Heisy Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/1/2020 at 9:10 AM, ChescoWx said: We just missed finishing (in a virtual tie but losing the rounding game) for the Warmest November on record with an average reading of 50.06 vs the all-time record from 1931 of 50.10 I don’t pay attention too much to records, but it seems all we ever see are record highs. Record lows only come in spurts it seems like a night or day. When is the last month during a cold season where the month was near top 5 or even 10 record low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 3 hours ago, Wentzadelphia said: I don’t pay attention too much to records, but it seems all we ever see are record highs. Record lows only come in spurts it seems like a night or day. When is the last month during a cold season where the month was near top 5 or even 10 record low? I can't necessarily speak for the Philly area, but I know in the western part of the state we have had two Top-10 coldest Novembers in the last three years ('18 - 8th, and '19 - 10th). For the actual winter months, I'll have to go out further than Top-10. The most recent notable record is February 2015 (second coldest ever), followed by January 2003 (11th) and December 2010 (12th) . February of '07 and '14, December of '00 and '05, and January months of '03, '04, and '09 are all contemporary records. However, all of those months are way down the lists in the teens or even twenties. March is barely represented. 2014 is it on the "top" list, and it is way down there (19th). In the Top-18 for cold March, the most recent is March of 1984. Seems March hasn't been all that cold in a long time. Daily and yearly records are harder to find. 1994 is the most recent cold day. Seems the 80s were kinda cold, overall. If we consider certain elements to be cyclical, maybe things will shift back the other direction eventually. Or maybe climate change will prevent that and things are forever different and unpredictable. That analysis goes above my pay grade. TL;DR: One Top-10 in the last 20+ years: February of 2015 (for actual winter, anyway). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Going to echo what Ralph said earlier and hope that this weekend's storm is just a sign of what's to come storm track wise. Going to be painful to watch pretty much a perfect track still end in a fail here because of the lack of cold air. Euro still showing the potential to end as some flakes to maybe a coating for the NW burbs and pocono's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 0z Euro still paints up to a couple inches of snow at the tail end for some of the higher spots of Western Chester County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 and 6z even less... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 3 hours ago, The Iceman said: Going to echo what Ralph said earlier and hope that this weekend's storm is just a sign of what's to come storm track wise. Going to be painful to watch pretty much a perfect track still end in a fail here because of the lack of cold air. Euro still showing the potential to end as some flakes to maybe a coating for the NW burbs and pocono's. Revisit this setup in 3 weeks and BAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Judging from the recent ensemble update, I would look for our next real threat to be centered in the 12/12-12/13 range. Looks like the NAO/AO rise towards neutral and the PNA dives towards negative. There tends to be an event centered around that flip. Details this far out as far as any specific event are useless but hopefully we will have a better stock of cold air in place for it. That's the time period I'm most hopeful at this time anyway for now. Also have to hope that rise in the AO/NAO region is short lived because with a strong Nina, a +PNA for a significant amount of time was always highly unlikely. We really need the atlantic to cooperate or it's going to be rough... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Been raining here this morning. did not expect it start until late tonight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 12z ECM first measurable snow for DC south Monday Snow in the south before us is right out of weenie handbook rule #3 for a crappy winter. Rule #4 We have to wait an additional 2-4 weeks to get out first lol * Does not apply to West Chester Paul- different climatology region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 5, 2020 Author Share Posted December 5, 2020 Picked up 0.15" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 5, 2020 Author Share Posted December 5, 2020 Picked up 0.56" of rain so far today. Storm total so far 0.71" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1.06 of liquid at 7 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Currently 44f with NW winds 20-25 picked up 2.75” since last night. Ocean temp right around 50f so a few degrees above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1.09" storm rainfall total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 I don't think it rains less than an inch at a time anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1.14" storm total here. The pivot looked nice on the radar very early this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1.5" for the storm and 3.5" rain locally the first week of December. Already near a months worth of rain and the winter forecasts are for drier than normal La Nina what is going on. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nevildev Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Just shy of an 1" of rain overnight - would love to see some of that New England snow... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 5, 2020 Author Share Posted December 5, 2020 Picked up 0.68" of rain for the day. Storm total rainfall 0.83" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1.10" Only 5 more months of this and we can turn on the AC again. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 45 minutes ago, JTA66 said: 1.10" Only 5 more months of this and we can turn on the AC again. Sunsets get later again after Monday, that should help warm us up 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Final 1.12 of liquid. had to dust off an old book I got years ago. needed to review the big events for the area and what occurred. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 5 hours ago, RedSky said: Sunsets get later again after Monday, that should help warm us up Isn't the Winter solstice two weeks from this Monday, the 21st? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Is Glenn waiting till March to put out his winter forecast or is he saying F-it, I'm getting too old for this and not chief Met any longer? Seen nothing online beside someone asked him 4 days ago on his FB w/no response... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 So far my December snow flurries are behind the rates I saw in May, and my November squall was a tie for May lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 3 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Isn't the Winter solstice two weeks from this Monday, the 21st? It's a joke because the days do keep shortening but yes the earliest sunset is on the 7th according to the stellar mechanics 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Many fellow weenie peeps got Lucy'd in New England like we usually do. I have to dig into the arcane weenie handbook to see what this means for winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 7 hours ago, RedSky said: Many fellow weenie peeps got Lucy'd in New England like we usually do. I have to dig into the arcane weenie handbook to see what this means for winter. They can get screwed all winter and still end up w/10"+ more than our average...so 30" for them which isn't too shabby. No pity here... 35F 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 8 hours ago, RedSky said: Many fellow weenie peeps got Lucy'd in New England like we usually do. I have to dig into the arcane weenie handbook to see what this means for winter. New England Lucy'd, Euro back to leading the pack, DT on the Mid Atl forum. This is the stuff of lore that we once told our kids about and it's happening again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now