Kevin Reilly Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, RedSky said: Icon is 4-7" for all This thing is going to wiggle around still but I’m okay with what we have to track!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Oh it pulled wave 2 north alright! Down here in Delaware County sloppy snow 2-4” maybe??? Take and run because rain is 40 miles south and zip from wave 2 which is crushed 650-780 miles to our south Delaware County is 3" that's half you normal January snow in one day! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Canadian is 3-5" so far 0z is 3 for 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 30 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Pretty sure you'll be on heavy duty meds before winter is over....not positive but pretty sure. This positiveness positively works bro! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Ukie is 6-8" even extends outside this region and the best of the night. 4 for 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 North trends 6 gfs is a swift kick in the nutz on my block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Looking at this set up I’m thinking snow to sleet to rain down here in Delaware County take the 2-4” and run hopefully? Even north nothing is going to stop the warming aloft sleet will take over. I also think some of these snowfall maps are showing the sleet issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 hour ago, Kevin Reilly said: Looking at this set up I’m thinking snow to sleet to rain down here in Delaware County take the 2-4” and run hopefully? Even north nothing is going to stop the warming aloft sleet will take over. I also think some of these snowfall maps are showing the sleet issue. We can hope for a south trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Im in the mostly snow zone by 5 miles, lock it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 ^ If you want the best snows, you have to smell the pink Anyone have the kahonnies to start a thread for this event? Who has the hot hand?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 10 minutes ago, JTA66 said: ^ If you want the best snows, you have to smell the pink Anyone have the kahonnies to start a thread for this event? Who has the hot hand?? Lets give it till tomorrow Please. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Pummeled! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Sad thing is, we still jackpot per that run compared to NYC and DC...lol! Fortunately it's the NAM at range. Next! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 8 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Sad thing is, we still jackpot per that run compared to NYC and DC...lol! Fortunately it's the NAM at range. Next! Yep. Not about to cave yet, but the rest of 12z needs to show improvements down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 ICON ticked S with the heavier band of snow....just N of my area now. Still has central Bucks in 1-3" range but a good chunk of that is sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 GFS is suddenly the most aggressive model wrt snowfall/frozen. 4-6" here, some sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 12z gfs is a swift kick in the nutz in my area again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 10 minutes ago, Animal said: 12z gfs is a swift kick in the nutz in my area again. looks good for me....... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Really liking a solid 3" to 6" for much of the area - as NWS said this morning the warm layer will be shallow so might be a case of snow or IP with rain further south. In these cases the snow can overcome the thin warm layer.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 13 minutes ago, hazwoper said: looks good for me....... I think he is in Delco 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 CMC is a decent 3-6" advisory event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Definitely glad I'm up in Hopewell and not down in Levittown for this one. Really could be a huge difference. Looking like the typical fall line kind of storm around here where 95 is the dividing line between snow and a mix. Still I bet most of the region save for S jersey stays frozen throughout or at least ends as light rain. I don't see this being a mostly rain storm for anyone except extreme S Jersey. First guess and this is still 4 days out, would be 3-6" N of 95 with lollipops in the 8-10" range somewhere in the lehigh valley where the mix line doesn't touch. along 95 I would say 1-4" with heavy mixing. Then c-2" with mostly mix and rain south of 95. I understand people want an all snow storm but this is how we get the majority of our snow around here. Front end thumps over to mixing. I'm still excited for this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: CMC is a decent 3-6" advisory event Works for me, now if we can get the follow up threat to start the tick N, snow on snow would be great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 12z models are speeding up the 2nd wave to 24hrs after #1 not enough separation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 CMC still north with storm #2, a glancing blow but close to a big storm in these parts. S jersey actually makes out the best. Agreed that we hopefully see the same N ticks that we've seen with this one. It won't take much, really a 100 mile shift N, gets most of us in the game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 9 minutes ago, RedSky said: CMC is a decent 3-6" advisory event Canadian looks solid..sign me up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 12 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I think he is in Delco Lower Delco ..1.7 miles from booths corners farmers market Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Paul created a thread for the 25-26th threat. Since we are now inside 5 days and it looks like it will be a significant winter threat I say we should move all storm discussion over to that thread. This thread will remain for the 2nd storm on the 28-29th threat that way we have discussion broken up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 18 minutes ago, penndotguy said: Works for me, now if we can get the follow up threat to start the tick N, snow on snow would be great And right on cue.....GFS, GEFS, CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 12 minutes ago, Animal said: Lower Delco ..1.7 miles from booths corners farmers market Oh snap, near my old stomping grounds. Familiar with Secane? Used to live a block from Imperial Pizza. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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