hazwoper Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: 18z Viet NAM conged us doesn't look different from the 12Z.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 31 minutes ago, hazwoper said: doesn't look different from the 12Z.... The fact the euro is the southern outlier and given its less than stellar track record AND with the NAM being consistent with the sleet/ice look, we shouldn't write the NAM off nor the warmer solutions. It certainly has some merit in that solution. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 18z RGEM destroys se pa thurs. 98% frozen. Has the look I've been thinking...heavy thump, mix, dry slot. Ok, not total destruction but a sweet hit lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 For the city it is going to come down to where that initial fronto banding sets up. This storm won’t be able to give us snow from the coastal since the upper levels are t great. Think of PD2 where that initial fronto crushed DC and that area. I’d rather be north right now of where GFS has it so no complaints yet. That is a way we could get “screwed” though where initial waa banding is south thru Md line. Then mid levels toast for the coastal part. Places to the NW of city may be able to hold Onto snow longer from The coastal. It’s why you see the snow hole over us on the 18z para gfs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 hours ago, Wentzadelphia said: For the city it is going to come down to where that initial fronto banding sets up. This storm won’t be able to give us snow from the coastal since the upper levels are t great. Think of PD2 where that initial fronto crushed DC and that area. I’d rather be north right now of where GFS has it so no complaints yet. That is a way we could get “screwed” though where initial waa banding is south thru Md line. Then mid levels toast for the coastal part. Places to the NW of city may be able to hold Onto snow longer from The coastal. It’s why you see the snow hole over us on the 18z para gfs NAM caved and is on board. Start the mother freaking thread! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Picked up 0.49" of rain so far today. Current temp 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 0.85" since last evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Picked up 0.81" of rain so far today. Current temp 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 0.58" of rain on the day. Hit a high of 54.2F this morning. Currently back down to 43.1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Still a decent amount of snowpack here, awesome setup for hopeful padding on Thursday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Can't believe I have this much snow left it was a lot of rain. Did not measure yet but looks like 10" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: Can't believe I have this much snow left it was a lot of rain. Did not measure yet but looks like 10" Same at my house. Easily 6" left but may be closer to 8-10" in spots. Going to be a rough day though meltwise with temps in the mid 40s. Still think I won't have any bare patches heading into Thurs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 My yard pack will have near 5" liquid equivalent frozen into it by Friday. This better not melt fast or else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Gefs/eps/geps all seem to want to bring north atlantic blocking back towards the end of the month into March. Thursday may not be the last hurrah? It looks like we will also be battling the se ridge but that honestly may play to our advantage in March as long as we have the blocking. Potentially more fun ahead.. We have had an incredible run of epic Marches besides last year. If we get another March mauling, we could see some spots get into the top 10 seasonal snowfalls. Pretty crazy considering we were in close to a strong nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 With the cold second half March last year and the two cold snowy Marches before that one would think odds favor a mild March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, RedSky said: With the cold second half March last year and the two cold snowy Marches before that one would think odds favor a mild March. Larry Cosgrove said in his recent newsletter than winter won't relent until second half of March. He seems to be on the right track if guidance is to be believed. We get a brief warm up next week(more like seasonal temps), then it appears the cold may return after that. The seasonal pattern has been to keep the blocking in place so I wont be surprised if it bounces back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Two dozen measurements still have 12" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Sunday morning is looking cold and may trend colder with the fresh snowpack in place. Icon and gfs indicate possible single digits towards 95, Poconos maybe have a shot at below 0. Should radiate nicely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 The Acropolis in Greece is snow covered https://apnews.com/article/snow-blankets-athens-halts-vaccinations-be193363451279cc4d105d025d0fb2b6 Snow encrusted palm trees lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Took the country road home. Lots of puddles and creek beds were high. Got home and only one shovel pile next to the walk left. Deck all melted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Down to 6" snow depth that should solidify into a glacier tonight before the next event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 11" after today's warm melt, dense snow cone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Winds have really picked up in the last hour or so...(20mph+) 33F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 There is another wave to track on Monday, make it stop! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 11 minutes ago, RedSky said: There is another wave to track on Monday, make it stop! Dont! Stop! Don't stop! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 24 minutes ago, RedSky said: There is another wave to track on Monday, make it stop! That one has an awful track for snow but the low level cold may still be enough for a light event. Something to track, it's gotten colder every run the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 17 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: Dont! Stop! Don't stop! You have competition there is a Lehigh Valley guy that builds a 30' ice tree mountain every winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, RedSky said: You have competition there is a Lehigh Valley guy that builds a 30' ice tree mountain every winter Lol....I'm gonna have to get a snowmaking machine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 4:32 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: The fact the euro is the southern outlier and given its less than stellar track record AND with the NAM being consistent with the sleet/ice look, we shouldn't write the NAM off nor the warmer solutions. It certainly has some merit in that solution. Can I have that in writing?... oh wait. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, KamuSnow said: Lol....I'm gonna have to get a snowmaking machine. You have seen Midlo's snow mountain right, he made me give up even trying lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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