The Iceman Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 8 hours ago, Wentzadelphia said: I think this time next week we’ll have some very interesting events on the horizon. Aka we’ll be digital snow tracking lol. I’ll ban myself if I’m wrong but I’m starting to get excited. Hope you're correct. The lack of cold air continent wide has me concerned though. Combine that with ocean temps in the atl still above normal and things look pretty bleak snow wise for 95 through at least mid month imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 2 hours ago, The Iceman said: Hope you're correct. The lack of cold air continent wide has me concerned though. Combine that with ocean temps in the atl still above normal and things look pretty bleak snow wise for 95 through at least mid month imo. Agreed! need to remember in January and early February is does not have to be well below normal for snow.....just the right track and strength and voila! What happens in December the winter remembers....keep the faith!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Just now, ChescoWx said: Agreed! need to remember in January and early February is does not have to be well below normal for snow.....just the right track and strength and voila! What happens in December the winter remembers....keep the faith!! I am thinking just like December we have above normal snowfall for both January and February....despite above normal temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 The hype meter is off the scale for rocking blocking come mid January. This should be interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 hour ago, RedSky said: The hype meter is off the scale for rocking blocking come mid January. This should be interesting. I'm certainly not getting pumped for something 15-20 days in the future. Hell, we can't get our shit together 3 days out... 41F 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 hour ago, RedSky said: The hype meter is off the scale for rocking blocking come mid January. This should be interesting. Funny thing is the PAC begins to look half decent on the GEFS then we completely lose the NAO. So we can get some colder air with sheared out waves in a progressive flow east of the Mississippi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 19 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Funny thing is the PAC begins to look half decent on the GEFS then we completely lose the NAO. So we can get some colder air with sheared out waves in a progressive flow east of the Mississippi. The NAO is kicking off in a few days but that is going to be wasted as a result of Pacific air. But the SSW event is the bigger item. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 The potential record low pressure to crash Alaska is going to do something for us. The question is will it be tiki bar weather or cold&snowy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Who knows how any of this will play out and what effect it will have on the sensible weather in our backyards. All I know is the last couple of winters, I was already looking for the towel in early Jan. Give me a month of winter from Jan 15 to Feb 15 and I'll be a happy weenie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 3 hours ago, RedSky said: The NAO is kicking off in a few days but that is going to be wasted as a result of Pacific air. But the SSW event is the bigger item. Nobody knows how the SSWE will work out.....nobody. Dont be fooled into thinking they do. Yes there are some correlations but many more questions that scientists are still working on answers for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 IMHO all signs point to an above normal snow winter....despite above normal temps......see my Western Chesco analysis....the numbers can't lie......can they??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Just took a walk right before midnight and still a couple semi decent mounds (1'-2+' tall) of snow at the North Wales train station. Not too shabby....lasted 2+ weeks when all is said and done. Temps rising as expected...36F a couple hours ago, now 42F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 31, 2020 Author Share Posted December 31, 2020 Picking up some decent rain here this morning. 0.37" of rain so far today. Current temp 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 42F but getting some pingers mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 43F and sleet/rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 40.5 with some IP mixed in with the rain here in NW Chesco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Next week is looking better across guidance wrt HL blocking and subsequent ridging out west later in the period. Pattern evolution had been showing for a while but now it is getting closer in time and not being kicked later which is a great sign. Key features moving forward are the evolution and progression of a negative west based NAO, disturbances forced under the region, and eventually ridging in the EPO and perhaps PNA regions. First two 500mb maps are the Euro and GEPS showing what I am talking about. The Euro actually has a weak 50/50 in addition to a possible storm signal around day 8ish which is reflected at the surface in the bottom map. We should finally begin to have trackable events within the next few days irt medium and longer range. Eta: ensembles continue the pattern progression with a very active and dare I say "classic" look thru the end of their runs. Euro op has another potentially bigger system brewing after day 10. Let's get thru the next few days and kick 2020 outta here. Happy New Year friends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 52 minutes ago, JTA66 said: 42F but getting some pingers mixed in. I was outside/feeling pingers and thought I was crazy/hallucinating because I knew it was 40F+....apparently not. 41F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Pingers way down here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 16 minutes ago, Lady Di said: Pingers way down here too. Rain with some grauple here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Was following the ECM run at day 8 and it looked great, but with the small problem of lacking precipitation wouldn't that be a kick in the nads lol Not to mention I think from imby N&W we are going to experience anxiety and gnashing of teeth, it's the Arnold Schwarzeneggar of blocks predicted. As bad as 2010 was for us this could be even worse. The ugly word suppression is coming back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 24 minutes ago, RedSky said: Was following the ECM run at day 8 and it looked great, but with the small problem of lacking precipitation wouldn't that be a kick in the nads lol Not to mention I think from imby N&W we are going to experience anxiety and gnashing of teeth, it's the Arnold Schwarzeneggar of blocks predicted. As bad as 2010 was for us this could be even worse. The ugly word suppression is coming back. Just what I like....positivity! 40F 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 31, 2020 Author Share Posted December 31, 2020 Picked up 0.54" of rain so far today. Current temp 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: Just what I like....positivity! 40F Yeah positivity in 2020 lol Anybody that is positive at this point needs a straight jacket. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 I see no reason to change my views of what is evolving for this winter based on the analogs in my forecast and the indices that will matter including the WPO / + PNA / - AO and / -NAO - I am on board with an above normal snow season for Western Chester County - despite how wrong my twitter and email messages keep telling me I will be....I may of course be wrong as professionals know much better than I but....I am sticking with my call. Above normal temps but above normal snowfall for Western Chester County PA Happy New Year to all! I suspect there will be quite a few snow or rumors of snow in our future. All the best in 2021 to you and your families!! Paul 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Happy New Years phl team. It’s been a long strange trip in 2020. my regards to anyone impacted by COVID. cheers to hopefully a different world in the back half of 2021. Honestly can’t believe it’s 2021. Bitter sweet getting old in the USA! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Happy New Year all! Drunk neighbor igniting sticks of dynamite an hour early.. 30F 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 The year twenty twenty won? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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