SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 11 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Looks like you may be right with the first part lol Key part is that initial low giving up as it moves north with a new low popping up over Lake Superior and just floating through the upper lakes. Front can go as fast and as east as it wants. We get that little area behind it to kick in the SW flow then BUF cashed in regardless! Seeing that feature also on the RGEM as well. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: The synoptic portion FWIW Gotsta smell the taint... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Some nice LES NE of the lakes, gfs is probably the best we can hope for region wide lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 11 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Enjoy This would be a wild few hours! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, 96blizz said: This would be a wild few hours! Any open houses near you ? Living on the coast is painful most of the time during the winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, 96blizz said: This would be a wild few hours! Sure would. Lots of fun for Christmas Eve. Always love a nice snow timed perfectly. Hoping the 12z Euro lines up well... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 6 minutes ago, vortmax said: Sure would. Lots of fun for Christmas Eve. Always love a nice snow timed perfectly. Hoping the 12z Euro lines up well... IF, and big if that is, all lines up as currently modeled I’m starting to get excited about a 2001 type event for the metro, and oddly right around the same time frame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Storm to watch right on the heels of LES event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Nice hybrid event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Nice hybrid event.. This could be our winter in the next few weeks, however, if the SSW that is forecast it might be an epic one in the works 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Looks like GFS, eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 That hybrid even is the money shot for rochester 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2020 Author Share Posted December 21, 2020 GFS is pretty low res for LES but that setup would lead to feet of snow east of the lakes. This event is similar to 2010-2011 with the synoptic storm and LES to follow. The event began quickly and evolved from a departing major synoptic storm which drenched the region with 1 to 2 inches of rain early on Wed. Dec 1st. Temperatures started the day in the 50s but fell rapidly as the storm departed. Cold air wrapped in fast enough to change the rain to a period of synoptic snow during the morning...dropping 2 to 4 inches. Then a lake plume developed by early afternoon on a 260 flow and intensified by 3 pm or so as it rolled into the Buffalo Southtowns. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Next 10 days everyone from south of Buffalo to roc syr Watertown get smacked on gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2020 Author Share Posted December 21, 2020 12Z runs got me a little giddy. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 24 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Nice hybrid event.. Double phase? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: 12Z runs got me a little giddy. North towns not out of this by a long shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2020 Author Share Posted December 21, 2020 GEM is huge LES hit. WSW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2020 Author Share Posted December 21, 2020 Just now, Thinksnow18 said: North towns not out of this by a long shot Nope, moving winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEM is huge LES hit. WSW flow. Never underestimate the power of the warm lake waters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Nope, moving winds I think the biggest snows are south of the metro but I’m not going to sneeze over a foot to a foot and a half of synoptic and mesoscale... Hamburg could be in line for 2 to 3 feet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Dave cmc has same event after Christmas. Thats the type of event that can give south shore feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Synoptically, I don’t love that GFS and Canadian show the snow after the LP is north of us. Almost post CF snow- which we all know doesn’t exist. I want that LP twisted and east of us. The snow belts are golden. No question there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2020 Author Share Posted December 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Ok brother, you’re starting to speak my language... Get your stuff packed its coming. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, tim123 said: Dave cmc has same event after Christmas. Thats the type of event that can give south shore feet. A good watcher! Looks like it wants to retrograde or at least stall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2020 Author Share Posted December 21, 2020 GEM at 1:10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2020 Author Share Posted December 21, 2020 GFS low res 20" across south towns. GFS hi res Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 First call 3 to 5 inches synoptic Christmas eve into Christmas morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Just now, tim123 said: Just FYI. If you hold your finger down anywhere on the actual tidbits map and then hit copy, you can then paste the image right into the text block on this forum (just hold down where you’re typing and hit paste). You don’t even need to mess with the files or media tabs. Try it. The images will be cleaner than a screen shot. At least it works for my iPhone. It’s a perfect track. So after BUF gets its 2 feet maybe we can follow! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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