CNY_WX Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Close to 2 inches for KBGM and KALB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 If the GooFuS blew this one, I'll never look at it again, and I'm afraid it's nowhere near done trending but it can only come so far N&W so I'd be happy with another bump North by maybe 50 miles or so and then but it's go time. What's the start time? I hate tracking storms when I have to work, !Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 to 6 buffalo 6 to 8 roc on ukie. Thats at 10 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Looks to be about an inch LE for Syracuse. yeah...at the expected ratios of 10+:1...seems hard to believe. I need to see the Euro and the 00Z runs to see if this is a pre-wobble wobble or more of a final answer...;) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I bought this monster last winter. I probably overdid it, I used it about 5-6 times and it’s a handful. I wanted to make sure I had something that could handle the rare 2 foot snowfall. If I had waited until this year I would have bought a single stage snow thrower, lol. https://www.homedepot.com/p/Toro-Power-Max-HD-1028-OHXE-28-in-302cc-Two-Stage-Electric-Start-Gas-Snow-Blower-38841/306237993 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: If the GooFuS blew this one, I'll never look at it again, and I'm afraid it's nowhere near done trending but it can only come so far N&W so I'd be happy with another bump North by maybe 50 miles or so and then but it's go time. What's the start time? I hate tracking storms when I have to work, ! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Most of it is overnight tomorrow (perhaps starting on the evening) but the further NW it comes the longer it will likely linger into Thursday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, tim123 said: 4 to 6 buffalo 6 to 8 roc on ukie. Thats at 10 to 1 Actually looks a little better for roc on PW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 yeah...at the expected ratios of 10+:1...seems hard to believe. I need to see the Euro and the 00Z runs to see if this is a pre-wobble wobble or more of a final answer...How many times have we seen this happen? Countless times we're in the sweet spot and then, bam were pinging away here in the Cause, so it's not like it can't happen but I can see ur logic. The Euro has done no better with this system as every model has had a rough go of it lately with this particular event. It will be interesting to see which model had it all along, like shall I say it, The ICON, Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Actually looks a little better for roc on PW.. Local Mets are bumping to 3 to 5 for Buffalo... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: How many times have we seen this happen? Countless times we're in the sweet spot and then, bam were pinging away here in the Cause, so it's not like it can't happen but I can see ur logic. The Euro has done no better with this system as every model has had a rough go of it lately with this particular event. It will be interesting to see which model had it all along, like shall I say it, The ICON, Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk That's very true. But we've seen this go both way trend wise. But yeah, the NW trend seems to be more frequent as you get closer in to gamedays. Fortunately, I don't think pinging and dryslot will be our issue with this one. I think i'd rather get skimmed and just miss then endure the BS the coasties are experiencing now with model whipsaw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Would be a wild Xmas morning.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 You can see enhancement on ukie precip map. In monroe county 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Would be a wild Xmas morning.. Would be EPIC LES behind that thing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: You can see enhancement on ukie precip map. In monroe county Looks like a sweet spot of over 1”qpf just north of the city. Classic enhancement signal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Would be EPIC LES behind that thing. Looks to be a VERY active pattern upcoming boys! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Good to see BUF CWA getting in on some of the action now. All it took was a little reverse psychology from Buf nws and Delta lol. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 11 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Looks like a sweet spot of over 1”qpf just north of the city. Classic enhancement signal Not sure if we can make enhancement work. I think the UKIE is just straight juiced up synoptically. The winds during our critical time frame even have a bit of a Southerly component to them.... I'd take the UKIE solution in a heartbeat though, even with zero enhancement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 8 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Good to see BUF CWA getting in on some of the action now. All it took was a little reverse psychology from Buf nws and Delta lol. I'm still not seeing it, but I love to be wrong in this direction. If I'm wrong and we get snow, I'm all for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, DeltaT13 said: Not sure if we can make enhancement work. I think the UKIE is just straight juiced up synoptically. The winds during our critical time frame even have a bit of a Southerly component to them.... I'd take the UKIE solution in a heartbeat though, even with zero enhancement. I LOVE how that model shows the secondary low smack over WNY!!! That’s the low that shoots up the Ohio Valley then transfers to the coast...this scores for WNY every time!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I have NOT given up on this system this week. I was close to after last night's 00Z runs...am happier with 12Z runs. Still have our covering our graupel snow from last night here...so it looks like winter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I have NOT given up on this system this week. I was close to after last night's 00Z runs...am happier with 12Z runs. Still have our covering our graupel snow from last night here...so it looks like winter! Stop, you gave up a long time ago and now you've jumped back on the snow , !Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The NYC forum needs a therapist... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I have NOT given up on this system this week. I was close to after last night's 00Z runs...am happier with 12Z runs. Still have our covering our graupel snow from last night here...so it looks like winter! I pretty much threw in the towel on this last night. Along with the rest of the month! I'm waiting for the next model wobbles at 00Z but, it's looking like we could get a few inches here (GFS has 0.0 for us BTW). Stay the course! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 My God. The UK buries me. Needs to stop trending now...gonna dryslot lol. Last thing I'd think I'd worry about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 9 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I LOVE how that model shows the secondary low smack over WNY!!! That’s the low that shoots up the Ohio Valley then transfers to the coast...this scores for WNY every time!!! Nice point. Also, we still get decent humidity and temps when the winds do back NE. I think the S Shore will see accumulating snow for significantly longer than inland. Still thinking 6-8 range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: EURO? Coming out now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Hr 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 9 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I LOVE how that model shows the secondary low smack over WNY!!! That’s the low that shoots up the Ohio Valley then transfers to the coast...this scores for WNY every time!!! Secondary low transfers were the bane of my existence through the early 2000's. I never trust them. Thats when you watch a massive plume of snow just vanish like a fart in the wind as the secondary wins out. With this system though, the secondary is somewhat pathetic which may bode well for the primary holding onto to its precip shield longer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now