wolfie09 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Canadian as well.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 2 pm temperatures: Albany: 42° Poughkeepsie: 60° 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Another bloody rainstorm this weekend!?! Sooo tired of dreary rain....ugh. @wolfie09...so jealous. You're at like 100 times more snowfall than me this season. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 30, 2020 Author Share Posted November 30, 2020 Eps and gefs in agreement of similar pattern 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 30, 2020 Author Share Posted November 30, 2020 Up to 2 feet in the snow belts of Cleveland 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Latest map (This does not include the entire event off Ontario) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Up to 2 feet in the snow belts of Cleveland Are you surprised that Cleveland proper is expecting 6 to 10? NWS here in Buffalo is staying that anything near the 90 and the lakeshores will have much less accumulation than the hills. All of Cleveland is within a couple miles if the lake and you’d figure with low elevation and marginal temps not much would accumulate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: Are you surprised that Cleveland proper is expecting 6 to 10? NWS here in Buffalo is staying that anything near the 90 and the lakeshores will have much less accumulation than the hills. All of Cleveland is within a couple miles if the lake and you’d figure with low elevation and marginal temps not much would accumulate Much heavier rates there to overcome marginal temps vs the rates we will see here. In fact the last few runs of the hi res models have backed off accumulations for here. I’d be surprised to see more than 2 inches of slush around here over the next 48 hours. Whole different story just SW of here with elevation. Even around Cassadaga SW to the NY/PA line the rates will be much heavier and having an extra 800-1000’+ of elevation will make all the difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 RGEM with an odd band along the south shore. I don’t buy it but something to watch. Battling warm surface the entire time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 ^^^ Euro shows something like that as well, could be real but like you said battling surface temps.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 We don't see these type of events to often lol So expect the unexpected...It's not a true WSW flow, it's kinda like multiple wind directions over the lake.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: We don't see these type of events to often lol So expect the unexpected...It's not a true WSW flow, it's kinda like multiple wind directions over the lake.. They can’t get a handle on these retrograding LPs. Never do. Like you say, ‘expect surprises’. Especially where elevation and the lakes meet. It’s a weirdo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: We don't see these type of events to often lol So expect the unexpected...It's not a true WSW flow, it's kinda like multiple wind directions over the lake.. That’s certainly an encouraging run but comparing the way it currently depicts the precip field to what I’m seeing shows a huge difference. For whatever reason that model seems extremely juiced up I do agree that it’s very unusual to have a deep low spinning directly north of Lake Ontario for 36 hours. Certainly going to be a lot of mesoscale interactions with warm Lakes, ample moisture, and so much energy nearby. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Hey Tug Hill Matt was just looking at a national temperature map on Wunderground and couldn’t help but notice that you guys are warmer near the Cuse (46-49 degrees) than almost all of the Florida Panhandle (40-44 degrees). It’s currently snowing down in Georgia and Alabama. Really is crazy how much warmer it seems to get there than almost anywhere else in the entire Northeast. Sitting at 38 here currently. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 ^^^^Yeah N Florida is receiving a NW Flow at the moment lol We are getting winds out of the S or E, it's actually warmer up on some of the hills lol Majority of stations in lewis county are in the lower 50s.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 26 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Hey Tug Hill Matt was just looking at a national temperature map on Wunderground and couldn’t help but notice that you guys are warmer near the Cuse (46-49 degrees) than almost all of the Florida Panhandle (40-44 degrees). It’s currently snowing down in Georgia and Alabama. Really is crazy how much warmer it seems to get there than almost anywhere else in the entire Northeast. Sitting at 38 here currently. It's ridiculous here. I'm telling you...it's the hills DIRECTLY south of the city...combine downsloping with the maritime lake plain...and temperatures SUCK here much of the time if you're a cold lover. Usually not the warmest place, but often in the top 5 to 10 warmest cities every day. Rome and down into SE NY is in the 50s and even 60s right now, so we're in the middle today. My sis in law in Tennessee sent me a picture of the snow...it was dusting a bush. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Poughkeepsie is at 18C right now. Another August night in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Freeze warnings/watches issued for the deep south/gulf coast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 CLE is surrounded. Some weirdo there is going crazy. I feel his pain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 LP is over Saranac I think. What a sad storm. Any other time we’d be all on the love side. Temps should start diving in the usual places. I’m looking at you Jamestown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 lol... snowing around Atlanta Metro... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 As a few of the models (and posters) have eluded too, tomorrow night at least has the potential for something measurable on the South Shore, especially if this NAM run comes to fruition. Thats quite the lobe of moisture pinwheeling back over the lake during the predawn hours with some definite enhancement. Thankfully we have nocturnal influences on our side too. Definitely something to keep an eye on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 It would appear that the surface low is in the process of redeveloping back over Western NY. This radar loop is pretty wild, A definite swirl and some lift quite apparent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Back in business this weekend on the GFS.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Back in business this weekend on the GFS.. Was just coming in to say this! What a huge shift after a very long trend in the other direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 13 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Back in business this weekend on the GFS.. And cmc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Jacksonville FL sitting at 37° while Caribou ME sits at 57°!!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 I'd be happy with a few slushy inches if it comes to fruition. We really didnt see much rain at all with this event as we were stuck under a dry-slot, lol, so all in all, not bad. If we see even 2" out of this, I'd call it a win for sure!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Snowing ATM and ground coated...KBUF actually has a special weather statement out about the potential for an inch of snow this morning making the commute difficult...I didn’t know we were now the new Atlanta GA... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Latest map. ..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches on the Tug Hill, and higher terrain with 2 inches or less of accumulation across lower elevations. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commutes on Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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