turn cutters into coastals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 GFS para looks closer to euro. Epic icing Tuesday just N and W. Frozen Thursday then a brief 12 hr warmup before polar front presses thru. More frozen in the LR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Guess I should get some gas and fill up the propane bottle tank just in case? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GFS para looks closer to euro. Epic icing Tuesday just N and W. Frozen Thursday then a brief 12 hr warmup before polar front presses thru. More frozen in the LR. Agree with you there is still a very large, impactful Ice threat in the N and W Zones. Most guidance depicts temps 33-35 over the region. We’re still 3 days out. Not sure why this is being written off by many as Rain. I certainly wouldn’t be letting my guard down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 26F here and a stray flake every so often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 40 minutes ago, Lady Di said: Guess I should get some gas and fill up the propane bottle tank just in case? Yeah, probably. Ideally you won't need it but better to be prepared. Not looking forward to freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 9 hours ago, snowwors2 said: Good evening deer friend! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Smh 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Smh This will Not verify.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 9 minutes ago, Snowcane21 said: This will Not verify.... Nao weakening This will verify 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 Current temp is 28/DP 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Euro hours of mixing to rain Thurs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 ICON has a nice thump before the rain Thursday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Thursday is trending towards more frozen imo. Should be a nice thump at the very least but it feels like one of those 3-6" slop storms that ends as light rain. Tuesday is dead for almost everyone at this point, only thing to watch there is if the precip keeps increasing. New nam paints a stripe of 1-1.5" qpf through se pa that is mostly liquid. Rgem is juiced up too. Should be a mess as that all falls in 12 hours. Going to run right off... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 10 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Thursday is trending towards more frozen imo. Should be a nice thump at the very least but it feels like one of those 3-6" slop storms that ends as light rain. Tuesday is dead for almost everyone at this point, only thing to watch there is if the precip keeps increasing. New nam paints a stripe of 1-1.5" qpf through se pa that is mostly liquid. Rgem is juiced up too. Should be a mess as that all falls in 12 hours. Going to run right off... Many of us would take that regarding Thurs. I think Mon night will be dicier than today...? 24F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: Thursday is trending towards more frozen imo. Should be a nice thump at the very least but it feels like one of those 3-6" slop storms that ends as light rain. Tuesday is dead for almost everyone at this point, only thing to watch there is if the precip keeps increasing. New nam paints a stripe of 1-1.5" qpf through se pa that is mostly liquid. Rgem is juiced up too. Should be a mess as that all falls in 12 hours. Going to run right off... Euro just did that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Making glaciers up here this week. Im beginning to wonder if the 3-6 hrs of rain the NAM is advertising early Tuesday will have much of a melt impact. I can see it just acting as a compactor before the deep freeze returns. Solid base for the thump to accumulate Thursday. Then maybe we can begin to see temps moderate again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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