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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2020/2021 OBS Thread


Rtd208
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On 12/12/2020 at 12:22 PM, hurricane1091 said:

It's nice being on the right side of this one for a change at least so I'm pretty happy lol. How many times have you gotten your hopes out 5 days out just to be dissapointed? So it's nice for me knowing I actually won't be dissapointed when this inevitably starts falling apart Sunday night or Monday.

Feeling smart might delete later idk.

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3 minutes ago, SP said:


So you’re saying there is a chance?


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Thanks man. My only concern right now is the NAM which seems to get that deformation zone a touch east from lewisburg. Then again a lot of other models bullseye them so it’s a win win, but I don’t want to be sitting there and keep hoping that the heaviest dbz get to me. I’m a greeedy mofo lol

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14 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

Thanks man. My only concern right now is the NAM which seems to get that deformation zone a touch east from lewisburg. Then again a lot of other models bullseye them so it’s a win win, but I don’t want to be sitting there and keep hoping that the heaviest dbz get to me. I’m a greeedy mofo lol

Hit up Bloomsburg, pa

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11 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Accu weather weenie Xmas day forecast...

xmas.jpg

They sure do cover all their bases -- "perhaps some sun, with snow possible". Well, they do say there's a 0% probability of thunderstorms...going out on quite a limb there.

I'll go with the usual KA Christmas forecast: partly sunny, 50's.

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The Atlantic block and 50/50 goes away which is a shame because, if we had it to slow the flow, this might be a great storm threat. Verbatim, the west coast ridge is in a perfect Boise-centered location until it rolls over on us and pushes the trough out. It's still close though. Will be interesting to watch. In the meantime, I need some rest from tracking this past storm.

500hv.conus.png

sfct.conus.png

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1 hour ago, Birds~69 said:

12z GFS

The Christmas eve/day has some potential but still a week away...pretty kick ass cold front either way.

Potential for beach chair 55-60F temps  xmas eve until around sunrise :devilsmiley: then temps dropping into the 20's xmas day late evening it's going to be interesting.

Also Thunderstorms and torrential downpours Christmas morning and high wind

 

 

 

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