JakkelWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 4 minutes ago, mappy said: i can't even change my name. not sure he will be able to do so either. I only have to wait 29220 days until i can change mine again. Still probably less than the number of days until D.C jackpots again 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, CAPE said: I changed mine a couple months ago. No one even noticed. I might have changed mine too many times over the years so its not an option for me. And I noticed you dropped the periods. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 GFS with the classic Ontario to well off the Delmarva coast low transfer to recurve inland into Phin’s backyard. I don’t think Ji will like it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, nj2va said: GFS with the classic Ontario to well off the Delmarva coast low transfer to recurve inland into Phin’s backyard. I don’t think Ji will like it... I’ll give it another couple days but I think the 28th storm is a rain event. NAO block at that time doesn’t look as west-based as it did several days ago, which allows the primary to cut far to our NE before transferring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 38 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Most important run of gfs of Ji’s life I note the 12Z has uncanny similarities to '96. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 13 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I’ll give it another couple days but I think the 28th storm is a rain event. NAO block at that time doesn’t look as west-based as it did several days ago, which allows the primary to cut far to our NE before transferring. wait. Just so I understand what you are saying clearly. Are you saying that modeled blocking from a couple days ago might not pan out? This seems unpossible 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, H2O said: wait. Just so I understand what you are saying clearly. Are you saying that modeled blocking from a couple days ago might not pan out? This seems unpossible It’s there. Just not in the best place for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, WxUSAF said: It’s there. Just not in the best place for us. Good thing those of us to the North and West have seen snow already. That could be our only shot in 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 7 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Good thing those of us to the North and West have seen snow already. That could be our only shot in 2020 The only white Christmas I'll see is if they hold a Barry Manilow concert on my patio on Friday. It is what it is. I'll be away until the 7th anyway. I hope y'all get zilch until then. I still love you tho. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: The only white Christmas I'll see is if they hold a Barry Manilow concert on my patio on Friday. It is what it is. I'll be away until the 7th anyway. I hope y'all get zilch until then. I still love you tho. The 7th? I guess I'll just have to celebrate NYE with a fine bottle of JWB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, stormtracker said: The only white Christmas I'll see is if they hold a Barry Manilow concert on my patio on Friday. It is what it is. I'll be away until the 7th anyway. I hope y'all get zilch until then. I still love you tho. Barry really is the whitest guy on the planet next to fitness guy Richard Simmons. When Barry sings Copacabana all is right with the world. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, H2O said: The 7th? I guess I'll just have to celebrate NYE with a fine bottle of JWB If you value your life, I wouldn't do that. Also, if you drink it, Dan Synder gets his wings....and 20 more years ownership of the WTF team. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 A nice west based block...finally some consistent lower heights in the 50/50 region and the gfs just shreds every sw coming east. Need just a mediocre PNA ridge to get something to amplify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, poolz1 said: A nice west based block...finally some consistent lower heights in the 50/50 region and the gfs just shreds every sw coming east. Need just a mediocre PNA ridge to get something to amplify. Should be seasonally cold. That maybe all we can get. Hoping one of those CAD over run events show up. Anything really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Should be seasonally cold. That maybe all we can get. Hoping one of those CAD over run events show up. Anything really I'll certainly take anything to track...May have to let this pattern mature a little into Jan. Hopefully, the calls for increased +PNA start to pan out by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 The window for something looks to begin after the late month warm Miller B garbage event. The GFS will do what the GFS does with shortwaves coming east under a block at range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 new thread since LR takes us into January? I’d ask C.A.P.E. to start it but he’s gone. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Good gfs run. It’s catching on. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 33 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: It’s there. Just not in the best place for us. Maybe I’m wrong but I never thought it was established enough yet for that first wave after Xmas. Its the waves after that that interest me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: new thread since LR takes us into January? I’d ask C.A.P.E. to start it but he’s gone. Onto a new CAPE era, bring us luck please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Maybe I’m wrong but I never thought it was established enough yet for that first wave after Xmas. Its the waves after that that interest me. I concur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Maybe I’m wrong but I never thought it was established enough yet for that first wave after Xmas. Its the waves after that that interest me. Hopefully, I get a new coffee maker for Christmas along with an extensive variety of coffees to fuel the late nights of tracking in Jan. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Good gfs run. It’s catching on. Hopefully it's got the right idea in the long range. 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 6 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Hopefully it's got the right idea in the long range. The long range GFS matches the new CFS for Jan. 2021 , which according to the date today of the 22 nd should be entering its period of higher verification for the next 30 day period. I like ! We track ! @psuhoffman you think ridge bridge way out there possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 20 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Maybe I’m wrong but I never thought it was established enough yet for that first wave after Xmas. Its the waves after that that interest me. 17 minutes ago, CAPE said: I concur. Seems like the storm around New Years should be a chance for us. GEFS and EPS do not seem enthused though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 13 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Hopefully it's got the right idea in the long range. I guess those were ok storms 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Seems like the storm around New Years should be a chance for us. GEFS and EPS do not seem enthused though. CMC never gets it here. For the second run it gets to TX then loops for 4 days blocked from moving east at all. From what I’ve seen the ensembles are all over and don’t key on anything. A lot of shred factory dry members. Some miller b screw jobs. A few big hits sprinkled in. Some misses to the south. Shotgun spread so no signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Isn't there a correlation of Mongolian highs and cold/wet conditions on the eastern CONUS? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I guess those were ok storms So...essentially just like 1996 then!! That'll never get old. Or will it??? (***No dead equines were harmed by this comment!) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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