Thanatos_I_Am Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Torching 850's here in Rockville, as depicted it would be a nail bitter.. wouldn't want it any other way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, Thanatos_I_Am said: Torching 850's here in Rockville, as depicted it would be a nail bitter.. wouldn't want it any other way! You’ll be fine. Torching? fun is rain changing to snow. Not too long rain of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, BristowWx said: You’ll be fine. Torching? fun is rain changing to snow. Not too long rain of course. There was some sarcasm in "torching" .. 33 is torching in my book! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 36 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah, but it's a lot closer than 0z. Takes the 850 low right overhead. Definitely less OH valley signature this run. I'd actually wager it would have stayed all snow at DC this run except the surface low track is just onshore in VA. It’s a noise level (at that range) adjustment either way from being all snow or a lot of tears in DC. That’s how we roll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 10 minutes ago, mappy said: sure is. hard to forget getting married with a 2 foot snowstorm raging outside Was that 2009? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 28 minutes ago, Paleocene said: This looks really pretty to my meteorologically uneducated eyes. Pretty cool to see that 50/50 and the block. I remember past discussion of neutral or negative tilt being desirable for the area of low pressure in the southern US, this is relatively neutral right? Still slightly positive I thin. But that is as About as good as a setup gets. -NAO. 50/50 HP over the top. That is a classic crush job map. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Was that 2009? yes! 12/19/2009 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: It’s a noise level (at that range) adjustment either way from being all snow or a lot of tears in DC. That’s how we roll. For sure. All guidance, pending EPS, went that same way today and a good direction for us. Better than the alternative. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 I picked the right week to be back in MD. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: That'll be a hell of a midnite jebwalk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 12 minutes ago, mappy said: sure is. hard to forget getting married with a 2 foot snowstorm raging outside OT, but holy hell, time flies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, Paleocene said: That'll be a hell of a midnite jebwalk. Yeah jebwalking in sideways heavy rain 20 miles south of the rain/snow line sounds like a great jebwalk Snowfall out to 174 on the 12z EPS. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 4 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Do you have the map before this one by chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bodhi Cove said: OT, but holy hell, time flies That is does! 11 years next week, and my kid turns 8 the week after that. Goes by too fast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 12z EPS looks slightly better than 0z for DC metro to my untrained eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Calling @Jebman Alert! Incoming nuclear assault! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Do you have the map before this one by chance? DC metro walking the line as always. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Do you have the map before this one by chance? No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, jaydreb said: DC metro walking the line as always. Thanks. I already put together a folder for this storm and want to start saving images. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Eps showing below 0 lows in New England going into early Wednesday. That can't be bad. Coldest run yet at the surface Yeah I expect the snowfall mean here to go up based on these trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 It will feel real when I see **major winter storm possible for interior mid-Atlantic**on the WPC 3-7 day outlook. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 WB 12Z EPS prob maps 3, 6, and 12 inches. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EPS prob maps 3, 6, and 12 inches. 10% chance? Pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Who wants snow Monday if we can get 18 inches Wednesday 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 @psuhoffman I know you said yesterday the outcomes for Monday and Wednesday seemed unrelated. But seeing guidance move in lockstep for both storms today has me wondering... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 4 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Who wants snow Monday if we can get 18 inches Wednesday We all do. You know this.. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Euro was the worst of the 12z suite for DC as far as temps are concerned and still gave a good thump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @psuhoffman I know you said yesterday the outcomes for Monday and Wednesday seemed unrelated. But seeing guidance move in lockstep for both storms today has me wondering... I only analyzes one gefs run. On that one run 24 hours ago there did not seem to be any discernible correlation between the amplitude of the Monday wave and the Wed wave. But things can change. If they become less spaced the odds they impact each other increases. Also of Monday crosses a critical threshold and is amplified “enough” it would have to impact the next wave. Ill take a look at the 12z guidance to see if there is a more obvious correlation now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @psuhoffman I know you said yesterday the outcomes for Monday and Wednesday seemed unrelated. But seeing guidance move in lockstep for both storms today has me wondering... If there is any relation, I would maybe think a weaker, flatter system Monday would allow for a stronger Atlantic ridge to build ahead of wave 2. Would need to take a closer look and see if there's an impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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