CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 I hate being in the sweet spot 3 days out but I guess 72 hrs isn't that bad but lets see what the sref's look like, as they did quite well with the last debacle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 hour ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: I think they were just itching to issue something with how slow this winter has been so far especially with regards to lake effect: It’s the earliest I can ever remember a watch being issued. Not saying it won’t end up verifying but why rush to jump to a watch when you could realistically wait 24 hours and still have plenty of time to warn people? I would think they would at least want this thing to get in range of the mesos lol. The only reason this got posted so far in advance is because it hits on Christmas Day. That’s not the kind of surprise you want on a fairly busy travel period. A lot of implications during a holiday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 hour ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Yes I’d feel great if I were from Hamburg to OP to WS. South Buffalo id feel okay. Here in the Northtowns I’m a little skeptical. No problem chasing a few miles to see some rippage though just give us a band somewhere over Erie County even if it’s not over me directly and I’ll be happy haha. Im hoping to chase this in Genesee or SE Orleans county so I don’t have to drive too far. Sometimes the band is quite intense near Batavia as it pops from a little orographic lift....but that will require the remnant low and subsequent thermal trough to be especially deep to give me a true SW flow. Nothing written in stone with such subtle nuances still not locked down. Wyoming county is my backup chase, would probably head down 19. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 Nice band north of Buffalo now, any snow out of that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 I know its been discussed already but my god that is the worst radar I have ever seen in my life. Did we go back to the 1970s with that thing....????? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Here is the SREF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 15 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Nice band north of Buffalo now, any snow out of that? Nothing but liquid. Not even that hard either. Bright banding as the freezing layer is likely only a couple hundred feet of the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Mslp HR 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Mslp HR 87 That would make a lot of us happy for a White Christmas! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 24 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Nice band north of Buffalo now, any snow out of that? Nope...all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 33 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I know its been discussed already but my god that is the worst radar I have ever seen in my life. Did we go back to the 1970s with that thing....????? Can anyone actually get it to load? It completely fails on my mobile and once in awhile i can get a couple frames to somewhat load on a desktop but overall I don't think I've seen a full loop work once yet. How can people be ok with this? Am I doing something wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 44 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Nice band north of Buffalo now, any snow out of that? This radar pic is a perfect example of BW earlier point about the lake bands being 5 to 10 miles north of their model. The band is refracted on the land northward where if the water wax colder the band would be further south...the bend is pretty noticeable but even more so on the WIVB weather radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 7 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Can anyone actually get it to load? It completely fails on my mobile and once in awhile i can get a couple frames to somewhat load on a desktop but overall I don't think I've seen a full loop work once yet. How can people be ok with this? Am I doing something wrong? Only way it loads for me is starting on the national view and zooming in... SLOWLY... it’s a hot mess. You can download free radar apps that are better than that. So many other good sites and apps, haven’t used the NWS radar in long time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 https://www.wkbw.com/weather/snowiest-christmas-ever-lake-snow-to-blast-buffalo-on-friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 18 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Can anyone actually get it to load? It completely fails on my mobile and once in awhile i can get a couple frames to somewhat load on a desktop but overall I don't think I've seen a full loop work once yet. How can people be ok with this? Am I doing something wrong? It works on my gaming PC that I built, but this thing is a beast. Doesn't work on anything else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 Wolfie posting local news before the Buffalo peeps, I'm disappointed in you guys. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 things...one it is snowing a little right now as I have a very thin layer of slush on my lawn and pool cover...2 the Cincinnati bengals must really love the Bills because they’re up 17-0 on Pittsburgh near the end of the half... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Wolfie posting local news before the Buffalo peeps, I'm disappointed in you guys. Lmao and if you look at the article the 12+ inch line is like one mile south of my area in Williamsville...still think hard 5 miles northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, Thinksnow18 said: Lmao and if you look at the article the 12+ inch line is like one mile south of my area in Williamsville...still think hard 5 miles northward. Way too early to pinpoint exact locations need to wait until Weds at earliest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 I wish they had listed snowiest xmas days. Pretty sure metro hot around 20” in the early 2000s on Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 8 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: I wish they had listed snowiest xmas days. Pretty sure metro hot around 20” in the early 2000s on Xmas. Looking just at Christmas Day numbers are pretty low... Throw the 24th in too for a “24 hour total” and BUF had 25” in 2001 storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 11 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: I wish they had listed snowiest xmas days. Pretty sure metro hot around 20” in the early 2000s on Xmas. Good memory it was December 26th through the 29th and that was the 83” in west Seneca over those 4 days...that event spread the wealth from southern Niagara county to the nearby south towns with West Seneca the jackpot...I do believe KBUF broke a daily record though...BW any help? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Looking just at Christmas Day numbers are pretty low... Throw the 24th in too for a “24 hour total” and BUF had 25” in 2001 storm. Yep that’s it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Looking just at Christmas Day numbers are pretty low... Throw the 24th in too for a “24 hour total” and BUF had 25” in 2001 storm. Ya I can remember trying to drive around in a Buffalo in 01 with little luck. Don’t want to get too excited but looks like we could get the snowiest Xmas on record. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 23 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: I wish they had listed snowiest xmas days. Pretty sure metro hot around 20” in the early 2000s on Xmas. Record for Christmas Day is 8.4” in 2002. Sad record honestly. A definite chance to break it IMO if the band can set up in the right spot: Since 2003 the snowiest Christmas Day at BUF is a lousy 2.2” in 2017. Out of the last 16 Christmas days 12 have had either a trace or no snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Damn you guys are quick to beat me to it haha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 If you look at that almanac data set were due to receive a big Christmas event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 8 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Good memory it was December 26th through the 29th and that was the 83” in west Seneca over those 4 days...that event spread the wealth from southern Niagara county to the nearby south towns with West Seneca the jackpot...I do believe KBUF broke a daily record though...BW any help? I lived in Cheektowaga for this one, epic event off both lakes. https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2001-2002&event=B 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Hr 84 of the NAM (haha yes I know) looks quite a bit west of its previous run fwiw. Might back the winds more SW if this thing lands up further NW over Ontario... In fact I don’t think anyone east of Batavia sees snow from it synoptically lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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