BristowWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 23 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: GFS sure wants no part of it I miss the old days when a Euro solution was the chicken in our pots...the beef in our stew 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, BristowWx said: I miss the old days when a Euro solution was the chicken in our pots...the beef in our stew Keep the faith brother! I'll never abandon the EURO. I thought H5 looked pretty good on the 6z GFS. What am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 I guess we’re using DTs thread for Monday, so we can keep this for anything past that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 no one is talking about how the models have flipped to warm for the time that we thought they were going cold? like what is this shite? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Ji said: no one is talking about how the models have flipped to warm for the time that we thought they were going cold? like what is this shite? Nearing the 20th, right on cue to warmer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 13 minutes ago, Ji said: no one is talking about how the models have flipped to warm for the time that we thought they were going cold? Thought I read here the CanSIPS latest release was a good one for cold in the East during December ? Remarkable changes once again. I imagine the next weather outcome reverse psychology flip would be a late month change to harsh cold and deep snow. I will be keeping a close watch on the AO for later in the month and the flip back, later in time hopefully, to more West Coast ridging. Not sure what to make of the Ventrice post about ocean and atmospheric increased Nina coupling as we head deeper into December. Many players to watch and the biggest drivers may end up being a combination of a few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 WB 6z GEFS. Currently, I think our best hope for a significant storm is mid December (15-17) before the pattern appears to get warmer for the holidays. EPS is also signaling something during this timeframe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 13 minutes ago, frd said: Nearing the 20th, right on cue to warmer. I'll say this Fred, the models were saying our area was going to get drenched tonight into tomorrow and now that seems unlikely so color me skeptical about any model saying anything 15+ days away. Could be right...probably wrong 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 26 minutes ago, Ji said: no one is talking about how the models have flipped to warm for the time that we thought they were going cold? like what is this shite? Urban heat island being modeled nicely. Shorts/flip flops and margaritas on the deck for the holiday! 2020 can't end soon enough. 2021 will rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'll say this Fred, the models were saying our area was going to get drenched tonight into tomorrow and now that seems unlikely so color me skeptical about any model saying anything 15+ days away. Could be right...probably wrong I would imagine changes in the East Coast and locally, versus changes over the entire Conus to a degree, and including a warmer forecast for Canada lends supports for warmer near the 20th. However, I could be wrong. Modeling has been poor. I read maybe some issues might be related to less air travel/reduced data for forecast platforms. Whether that is true, I am not sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 33 minutes ago, Ji said: no one is talking about how the models have flipped to warm for the time that we thought they were going cold? like what is this shite? Always use the colder of the two. Hasn't failed in the past. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 It’s the end of an op run, but the 12z gfs shows the sort of evolution we want to see. Cutter brings down an arctic airmass behind it and an active pattern provides a series of strong short waves moving into that cold air. That cutter also acts as a 50/50 low to reinforce the cold. Then hopefully we get a nice snow event before our annual 70F Christmas Eve when the pac puke arrives with Santa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 4 hours ago, Ji said: no one is talking about how the models have flipped to warm for the time that we thought they were going cold? like what is this shite? Because they change every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 we aren't going to be calling people bitches up in here. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Try again DT without calling people names. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, mappy said: Try again DT without calling people names. i changed it .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, DTWXRISK said: i changed it .... Try again without calling out Ji specifically in any post. Keep it to the weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 5 hours ago, Ji said: no one is talking about how the models have flipped to warm for the time that we thought they were going cold? like what is this shite? thats because the EPS is vastly different and none of the Teleconnection support this 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 There you go! Good job. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, mappy said: There you go! Good job. yeah but not as funny .... that which does not kill me makes me funnier 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, DTWXRISK said: yeah but not as funny .... that which does not kill me makes me funnier Too bad. If you want to post in our threads, which is fine that you do, you need to reel in the name calling. Otherwise, your posts will keep disappearing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 24 minutes ago, mappy said: Too bad. If you want to post in our threads, which is fine that you do, you need to reel in the name calling. Otherwise, your posts will keep disappearing. i mean he is wxrisk...stop expecting people to change. I am happy to have him back no matter how many names he calls me 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: They won’t be happy until everyone is gone, you know. speaking of gone....you are so lucky. I will be enjoying the storm through your webcam lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ji said: i mean he is wxrisk...stop expecting people to change. I am happy to have him back no matter how many names he calls me he can call you names in the banter thread. i dont care, just not in this thread, or other discussion threads. why is that so hard?? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 That Vortex parking near Alaska on both the EPS and GEFS is not good news. For lack of a better term, let’s hope it’s transient. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, LP08 said: That Vortex parking near Alaska on both the EPS and GEFS is not good news. For lack of a better term, let’s hope it’s transient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: It would be the third year in a row. And both previous years the PacPuke vortex was sniffed out a long ways in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 I knew this wouldn't last Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, JakkelWx said: I knew this wouldn't last I mean, 57 runs until we see this verify, but yeah not the best scenario to be heading into. Hope DT's ideas of nina's lessening impact come to fruition in late Jan/Feb to circumvent this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 43 minutes ago, mappy said: Too bad. If you want to post in our threads, which is fine that you do, you need to reel in the name calling. Otherwise, your posts will keep disappearing. well technically it was NOT name calling it was DESCRIBING ( joke) 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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