CAPE Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 10 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: If people focused on what they get vs. what others get then whatever snow that falls will be awesome. It only becomes less awesome when some get 3" but are mad because Allentown got 7" and Worcester got 12". If we get a parade of Miller B's then yeah we won't get as much as up north but we will most likely get something. But that's not how we roll here I guess...it's always about what could have been. I would love to focus on what I get, except it's zero. Any advice? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: I would love to focus on what I get, except it's zero. Any advice? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I don't think he really cares if it snows in my yard lol. I see you lurking. Reaper. Forget it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: I would love to focus on what I get, except it's zero. Any advice? Move about 50 miles east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Odds Ji chimes in after he washes his dog to say "The GFS is a disaster" I say 148% chance 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 38 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: The day 8 system still worth watching . No way am I looking past it . Lots can and will change that's for sure . Not to mention Xmas eve and any other shortwaves that will undoubtedly pop up in the med short range. Gefs There is one issue there. Like others have mentioned the HP originates in SE. that Hp you see there builds in later. Not saying it’s not possible, but my focus is more on what happens few days after. Of course I could just be kicking the cab down the road and say the same thing in a few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: If people focused on what they get vs. what others get then whatever snow that falls will be awesome. It only becomes less awesome when some get 3" but are mad because Allentown got 7" and Worcester got 12". If we get a parade of Miller B's then yeah we won't get as much as up north but we will most likely get something. But that's not how we roll here I guess...it's always about what could have been. This is snow Buddhism. Learn to want you have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 13 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: This is snow Buddhism. Learn to want you have. Well, in keeping with @yoda, who started this thread..."Snow or snow not! There is no try!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Gfs is a disaster comparable to last winter 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Gfs is a disaster comparable to last winter There he is!! Alive and well I see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, Ji said: Gfs is a disaster comparable to last winter And we’re back. Bah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 7 minutes ago, Ji said: Gfs is a disaster comparable to last winter @WxWatcher007 might as well reap Ji now because the upcoming HECS on January 2nd will only feature 24 inches instead of 36 inches in Leesburg. 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 14 minutes ago, Ji said: Gfs is a disaster comparable to last winter You'd be so much better if you just didn't act like a dramatic drama queen 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 hours ago, leesburg 04 said: Odds Ji chimes in after he washes his dog to say "The GFS is a disaster" I say 148% chance 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 GFS looks different than 18z but the hp gets pushed off and the storm cuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 7 minutes ago, jaydreb said: GFS looks different than 18z but the hp gets pushed off and the storm cuts. Ji should be around any second that 00z looks even more disastrous than 18z overall. ETA: In seriousness, didn’t look at the run but based on that verbatim map, wouldn’t take much adjustment for a more favorable outcome. Push that High further west where its more of a hat on top of the low..would help shove the low east vs north. At least I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Looks like our blocking is blocking us from getting snow or cold 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 If we keep getting cutters and rain in severe ao and nao....winters as we know them are gone forever 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, Ji said: Looks like our blocking is blocking us from getting snow or cold Lol it was a pretty huge shift from 18z. This would argue a better outcome is possible if not likely. At least if it played out no one can blame a lack of blocking or say it’s not ideally placed. That’s a classic Greenland block. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, Ji said: If we keep getting cutters and rain in severe ao and nao....winters as we know them are gone forever How much snow did you get last week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 How much snow did you get last week?6-10 less than I thought 3 days b4 the storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 8 minutes ago, Ji said: If we keep getting cutters and rain in severe ao and nao....winters as we know them are gone forever In all seriousness though, let this play out. You know we do better as blocking relaxes not as it forms. We just saw that play out. We had a legit threat that barely missed as the last round broke down. The blocking is in its inception there. Look at the last 2 serious blocking episodes. March 18 we suffered a cold rain in early March in the infancy of that blocking regime before getting several quality snow chances (and at least 1 some more hits depending on exact location). January 2016 we had a couple rain storms and I seem to recall you saying EXACTLY this same thing. Then something happened like a week later. Maybe it will come to me. Just saying let this play out. If we actually get the blocking advertised on guidance and NOTHING comes of it but cutters and rain I will be shocked but also alarmed. But that’s not how I think it plays out. I do think you might have to be more patient then you want to be though. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 I hope Ji doesn’t look at the CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 6 minutes ago, Ji said: 15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: How much snow did you get last week? 6-10 less than I thought 3 days b4 the storm You gonna make it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, jaydreb said: I hope Ji doesn’t look at the CMC. That’s from the miller b storm after Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 @Ji let’s analyze this though. Then I’m getting some sleep. The GFS drives that storm up into a blocked in high and it literally makes it to Erie and gets shredded. Then jumps hundreds of miles SE and redevelops off the coast. How often is that how it plays out? Usually it jumps once it hits that kind of confluence not 12 hours after being sheared to oblivion by it. Path of least resistance and all. Meanwhile the CMC has so much blocking that storm never even makes it here. It gets to Texas and spins loops for 3 days because there is literally too much blocking. I’m gonna say we should wait and that’s is a lot of room for this to adjust. Not the least of which is how the miller b around Dec 28 affects this and guidance is still shifting with that. But goodnight. Hopefully tomorrow we get the digital snow you want. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Could easily go away next run but the euro shows potential around New Years as have other models to varying degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, SnowLover22 said: Could easily go away next run but the euro shows potential around New Years as have other models to varying degrees. Snow to sleet for us. It does produce a continuous swath of snow from the CA mountains all the way to RI.. Really slow mover. Seems to be one of those Atlantic VS pacific -PNA VS -NAO SE ridge vs confluence trilogies. Many more bizarre runs to come I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Great op euro run. That look would trend colder if it held... I think we should root on the day 7 clipper to bomb and form a 50/50 eveb if it’s rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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