Snownado Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Just now, vpbob21 said: Yeah I think Bellefontaine would be a great place to be in this setup. I think that area was the jackpot zone when Sandy came through here a few years ago. On second thought, I agree. Ditch Lima, go to Bellefontaine ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 19 minutes ago, vpbob21 said: Yeah I think Bellefontaine would be a great place to be in this setup. I think that area was the jackpot zone when Sandy came through here a few years ago. I second this. Bellefontaine also has about 500ft of higher elevation so they may have less issues with accum. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 31 minutes ago, vpbob21 said: Yeah I think Bellefontaine would be a great place to be in this setup. I think that area was the jackpot zone when Sandy came through here a few years ago. I lived in Bellefontaine for several years back in the '90s. Not my fondest place I've lived, but one bright side was the winters tended to be awesome. The elevation always seems to allow for a lot more snow and cold than surrounding areas and rarely deals with the rain-snow line that plagues the I-70/I-71 corridors. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 safe to say that if you live in NW Ohio, SE MI, or Eastern Indiana, you're gonna get snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Save some gas. Just head up to the west slope mountains NC/TN even WV. Less chance of slop with altitude and much much better scenery lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 28, 2020 Author Share Posted November 28, 2020 18z NAM is coming in pretty nice for you guys to my east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 ILN going 2-4" for their far northern CWA. A tad conservative I would think at first thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 IWX, ILN, and CLE are holding off on any headlines for right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Really disappointed in the Indiana totals.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 9 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: IWX, ILN, and CLE are holding off on any headlines for right now. NWS Wilmington always slow draw and conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 23 minutes ago, Hoosier said: 18z NAM is coming in pretty nice for you guys to my east. Problem is temps are above freezing until monday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 2 hours ago, IWXwx said: I'm caught in no man's land. Just a little too far west of the synoptic good stuff and too far east for the impressive LES band. Although I'm not dispirited because we will still get some snow and I would only need a 20-30 mile west shift of synoptic snow (at least per the Euro) to get a significant snow. I'll be rooting for you. I think I might be just a bit too far west to get much LES....maybe an inch here in Griffith unless we get a due n/s fetch down the lake for awhile. I know Hoosier is forecasting more and he has more experience in recent years in this area than I do. That certainly is a strong LES band setting up to dive into IN pretty far se. Latest delta T I've seen has been around 17. I like it more around 20. Good luck to those who catch the system snow to the east and get under the brunt of the LES band. Good way to start met winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoachLB said: NWS Wilmington always slow draw and conservative. They love to bump up totals about 12 before onset. I’m really interested to see how much weight they give the gfs given that the other models are near warning levels for northern counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Thanks for the help guys. Looking to reserve a room this evening. All roads lead to Bellefontaine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 7 minutes ago, jrips27 said: Thanks for the help guys. Looking to reserve a room this evening. All roads lead to Bellefontaine? I mean if you are going to drive all the way to OH, it might be even better to drive to Mansfield instead. I'm not sure. Based on this map I would say go to Mansfield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Just now, Angrysummons said: People shouldn't put too much hype into this system. It will struggle to accum outside elevated areas. It really needed a powerful phase to generate the kind of storm weenies hope for. Its sorta a premeal snack. Not everyone needs 10" to be happy. I grew up in the south and 2" is a lot of snow by my standards. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Just now, Angrysummons said: People shouldn't put too much hype into this system. It will struggle to accum outside elevated areas. It really needed a powerful phase to generate the kind of storm weenies hope for. Its sorta a premeal snack. Kind of agree with this. This is the type of storm you go with a conservative amount/strength and hope for it to over perform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 9 minutes ago, CoachLB said: ILN is also forecasting this as a two round system. There would still be a few more inches across the board after 4am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Gino27 said: ILN is also forecasting this as a two round system. There would still be a few more inches across the board after 4am. That's kind of deceiving then. Why not just issue a forecast for the entire 2 rounds instead of just for 1 round ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 28, 2020 Author Share Posted November 28, 2020 50 minutes ago, Indystorm said: I'll be rooting for you. I think I might be just a bit too far west to get much LES....maybe an inch here in Griffith unless we get a due n/s fetch down the lake for awhile. I know Hoosier is forecasting more and he has more experience in recent years in this area than I do. That certainly is a strong LES band setting up to dive into IN pretty far se. Latest delta T I've seen has been around 17. I like it more around 20. Good luck to those who catch the system snow to the east and get under the brunt of the LES band. Good way to start met winter. The 3-6" I am going with is for areas just to our east... far eastern LOT and into western IWX. I have deliberately been holding off on a call for our backyards because of more uncertainty this far west as far as the duration of snow. There are some signals for multiple bands, and there could be flakes in the air for many hours, even for us. If I had a gun to my head, I'd go with 1-2" for us, with most of that on colder/grassy surfaces. Marine influence/marginal temps are complicating factors, though being several miles inland should help a little. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 No matter what happens, I will try to post some 4- or 5-day loops of GFS 500mb plot, GFS surface/precip, NWS surface analysis, possibly GFS 700-400mb moisture, possibly IR satellite pics, possibly regional radar for Ohio. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 34 minutes ago, Snownado said: That's kind of deceiving then. Why not just issue a forecast for the entire 2 rounds instead of just for 1 round ? They just updated it to include the rest of Tuesday. This is either conservative, or genius. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Gino27 said: They just updated it to include the rest of Tuesday. This is either conservative, or genius. Time will tell. Is this consistent with most of the models ? It seems to me like most models are showing a bit more than this ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 29 minutes ago, Hoosier said: The 3-6" I am going with is for areas just to our east... far eastern LOT and into western IWX. I have deliberately been holding off on a call for our backyards because of more uncertainty this far west as far as the duration of snow. There are some signals for multiple bands, and there could be flakes in the air for many hours, even for us. If I had a gun to my head, I'd go with 1-2" for us, with most of that on colder/grassy surfaces. Marine influence/marginal temps are complicating factors, though being several miles inland should help a little. If this were a bigger snow I’d consider chasing the snow band into LaPorte County but I’ll just enjoy the radar returns for this one. I’m too far east to be in the best stuff but hopefully the band will wobble overhead for a bit to get an inch or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, Snownado said: Is this consistent with most of the models ? It seems to me like most models are showing a bit more than this ? Definitely going conservative for now. I'm assuming they have the same low confidence as I do lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 15 minutes ago, Gino27 said: Definitely going conservative for now. I'm assuming they have the same low confidence as I do lol. The problem is that temps are going to be above freezing until monday night so snow will have a real hard time accumulating until then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: The problem is that temps are going to be above freezing until monday night so snow will have a real hard time accumulating until then. At least the sun angle is low so that shouldn't be an issue ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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