Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: We sure will and I don't look at the SREF's as thats where most of those totals were being taken from I think. Ukie, various Canadian, Icon and yes SREFs...and the vaunted JMA! Truly the "B" Team! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Im seriously trying to understand the NWS's dispersment of Warnings and I cant say advisory because they have none posted, lol as their map goes from Warnings to Watches then HWO which makes absolutely no sense but thats just me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Im seriously trying to understand the NWS's dispersment of Warnings and I cant say advisory because they have none posted, lol as their map goes from Warnings to Watches then HWO which makes absolutely no sense but thats just me! They are waiting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Ukie, various Canadian, Icon and yes SREFs...and the vaunted JMA! Truly the "B" Team! OK so another words if the EURO or the GFS are even close to being correct we get less than 3", lol, but if the NAM, Canadian, UKMET, JMA and every SREF in existance are close to correct, we see over 1/2 a foot. I wish ppl took bets for predicting the weather cause they'd make bank, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 21 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Pretty much daytime highs..(Christmas)(can't see between frames) That's a change, last time I looked at the LR it was at least mid 30s for WNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: Im seriously trying to understand the NWS's dispersment of Warnings and I cant say advisory because they have none posted, lol as their map goes from Warnings to Watches then HWO which makes absolutely no sense but thats just me! Looking at their latest discussion i suspect they are having reservations about expanding any headlines further North based on basically just the 12Z runs, esp when the two A Listers (GFS, Euro) didn't move much qpf north of say, Cortland NY...but there was a general trend. 00Z tonight should firm things up as far as any trends. And let's face it, 3-6" of snow here is maybe Advisory level. It's not like this is a life and death situation whether they put up WWA's... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: OK so another words if the EURO or the GFS are even close to being correct we get less than 3", lol, but if the NAM, Canadian, UKMET, JMA and every SREF in existance are close to correct, we see over 1/2 a foot. I wish ppl took bets for predicting the weather cause they'd make bank, lol! I'm taking the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Syrmax said: Looking at their latest discussion i suspect they are having reservations about expanding any headlines further North based on basically just the 12Z runs, esp when the two A Listers (GFS, Euro) didn't move much qpf north of say, Cortland NY...but there was a general trend. 00Z tonight should firm things up as far as any trends. And let's face it, 3-6" of snow here is maybe Advisory level. It's not like this is a life and death situation whether they put up WWA's... I could care less bro, seriously! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Syrmax said: I'm taking the under. Easy win right there at least for our area anyway! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Syrmax said: I'm taking the under. Agreed. 2 or 3” seems to make sense but wouldn’t be shocked with more or less. How definitive is that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I could care less bro, seriously! ok...i'll ignore the next rant. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, Geez150 said: That's a change, last time I looked at the LR it was at least mid 30s for WNY. AO tanks next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, 96blizz said: Agreed. 2 or 3” seems to make sense but wouldn’t be shocked with more or less. How definitive is that? You have a job waiting for you at virtually any weather forecasting desk...;) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: ok...i'll ignore the next rant. Been living here too long to worry about advisories or warnings bro but I think its more for the general public, not myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 Getting kind of excited for late Dec into early January. We always said Dec 15th-Jan 15th will be prime time winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Getting kind of excited for late Dec into early January. We always said Dec 15th-Jan 15th will be prime time winter. Coldest period of year as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Does the Weather Channel have an in house model that they use because there's not one model, that I''ve seen on here anyway, and we've seen em all I think, that depicts what their graphics show so Im seriously confused, lol! I'm serious when I saw that I'd be happy with a few inches or just enough to cover the grass for a few days, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 More fun with maps. It will be interesting to see how this model does-----Note Binghamton or Twin Tiers region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, SUNYGRAD said: More fun with maps. It will be interesting to see how this model does-----Note Binghamton or Twin Tiers region Sweet. We are at the Deep Thunder phase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Euro about to come to us boys. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 10 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Sweet. We are at the Deep Thunder phase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I will laugh when tonight's 00Z run crushes all our chances as today's trends were just a sick and cruel joke, lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 hour ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Spectrum news just said 8-14" for the Cuse, RLMAO, their straight nuts! They must plan on measuring at Rochester airport. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 All I have is Kuchera, tight cutoff obviously lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 So it came north. Wonder what ensembles say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: All I have is Kuchera, tight cutoff obviously lol Some of these numbers don't match the colors lol Just like PW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: All I have is Kuchera, tight cutoff obviously lol 50 miles could make all the difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Some of these numbers don't match the colors lol Just like PW.. I noticed that. I wonder if this model thinks "Birmingham" is in New York state too. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I noticed that. I wonder if this model thinks "Birmingham" is in New York state too. At least it’s not it’s first “cal” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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