Fozz Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 The latest GFS shows an incredible amount of snow in western MD and Canaan Valley throughout the run. Wave after wave of heavy upslope. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, Fozz said: The latest GFS shows an incredible amount of snow in western MD and Canaan Valley throughout the run. Wave after wave of heavy upslope. yeah I saw that.. 3 feet.. it would certainly get the wisp season started! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 8 minutes ago, Fozz said: The latest GFS shows an incredible amount of snow in western MD and Canaan Valley throughout the run. Wave after wave of heavy upslope. This looks okay I guess 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Out to 384 on GEFS. Looks fine to me at h5. This isn’t 2019 Dec as it looks now. My hope is we get enough stability over a longer time period to give us a chance. All we can ask for...if we get nothing out of it at least we had the opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 57 minutes ago, Fozz said: The latest GFS shows an incredible amount of snow in western MD and Canaan Valley throughout the run. Wave after wave of heavy upslope. The upcoming advertised pattern is textbook upslope for the mountains in MD/WV. Great for Wisp and Canaan to start their seasons off with a bang. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 We all need to take the 2.5 hour trip to Garrett County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 15 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: This is wicked impressive. Slight adjustment and we are good .8 days to adjust Gets to 959 mb off New England coast Meteorlogically speaking it will be a fun track, don’t expect snow though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Oh boy...hopefully more people can tell us why things wont happen...that makes this place awesome 5 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Oh boy...hopefully more people can tell us why things wont happen...that makes this place awesome I mean it shows rain for us. That can definitely happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 How about this ... the EPS shows a positive EPO for much of this period while the CPC 3-4 week outlook gives us a > 60% chance of above normal temperatures as La Nina reasserts itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Yes. Seems like an elevation/intensity dependent event as depicted on the 12z cmc/gfs. Still time for it evolve either way. The ops seemed to have shifted east with the track which is a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 12 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: David should come back here. When we get a Radio Show worthy event...trust me...he'll be like the terminator... 31 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Oh boy...hopefully more people can tell us why things wont happen...that makes this place awesome We might be brothers from another mother. Same things irk us, we get each other's inside jokes/mocking...and I mean...Capitol Heights. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: Oh boy...hopefully more people can tell us why things wont happen...that makes this place awesome No one wants it to snow more than me. Trust me. I’ve storm chased snowstorms where I couldn’t afford it but went anyway. Hell I lost a job because of 2015 NE event . Ji will tell you if he recalls, but the 2001 bust sent me into a depression at 14 years old. I’m sick in the head when it comes to snow. I used to feel the same way when I saw negative posts, but I’m just being realistic. The week after this storm? There’s reason to have tempid excitement The antecedent air is too warm. The first storm would need to head into 50/50 position, but it’s not doing that on the models. Instead it’s lifting to the NW. We don’t get snowstorms, normally, with a HP off the SE coast like is being shown. We’d need a monster ULL to close off and stall in the perfect spot and even then with this airmass it likely would be too warm. I’m more enthused with the week after this event. I’m still interested in seeing if the far Nw burbs can cash in though...I’m only talking about the city and immediate burbs of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Looks good on these maps even though Maryland is like one pixel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 25 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Looks good on these maps even though Maryland is like one pixel Too bad we aren't in the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Love the look on the long range GFS. All caveats apply for an operational 10 days out but looks like an active southern stream with some cold air startimg to build. Whem suppression looks like an issue from 10 + days that's ussually a good sign for us lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 This might be our first legit chance...until it trends to Toledo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Idk about that . Tuesday looks interesting For a few showers after the heavy rain? I guess lol. Looks interesting for Canaan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Only iyby lol . A few Gefs members pop a new low just east of us on Tuesday . Some areas could see a burst of wet snow . If your looking for WSW then no. I've been casually following that fully knowing there is no chance it happens. From my unhealthy following of the GEFS last year it feels like it can get stuck on an unrealistic idea all the way up until an event is supposed to occur. But for those who want a fun snow map, squint at p02, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: I'll take 1,2,5,10 or 30 it's too bad not a single EPS member wants to play ball. Makes it hard to dream! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 32 minutes ago, CAPE said: Too bad we aren't in the NE. Speak for yourself Mr. 70 feet ASL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Speak for yourself Mr. 70 feet ASL If I'm standing on the deck that's probably about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 2 hours ago, CAPE said: This might be our first legit chance...until it trends to Toledo. The “slot” track. Over or just south of Atlanta and not too strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 GFS delivers. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 29, 2020 Author Share Posted November 29, 2020 Quite the SLP and h5 low on tonight's Euro... too bad its down by ILM at 144... but 6 contour closed h5 is nothing to sneeze at... Apps might get quite the pasting on there I think ETA: never mind re the snow part lol... no QPF even gets into the LWX CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 The gfs and euro just crushed my western MD plans smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 End of the 6z GEFS looks serviceable to me at h5. Decent BN 850 temp anomaly in our region. There should be more frosty mornings in our future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 2 hours ago, Ji said: The gfs and euro just crushed my western MD plans smh 3 events over the next 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: If you use the h5 vorticity maps and fast fwd frame by frame ( I use wxbell) the shear number of shortwaves interacting is nuts . Do it with the op Euro or Gfs . Point is ...its busy . I wouldn't be surprised if a clipper or a storm pops in the near medium range( day 4-5) or short range (inside 3 days ). Far from boring. Really all one could ask for in early December . As @Bob Chill always said (btw, he needs to get his ass in here), most of our events pop up under the D6 time frame. Rarely do we have a long tracking event that's picked out at D8-12. 13-14 winter was notorious for events that showed up around D4-5. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: If you use the h5 vorticity maps and fast fwd frame by frame ( I use wxbell) the shear number of shortwaves interacting is nuts . Do it with the op Euro or Gfs . Point is ...its busy . I wouldn't be surprised if a clipper or a storm pops in the near medium range( day 4-5) or short range (inside 3 days ). Far from boring. Really all one could ask for in early December . Can you kindly post the Euro ensemble AO, PNA and NAO please. I am asking because the AO really seems to go deeper to -SD than a couple days ago from the CPC site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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