DeltaT13 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Looks like it ends up transferring over to the coast and misses way East.....At least it isnt rain... 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: I might really really like this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Doesn't make it that far north before transferring, probably be another good run for the coast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Paging Buff Weather...can you please upload the CPC AO chart??? It’s solidly negative, and is forecast to go further negative and yet we have no cold...where the Eff is the cold?!?!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Epic run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Doesn't make it that far north before transferring, probably be another good run for the coast.. I’m still thinking with a Greenland block these models are too far south, coupled with a piece of the polar vortex sliding south in that time I can’t wee this storm just racing out to the NE as fast as it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Not bad lol Pulled North.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Close to a crusher for all up here. Long way to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Not bad lol Pulled North.. 30 miles more north and lock it in. As is 1.5" QPF and temps around 20°for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Kind of a weird track with the elongated low, goes north then pulls east lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Kind of a weird track with the elongated low, goes north then pulls east lol That High is no joke. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Yup forgot about that high lol We always fighting dry air up here ..At least ratios could be decent if we see any precipitation at all.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 About 2 miles. I was still at work but drove over afterwards. It was insane, the house (remnants) was still fully ablaze a half hour after it blew. I guess people in my neighborhood felt their houses shake. I can't believe how far you could feel it. Yes it was, WOW, and you saw it cause I saw it on Spectrum news and was like, Holy Shit, it completely leveled it. God forbid if anyone was at home, just nuts and nobody was home!!!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 24 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Close to a crusher for all up here. Long way to go Verbatim, this is exactly the kind of storm that gets NYC and the megalopolis to freak out, only to probably bust anyway. Too far south for us. A lot of cows getting snowed on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Just an enormous amount of energy coupled with a slow moving SLP and Boom there it is. Northern Jet says get over here, lol, and let's bless the whole forum, sweet!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 European ensembles and WPC is what to follow at this point.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 3 days out 12z gfs/Gefs has been the best granted it doesn't have all the model runs.(minus wpc) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 41 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Not bad lol Pulled North.. With lake enhancement off Ontario we still cash in a few to several inches in this scenario 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 Buffalo gets no snow until Christmas in nearly every model with a decent pattern. I'm going to drop snowfall to around 55-60" total for year. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Good spot to be 5 days out. Usually pulls more nw 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Buffalo gets no snow until Christmas in nearly every model with a decent pattern. I'm going to drop snowfall to around 55-60" total for year. This is what I was thinking. Around 60”. Nothing to base it off other than how with nothing substantial the next week + , were already getting into late December at that point. That and my gut lol. KBUF only at 6.4” for the season. Only 40% of where we should be this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Well pulaski so far has less than 2" lol This is a place that usually sees 160"-170" on an annual basis..Nor'easters suck there to with downsloping and all or some damn phenomenon lol It's all about Lake effect, SWFE and clippers, without those that area is fooked.. Could be record lows in snowfall if things don't start to turn around.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Perfect example lol hard for me to root for NE winds that's for sure.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Perfect example lol hard for me to root for NE winds that's for sure.. That's why our totals are going down each year. We need cold air to get the lakes going. The warmer it gets the less LES we get. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 20 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: This is what I was thinking. Around 60”. Nothing to base it off other than how with nothing substantial the next week + , were already getting into late December at that point. That and my gut lol. KBUF only at 6.4” for the season. Only 40% of where we should be this time of year. The lake will be cooling too, that's the biggest impact. But doesn't look like it will go down that quickly. Will probably be a few degrees above average at end of month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 I still think we’re in play for next weeks storm...we’ve all said many, many times it’s not good to be in the bullseye this far out...if it looks this way Monday then I’ll be a bit more concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Just going off the clown map, probably a good amount of spread which is obviously to be expected.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: I still think we’re in play for next weeks storm...we’ve all said many, many times it’s not good to be in the bullseye this far out...if it looks this way Monday then I’ll be a bit more concerned 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 A handful of decent ones.. Source 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: A handful of decent ones.. Source About 6 give us a good shot...a few more give us some the rest nada...not done by a long shot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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