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December Medium/Long Range Discussion


yoda
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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

don't think ICON 850mbs are available but almost everyone loses 925s, other than the mountains. Way different than GFS/EURO. Honestly, I think it's tossable.

The transfer to the coastal low is much later than the successful runs we’ve had like the Canadian from yesterday. 

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3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Yeah no other model has been transferring that late...so it appears to be on an island.

Nam has the primary pretty far north and east but then again it’s the 84 hour nam and that’s the equivalency of trusting a wet fart when you have the stomach bug so there’s that..

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Just now, psuhoffman said:

Icon is slowly trending more towards the other globals every run imo. It wasn’t long ago (last night I think) the icon was a primary with almost no secondary and a rainstorm to upstage NY and central New England after a brief period of WAA snow. 

icon shows alot of fantasy snowstorms from long range but its almost always on an island and then there is a dramatic shift to crap after a few runs. dosent seem as good as the JMA

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Just now, Buddy1987 said:

Nam has the primary pretty far north and east but then again it’s the 84 hour nam and that’s the equivalency of trusting a wet fart when you have the stomach bug so there’s that..

The NAM wouldn’t have ended well. But it’s NAM at 84. That’s like the Gfs at 240. If it wasn’t over amped at that range I’d be shocked. 

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Icon is slowly trending more towards the other globals every run imo. It wasn’t long ago (last night I think) the icon was a primary with almost no secondary and a rainstorm to upstage NY and central New England after a brief period of WAA snow. 

Agreed but it's 18z run was the same if not worse than it's 12z run. Also, having the primary in Indiana and Ohio isn't going help us. 

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2 minutes ago, Ji said:

icon shows alot of fantasy snowstorms from long range but its almost always on an island and then there is a dramatic shift to crap after a few runs. dosent seem as good as the JMA

Honestly I don’t look at a lot of that crap other then for entertainment sometimes. At some point more info, if it’s likely not better info, is just distracting noise.

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1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

Maybe we should reset our minds for HH...warning criteria is just dandy.  For me at least.  5 inches is more than enough.  

5 inches would be devestating when you have been teased day in and day out with 12-18 lol

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