BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2020 Author Share Posted December 12, 2020 Central Park Snowfall by Decade 70s 21.2" 80s 19.7" 90s 24.7" 00s 31.5" 10s 33.2" Old 30 year average- 80s-00s- 25.3" New 30 year average-90s-10s- 29.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Central Park Snowfall by Decade 70s 21.2" 80s 19.7" 90s 24.7" 00s 31.5" 10s 33.2" Pretty easy to go above average when one event gets you there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2020 Author Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Pretty easy to go above average when one event gets you there. One event got you there in any given decade, the law of averages states that snowfall is going up in NYC, not down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 All I know is if this was the other way around we all be saying no way this stays the same for the next 5 days lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Hopeful to get an inch or so of scattered lake effect snow showers earlier in the week just to give the wintry appeal just in case that end of the week system finds a way to avoid us. Asking too much? Yes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 ICON now makes even Monday interesting... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: ICON now makes even Monday interesting... Go ICON! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, vortmax said: Go ICON! Probably wouldn't bode well for midweek though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2020 Author Share Posted December 12, 2020 10 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: All I know is if this was the other way around we all be saying no way this stays the same for the next 5 days lol Yeah we won't know for sure until Monday night or so. Still large margin of error. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 27 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Central Park Snowfall by Decade 70s 21.2" 80s 19.7" 90s 24.7" 00s 31.5" 10s 33.2" Old 30 year average- 80s-00s- 25.3" New 30 year average-90s-10s- 29.8" That jibes with my memory of living down in the I-95 corridor from the 70s to 90s. Generally awful for snow. In fact, the 90s were probably saved by the extraordinary winter of 95/96. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 11 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah we won't know for sure until Monday night or so. Still large margin of error. Exactly and I read by PSUHoffman from the MA forum that if the second event (Monday) it would further push the Wednesday Thursday event further north following the trailing trough...this could be a good sign 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Crushed. I'm right on the cutoff though, ripping at 16° would be sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2020 Author Share Posted December 12, 2020 7 minutes ago, Syrmax said: That jibes with my memory of living down in the I-95 corridor from the 70s to 90s. Generally awful for snow. In fact, the 90s were probably saved by the extraordinary winter of 95/96. That's an 18% increase in 30 year intervals. A pretty large variance statistically speaking. It would be like KBUF going up to a 111.5" 30 year average. Obviously the variance is easier to do when the average is lower... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Right in the middle of the action with that ICON run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Once again another small shift north..Not so much with the track but the precipitation..Just yesterday that area was expecting nothing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: Right in the middle of the action with that ICON run. Where do I sign? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Where do I sign? Right on the dotted line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Starting my packing tomorrow lol Movers will be here Thursday 1pm, I really shouldn't be rooting for a big storm lol But I can't help it.. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: LOL! Well...I'll be in Tennessee for the week, so it won't be so bad knowing I am not missing anything up here. it'll change 10 times from now till then so..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2020 Author Share Posted December 12, 2020 NYC crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2020 Author Share Posted December 12, 2020 CRUSHED 10:1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 GFS with a big time hit in the cities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 12z has some subtle differences from the 6z...there is a secondary low not depicted on any runs but is clearly in the Ohio valley. The GFS is having a hard time with this feature and I believe this is our inverted trough that shoots us back our moisture source. I have a feeling this will begin to show up by tomorrow afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Pretty moist at 700mb to get nothing lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Having lived down there for 30+ years or so, I wouldn't be happy until Wednesday Night and even then I'd be worried about mixing, lol. Its highly anomalous for the coastal regions of NJ to get into any action in December like many have stated. Is it possible, absolutely as anything can happen but thinking its likely, from 4-5 days out, is just stupid! We still have a chance for Mondays event to shift NW nevermind Thursday's event! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Having lived down there for 30+ years or so, I wouldn't be happy until Wednesday Night and even then I'd be worried about mixing, lol. Its highly anomalous for the coastal regions of NJ to get into any action in December like many have stated. Is it possible, absolutely as anything can happen but thinking its likely, from 4-5 days out, is just stupid! We still have a chance for Mondays event to shift NW nevermind Thursday's event! You can stay at my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 I absolutely hate the GFS, lol! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: CRUSHED 10:1 ratios Most of that falls in 12 hours to lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: You can stay at my house I lived across the Verazanno in Staten Island so I know all to well the shenanigans that go on with a system such as this one! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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