jaydreb Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Euro was the worst of the 12z suite for DC as far as temps are concerned and still gave a good thump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @psuhoffman I know you said yesterday the outcomes for Monday and Wednesday seemed unrelated. But seeing guidance move in lockstep for both storms today has me wondering... I only analyzes one gefs run. On that one run 24 hours ago there did not seem to be any discernible correlation between the amplitude of the Monday wave and the Wed wave. But things can change. If they become less spaced the odds they impact each other increases. Also of Monday crosses a critical threshold and is amplified “enough” it would have to impact the next wave. Ill take a look at the 12z guidance to see if there is a more obvious correlation now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @psuhoffman I know you said yesterday the outcomes for Monday and Wednesday seemed unrelated. But seeing guidance move in lockstep for both storms today has me wondering... If there is any relation, I would maybe think a weaker, flatter system Monday would allow for a stronger Atlantic ridge to build ahead of wave 2. Would need to take a closer look and see if there's an impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 18 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Eps showing below 0 lows in New England going into early Wednesday. That can't be bad. Coldest run yet at the surface Gets our temps down to 18-20 Wednesday morning before precip. moves in. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 12 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Who wants snow Monday if we can get 18 inches Wednesday Is this a trick question? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 14 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Who wants snow Monday if we can get 18 inches Wednesday I want both. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 4 minutes ago, Winter Wizard said: If there is any relation, I would maybe think a weaker, flatter system Monday would allow for a stronger Atlantic ridge to build ahead of wave 2. Would need to take a closer look and see if there's an impact. I have noticed the last 2-3 model cycles that no matter what model you use if it is more NW with wave one its been more classic for the coast and organized with wave 2. The weaker wave 1 runs have tended to be uglier with wave 2, more disjointed etc. There may be no correlation given the sample size is small but its been obvious mostly in the Euro which by far has been the most amped model for Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, clskinsfan said: I want both. You deserve both. I deserve neither by picking a less than ideal snow zip code. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Somebody should probably start a thread for the Monday threat. It is only 72 hours out. And it is going to be really busy in here with the Wednesday event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 27 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Who wants snow Monday if we can get 18 inches Wednesday I'll sacrifice the good for the great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Somebody should probably start a thread for the Monday threat. It is only 72 hours out. And it is going to be really busy in here with the Wednesday event. Nope. Don’t do it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Somebody should probably start a thread for the Monday threat. It is only 72 hours out. And it is going to be really busy in here with the Wednesday event. Let’s be honest...Monday isn’t a threat for 80% of the people in this forum. I guess if you hicks think it’s worth it then be ready for the city folk to sh*t it up with rain obs. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Nope. Don’t do it At least wait for HH to finish. I’d like to have a reason to get plow housed...a legit reason anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Nobody sees that 50/50 low? That's a crazy 50/50 there.. 958 mb of goodness 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: Nobody sees that 50/50 low? That's a crazy 50/50 there.. 958 mb of goodness Holy sh*t...you’re right! We missed it! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Wonder when DT will get in here. Be curious to hear his take. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 52 minutes ago, mappy said: That is does! 11 years next week, and my kid turns 8 the week after that. Goes by too fast. Keep the banter down guys.. we got a storm we’re tracking here!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Nobody sees that 50/50 low? That's a crazy 50/50 there.. 958 mb of goodness I see it. But I also see those 850 winds streaming straight up from the Gulf as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 24 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I have noticed the last 2-3 model cycles that no matter what model you use if it is more NW with wave one its been more classic for the coast and organized with wave 2. The weaker wave 1 runs have tended to be uglier with wave 2, more disjointed etc. There may be no correlation given the sample size is small but its been obvious mostly in the Euro which by far has been the most amped model for Monday. Yup, this is what I've seen as well. Haven't spent the time to figure out quite why that pattern is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, PivotPoint said: Keep the banter down guys.. we got a storm we’re tracking here!! lol buzz off 3 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, BristowWx said: Wonder when DT will get in here. Be curious to hear his take. He's still trying to figure out what dates Monday and Wednesday are 1 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 What time does the EPS come out? Sorry Im trying to play catch up, this board has been busy today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, ryanconway63 said: What time does the EPS come out? Sorry Im trying to play catch up, this board has been busy today It will come out 1 hour ago. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, mappy said: lol buzz off “Do as I say, not as I do.” Yes? What do you think of my early totals call? I have you in the 6-12” range for Wed’s storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: We’re in between model runs. We’ll be game for happy hour. Fair enough fair enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’ll tell you what. It feels good to see so much joy on the boards right now. Yeah. the panic room is gonna be suffering for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, clskinsfan said: Yeah. the panic room is gonna be suffering for a while. Not unless you know what happens 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Snow... the great uniter of people. As some would say: “this is the most important hh gfs run of the year.” Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, clskinsfan said: Yeah. the panic room is gonna be suffering for a while. Give it 12 hours before we're all in there.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now