The Iceman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Rgem and nam are game for 1-3" in the lehigh valley tomorrow btw with the front. Even upper bucks and montco could see coating to an inch. Areas that see rain also don't see much of it so we should all keep our packs mostly intact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I will not get my hopes up, I will not get my hopes up, I will not get my hopes up, I will not get my hopes up. At least I don't see any sleet ! Will start will nothing, out to sea, or rain too far inland, to...........I won't get my hopes up! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irish Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 https://servimg.com/view/19858976/512 Another slide NW from the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Gfs pretty similar to 6z. Maybe a tick further N. Definitely not major changes from 6z though. Honestly a pretty good spot to be in at this range since I don't think the n trend is done by any means. Bl temps are already iffy though, going to need the rates to stay frozen around 95 imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 The real 12z icon actually ticked se and is more in line with the gfs now. Interesting how the icon has barely wavered on this storm despite being an awful model it's definitely lead the way so far though. Now let's see what the ukie/euro do. Think we want to at least see the nw trend continue on them since they were so far se. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Canadian out to sea... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Animal said: Canadian out to sea... Too many Mooseheads, they don't know what they're talking about... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, Animal said: Canadian out to sea... Trend was a solid bump N.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 GEFS went a hair more progressive and clustering is tightening to just inside the outer banks with not as many NW leaners as 6z. Precip on NW edge tightened to the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Nice storm next weekend on the gfs and then the brutally cold air comes in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bpjones595 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Canadian out to sea.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Euro says even down toward 95 may have a shot at a coating tomorrow morning with the front. Very little rain for anyone besides s jersey and delaware. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 NAVGEM is a hit. Nice jump NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 CRAS also came NW fwiw...probably not much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Euro took a healthier system a jump N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Euro took a healthier system a jump N. Big time jump NW compared to 00z. That model is just plain broken right now.. you'd almost never see the euro swing that significantly inside 84 hours in the past. It's pretty much in line with the GFS now, just with a warmer BL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1000 mile move north from 0z ECM run how the mighty have fallen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 6 minutes ago, RedSky said: 1000 mile move north from 0z ECM run how the mighty have fallen there's a new king in town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 The storm on Tuesday is also trending more south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 6 minutes ago, The Iceman said: there's a new king in town Sooo the Euro was the ONLY model that showed this potential 5 days ago. It lost it for ONE cycle and somehow it’s fallen. While today is the First time the GFS even showed the potential. I’m riding the Euro for life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 9 minutes ago, Snowcane21 said: Sooo the Euro was the ONLY model that showed this potential 5 days ago. It lost it for ONE cycle and somehow it’s fallen. While today is the First time the GFS even showed the potential. I’m riding the Euro for life. enjoy those 1000 mile swings between runs btw that's the para gfs, not the gfs and it has been consistently outperforming the euro the last month or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Vday looks interesting on all the models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bpjones595 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 The storm on Tuesday is also trending more southGotta focus on the weekend storm and how that sets up once it moves out. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 49 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Vday looks interesting on all the models The Great Wentzadelphia Saint Valentine's Day 2021 Blizzard of 96 Redux. Now THAT'S a name! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcane21 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: enjoy those 1000 mile swings between runs btw that's the para gfs, not the gfs and it has been consistently outperforming the euro the last month or so. One month compared to 15 years of superiority. Still riding with the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 15 minutes ago, Snowcane21 said: One month compared to 15 years of superiority. Still riding with the Euro Euro all the way -- I barely know models but I know they're the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Next 3 storms on the GFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 The Day After Tomorrow run on GFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Brrrr Aside from these lows night of the 13th, GFS doesn't get out of the low single digits in SE PA on Valentine's Day. Two straight nights solidly below zero for majority of the state of PA. We know it wont verify this cold but damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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