Buddy1987 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, Snowchaser said: Nothing like a midweek ice storm Don’t cliff dive yet. GFS isn’t superior in CAD situations, although some of the pros have alluded to the fact that there could be strong southerly flow up above the cold dome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: Nothing like a midweek ice storm I wouldn’t trust the map depictions. GEFS is a solid hit. Looks improved from 12z. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 You don’t use ensembles for precip type determination 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Who has access to this model? Is it worth looking at? 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Why not one more map. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, jaydreb said: Why not one more map. Just bring it south! I want an early start to winter break after all this so far. Hope January goes well with snow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 23 minutes ago, H2O said: He didn't say you lied. Ji is simply hugging the colder models just as you are hugging the Euro more than other models. We still don't know which will be right and I know you know this. I'm just hope we can see how this plays out and you can give your insight on how or why. TEACH DT. Lets see how this can work Damn, I go away for some pizza and I miss all the action. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 13 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: Just bring it south! I want an early start to winter break after all this so far. Hope January goes well with snow as well. A fair number of those members hit Calvert County thank you very much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 JMA on board. Hate the 24 hr maps, tough to see what happens after this panel before it heads East of Atlantic City....but this has the look of a Mid Atl pasting imo with that HP strength and location. One of the better model looks for most of this sub. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 24 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Who has access to this model? Is it worth looking at? No. Not worth your time...and in this setup unless that OH valley low barrels through an increasingly stronger HP, there’s no chance the mountains are almost in the mid 30s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 You go to bed after a mid and wake up to jubilation, mixed with temperament, sprinkled with DT lashing and Ji concerned despite incredibly solid model runs. The GFS is on an island with regards to intensity compared to the other “Good” globals.Nature is healing . 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treckasec Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 23 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Who has access to this model [IBM Deep Thunder / GRAF]? Is it worth looking at? It's... Not the best for snow :O) It gets hyped up quite a bit, but it tends to overdo snowfall ^ That's an 80-hour forecast for April 7th, 2018 And for January 20th, 2019, just to provide another example... 73-hour forecast: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, Treckasec said: It's... Not the best for snow :O) It gets hyped up quite a bit, but it tends to overdo snowfall Oh crap! It is Deep Thunder! Ya, not good! I did not know it was the same for some reason! LOL! Ya, tends to be crap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Deep Thunder = biggest weenie model there ever was 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 50 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: You don’t use ensembles for precip type determination Aww man I was getting a laugh out of every one of those posts. Why ya gotta ruin the fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 21 minutes ago, Treckasec said: It's... Not the best for snow :O) It gets hyped up quite a bit, but it tends to overdo snowfall ^ That's an 80-hour forecast for April 7th, 2018 And for January 20th, 2019, just to provide another example... 73-hour forecast: It has sucked but in fairness the other globals didn’t cover themselves in glory with those 2 storms from that range either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Every time I hear about the deep thunder model I think of Mick in Rocky saying, you’re gonna eat lightning, and crap thunder!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 18z EURO worth a look from anyone who has access? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 8 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Every time I hear about the deep thunder model I think of Mick in Rocky saying, you’re gonna eat lightning, and crap thunder!!! Makes me think of that mediocre AC/DC song. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: 18z EURO worth a look from anyone who has access? Its rolling now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 18Z GEFS 3, 6, and 12 inch prob. day 6. All increases from 12z. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 18Z GEFS 3, 6, and 12 inch prob. day 6. All increases from 12z. Those are big jumps it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 That's a huge jump. Has me in the 10% for seeing a foot of snow or greater. Probably doesn't mean much, but it's a start 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Experts can give opinion on the 18Z EURO snow map. Sig. increase from 12z. Monday.... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Experts can give opinion on the 18Z EURO snow map. Sig. increase from 12z. Monday.... Christmas may come early for all of us! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 David it’s so much better that you stay. Nobody is a better discusser of weather in a concise manner. Ji and I have mostly made peace but his constant instigation and needling of valuable contributors has grown old. A solution that would work is a 2-3 day suspension right at the prime time of an impending and occurrent event. That is a behavior changer. Let’s emphasize weather instead of the titillation of the same two guys carrying on s 15 year sparring session. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Here you go. WB 18Z EURO Monday WV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, WEATHER53 said: David it’s so much better that you stay. Nobody is a better discusser of weather in a concise manner. Ji and I have mostly made peace but his constant instigation and needling of valuable contributors has grown old. A solution that would work is a 2-3 day suspension right at the prime time of an impending and occurrent event. That is a behavior changer. Let’s emphasize weather instead of the titillation of the same two guys carrying on s 15 year sparring session. I second that! DT and JI are both a big part of these forums! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: Can you get the map that includes Snowshoe, WV? Here's your map Enjoy 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Experts can give opinion on the 18Z EURO snow map. Sig. increase from 12z. Monday.... Can you post temp maps please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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