vortmax Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 I'd be more comfortable if the Euro joined in with producing a wave along the front. The upper levels bear watching as they will dictate the longitude of this wave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 PW hates Buffalo lol Numbers never match the color graph, does show a couple feet for watertown though.. Obviously just for fun since we have no clue which way the wind will blow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 10 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Hmmm I'm not sure how that sounded"snarky" by correcting you lol 3 inches in a 6 hour period is not even short term blitzed, need the storm farther east.. Just throwing the “lol” on the end of your comments like that and the one before. It’s snarky and condescending. The surface depiction looked better than the output. My bad. I’ll move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Just now, 96blizz said: Just throwing the “lol” on the end of your comments like that and the one before. It’s snarky and condescending. The surface depiction looked better than the output. My bad. I’ll move on. True Well I do for every comment so just ignore them.. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Just now, wolfie09 said: True Well I do for every comment so just ignore them.. Thanks All good. I also could have been a bigger person and just moved on too. I was ticked at myself for not waiting for the actual output. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 12z is more snow porn for WNY. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Canadian 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Canadian Still brings about 12 hours of LES to Buffalo and north towns...some of our best events have been sniffed out well in advance...and strangely many have been in this time frame like December 26th 2001... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 32 minutes ago, vortmax said: I'd be more comfortable if the Euro joined in with producing a wave along the front. The upper levels bear watching as they will dictate the longitude of this wave. We wait for about 2 hours...the 12z Euro should be done running by then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 As much as I would love the GFS to verify (for WNY interests) the Canadian seems more realistic. Lots of rain followed by an inch or so of snow after the front barrels through. Then some lake effect on mainly westerly winds as the storm heads through Quebec. But a long way to go to figure out details! Definitely nice to have something to track around Christmas though for a change 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Ukie with a nice look at the end of its run.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 9.5 days 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: 9.5 days Bank it. I'll be on the coast that Monday-wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 15 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: 9.5 days Lock in 40” for BGM again? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 21 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: As much as I would love the GFS to verify (for WNY interests) the Canadian seems more realistic. Lots of rain followed by an inch or so of snow after the front barrels through. Then some lake effect on mainly westerly winds as the storm heads through Quebec. But a long way to go to figure out details! Definitely nice to have something to track around Christmas though for a change I don’t see a west wind on the Canadian though, I see a S/W that aligns the winds SW twice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Winds vary on the Canadian, mean wind flow looks WSW to me(off Ontario).. Good for copenhagen of course lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Hmmm I'm not sure how that sounded"snarky" by correcting you lol 3 inches in a 6 hour period is not even short term blitzed, need the storm farther east.. Any further East and we're cold and dry Im afraid, lol! I dont like the set-up at all as these usually fall really short of anything substantial unfortunately but that can change as we're still 5 days away but I will tell you what is a lock and thats the rain progged for Wednesday and it could fall very hard for a time so I'm not looking forward to a soaking rain on Christmas Eve with temps in the upper 40's, low 50's, Ba Humbug The GFS right around day 8-9 drops the whole PV right over the Northeast and the funny thing is, the coldest it gets at 850 is -15C 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Hmmm I'm not sure how that sounded"snarky" by correcting you lol 3 inches in a 6 hour period is not even short term blitzed, need the storm farther east.. That's a Blitz and a QB sack by 2020 standards for SYR. And I'm not talking the football team! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Ukie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 WOW, KBGM might have close to 60" when its all said and done with 2/3rds of the Winter left thats of course if the Ukie is correct, which I doubt it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Theres 1 thing we can definitely say is that its super active with quite a bit of weather to track! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 11 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Ukie Blitzed! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Just now, 96blizz said: Blitzed! Finally one that shows us getting truly Blitzed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 The Euro will bring the goods! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: Finally one that shows us getting truly Blitzed! A bit of self depreciation following my earlier faux pas... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 That’s the issue with winter around here. Our forum rarely all cashed in...and we choose to cherry pick the model that suits our area the best. One thing for due is I’m certain over the next 2 weeks we will all be happy at one point or another Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: The Euro will bring the goods! To WNY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Decent mood flakes for tomorrow on the Euro. Some football, beer and flakes sounds good to me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: To WNY nah, doubt it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: PW hates Buffalo lol Numbers never match the color graph, does show a couple feet for watertown though.. Obviously just for fun since we have no clue which way the wind will blow.. We like being the underdogs here! But yeah I’ve been noticing that as well. Not sure which model output that is showing but here is the GFS, way off! Normally with the gradient being so tight across BUF I just chalk it up to that but here the entire city and the airport are clearly colored as 24”+ but given a numeric value much less. I mean it doesn’t really matter in the bigger picture but still. Wonder where the actual “forcast point” is for BUF on PW map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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