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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2020/2021 OBS Thread


Rtd208
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15 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Nice lil snow storm from Norfolk to Cape Hatty near day 7 on the ECM. Too much of a block can be a bad thing.

 

Its funny how often we talk of needing to thread the needle without a -nao but you still need do the same thing even with it in place. I personally won't feel warm and fuzzy or hyped about this pattern until something interesting shows up on guidance within 7 days. Right now, looks mostly like cold rains or sheared out messes to the south.

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5 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Its funny how often we talk of needing to thread the needle without a -nao but you still need do the same thing even with it in place. I personally won't feel warm and fuzzy or hyped about this pattern until something interesting shows up on guidance within 7 days. Right now, looks mostly like cold rains or sheared out messes to the south.

Really? All upset over a day 7-8 euro run that was a few miles from being a hit?

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Just now, Wentzadelphia said:

Really? All upset over a day 7-8 euro run that was a few miles from being a hit?

Where do you get upset from that post? Just my own thoughts. We are still threading the needle with every threat with the marginal cold air in place. Do you see high ku potential within 7 days? I don't with that airmass in place unless we get a perfect track. 

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1 minute ago, The Iceman said:

Where do you get upset from that post? Just my own thoughts. We are still threading the needle with every threat with the marginal cold air in place. Do you see high ku potential within 7 days? I don't with that airmass in place unless we get a perfect track. 

Perfect track and needle threaded= see today's 12Z CMC lol

 

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Icy on the mountain. Many wrecks on the hills leading to the cabin road. Told someone not to even try and haul a car trailer off the mountain. They did anyway...jack knifed as I predicted. Looks like the roads up top are being closed for wreck removals.


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