The Iceman Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Don't rule out 1-3" Sunday evening se pa and NJ. 3km nam picking up on the low level cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 22 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Don't rule out 1-3" Sunday evening se pa and NJ. 3km nam picking up on the low level cold. Saw that too, sneaky system. Any snow won't have a hard time accumulating on the snow we already have down. Also, models picking up on a small clipper like piece of energy trying to swing through Monday night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 58 minutes ago, Newman said: Saw that too, sneaky system. Any snow won't have a hard time accumulating on the snow we already have down. Also, models picking up on a small clipper like piece of energy trying to swing through Monday night Euro has been sniffing that one for a few runs now laying down light accums. Ironically 12z today was the first run it backed off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 WXSIM has snow arriving about 10am on Sunday morning - some moderate snow by 1pm with a brief period of Heavy Snow by 4pm ending by 530pm with 1" to 2" of snow accumulating....of interest it also predicts that while about 4" of snow will be on the ground on the morning of the 24th....it will all be wiped away before Christmas morning with a 45 degree high and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: WXSIM has snow arriving about 10am on Sunday morning - some moderate snow by 1pm with a brief period of Heavy Snow by 4pm ending by 530pm with 1" to 2" of snow accumulating....of interest it also predicts that while about 4" of snow will be on the ground on the morning of the 24th....it will all be wiped away before Christmas morning with a 45 degree high and rain. 18z GFS says maybe some fresh anafront accums morning of the 25th for you. Not a reliable setup but who knows....we've had anafront snows twice already soooo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Clear skies, snowpack and light winds....looking for my first single digit night or damn close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 18z GFS says maybe some fresh anafront accums morning of the 25th for you. Not a reliable setup but who knows....we've had anafront snows twice already soooo. Hi Steve! I guess a Christmas miracle is possible...not a big believer in anafront accumlations....but heck - the Christmas magic!! Happy Holidays to you and yours!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 3 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Clear skies, snowpack and light winds....looking for my first single digit night or damn close. 22F @ 9:30pm....I have some work to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 6abc(accu weather) 11pm: Hell. I'll take that progression of cold air mixing stuff 2am Xmas... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 5 hours ago, Birds~69 said: 6abc(accu weather) 11pm: Hell. I'll take that progression of cold air mixing stuff 2am Xmas... 6 gfs...does not indicate much snow for accumulation. Reading possible severe weather over to snow. Possibly get a dusting. Likely change by early this coming week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 hour ago, Animal said: 6 gfs...does not indicate much snow for accumulation. Reading possible severe weather over to snow. Possibly get a dusting. Likely change by early this coming week. Yeah, doesn't look great. Just have to hope the cold air blast in quicker than expected. Hit my low of the season (I think?) at 14F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 12F real feel 7 Doesn’t get much better than cold and white outside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 11 hours ago, ChescoWx said: Hi Steve! I guess a Christmas miracle is possible...not a big believer in anafront accumlations....but heck - the Christmas magic!! Happy Holidays to you and yours!! Same to you and your family Paul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 11F with a foot of snow on the ground at 7:17AM. Brings back good memories! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Have a reading of 18 @ 9 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1st Teens of the season this AM and first since February 21st - low was 15.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 11 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: 1st Teens of the season this AM and first since February 21st - low was 15.9 You seem to keep accurate data but are you sure about first teens of the season? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Just now, Birds~69 said: You seem to keep accurate data but are you sure about first teens of the season? With a little bit of elevation on a hill we don't radiate so while a couple miles away down at Marsh Creek lake level (400 ft asl) they have had several lows in the teens ...both here at 685 ft asl and at KMQS Coatesville Airport at 660ft we both had our 1st sub-20 day of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: With a little bit of elevation on a hill we don't radiate so while a couple miles away down at Marsh Creek lake level (400 ft asl) they have had several lows in the teens ...both here at 685 ft asl and at KMQS Coatesville Airport at 660ft we both had our 1st sub-20 day of the season. That may be it. I would have thought for sure you had several teen mornings but apparently not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Valley Weather Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Had a low of 9 this morning in Lionville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 14F this morning. 12z NAM still shows snow showers tomorrow. Nothing much but nice seeing flakes this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 11 minutes ago, JTA66 said: 14F this morning. 12z NAM still shows snow showers tomorrow. Nothing much but nice seeing flakes this time of year. Snow on snow! 27F 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 9F low locally, lower elevation sensors got down to 4F. Looks good out there driving around yesterday evening with the xmas lights. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Nice break this week....nothing "major" to track. Maybe a stripe of light snow along the River Sunday but tbh temps are marginal. Maybe some light snow showers Monday PM. T storms Thursday night maybe ending briefly as flakes Christmas morning before temps plummet and flash freeze. Rest up....things look blocky up North and no shortage of disturbances coming across the country as we enter the last week of 2020 and into 2021. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 First snow-surrounded kettle fire with the revamped kettle fire area! We don't usually use the lamp but it's cool having power handy.... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: First snow-surrounded kettle fire with the revamped kettle fire area! We don't usually use the lamp but it's cool having power handy.... Looks Great! But you need a whiskey bottle and a half filled glass on the table in the background for the true holiday/winter experience... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Looks Great! But you need a whiskey bottle and a half filled glass on the table in the background for the true holiday/winter experience... Lol, I thought about it. All we have down here at the moment is coffee and V-8's. But yeah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 minute ago, KamuSnow said: Lol, I thought about it. All we have down here at the moment is coffee and V-8's. But yeah! May have a little snow early-mid morning tomorrow. Hang outside then w/the coffee...scenic and peaceful. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Some precip moving up...not sure if it's making it to the ground.(dreaded virga) 26F 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Ensembles are beginning to highlight the week following Christmas for a favorable pattern for POTENTIAL winter storm evolution. Front comes thru Christmas morning and associated slp heads towards Nova Scotia and begins to pump a ridge near Southern Greenland over the weekend (east-based -NAO?). By the time Monday the 28th rolls around there is a blocking pattern established in the NAO region (east?). This is the period to watch (Dec 28-Jan 3) as disturbances head across the country and run into the block. Potential is high based on these looks for one of the disturbances to connect IF the blocky looks continue in the NAO. AO is neutral to slight negative, PNA ridge is trying to pump, Aleutian low is present, and there is a weak split flow off the West Coast. All are favorable teleconnections. Keep in mind this doesn't always yield a storm but these are the drivers that many look for when discussing Northeast winter storm potential. GEFS is the most aggressive wrt actually honing in on a specific threat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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