ryanconway63 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Nice Setup via the OP day 10 on the Euro....low forming in Texas with a nice setup in the East...something to watch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 The EPS mean is pretty pathetic though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 "Better than anything since 1996 blizzard." 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: You also need to buy a +PNA....there’s a full latitude trough on the west coast Yeah I'm not seeing seeing a perfect pattern there. Troff in CA and ridge over TX gives little room for a low coming out of the gulf. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 29 minutes ago, Amped said: Yeah I'm not seeing seeing a perfect pattern there. Troff in CA and ridge over TX gives little room for a low coming out of the gulf. How often do we see a perfect pattern? And when we do, how often does it actually produce? Asking for a friend. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, CAPE said: How often do we see a perfect pattern? And when we do, how often does it actually produce? Asking for a friend. Never and never Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 hour ago, osfan24 said: "Better than anything since 1996 blizzard." Certainly some of the looks that we saw back in the winter of 09 10 were incredible. I would never reference since xxxx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 hour ago, jaydreb said: The EPS mean is pretty pathetic though. Just like last year, typical climo. Sigificance is when the mean is 6 or more inches. Then let the dogs out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 minute ago, frd said: Certainly some of the looks that we saw back in the winter of 09 10 were incredible. I would never reference since xxxx. I am not a DT fan, but I doubt that's exactly what he said. Without checking(because I really don't care enough to) I am guessing he was only considering Nina winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 29 minutes ago, CAPE said: I am not a DT fan, but I doubt that's exactly what he said. Without checking(because I really don't care enough to) I am guessing he was only considering Nina winters. He actually said it’s the best look he’s seen overall since then. He references both 2009-2010 and the blizzard of 96 in the same sentence. He didn’t add any qualifiers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 9 minutes ago, chris21 said: He actually said it’s the best look he’s seen overall since then. He references both 2009-2010 and the blizzard of 96 in the same sentence. He didn’t add any qualifiers. Well then he is just another hypester, or a complete idiot(as he loves to call people). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 hours ago, losetoa6 said: A few big hits in the day 8-10 on the Eps Just took a look at the mean. SLP and 500 look quite nice to me. Is everyone just being rationale about this being 8 days out and so not talking much about it? Seems like we could see an evolution also where we hopefully get something around the 28th and that storm moves up under the block as a 50/50 for a chance around the 30th/31st. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Seems like it’s his opinion. How do you say someone’s opinion, especially someone with that level of knowledge and expertise, is wrong? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Seems like it’s his opinion. How do you say someone’s opinion, especially someone with that level of knowledge and expertise, is wrong? I don’t think it’s hyperbole to say the Atlantic side might be the best we’ve had since January 16. But the PAC is fair at best. Doesn’t seem hostile per se, but also not very supportive. So there’s certainly a big dog chance, but need to time things out west favorably with a more durable NAO block. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Just took a look at the mean. SLP and 500 look quite nice to me. Is everyone just being rationale about this being 8 days out and so not talking much about it? Seems like we could see an evolution also where we hopefully get something around the 28th and that storm moves up under the block as a 50/50 for a chance around the 30th/31st. It’s because an OP model at 200 hours out isn’t painting 18-36” across the area so this supposed blocking pattern is going down in flames even before the pattern sets in. People need their digital snow fix it seems. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 I would take the GFS depiction for xmas and run. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Seems like it’s his opinion. How do you say someone’s opinion, especially someone with that level of knowledge and expertise, is wrong? He is entitled to his opinion, like anyone else. Given his reputation, it should be informed, and made with proper context though. 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I don’t think it’s hyperbole to say the Atlantic side might be the best we’ve had since January 16. But the PAC is fair at best. Doesn’t seem hostile per se, but also not very supportive. So there’s certainly a big dog chance, but need to time things out west favorably with a more durable NAO block. Yeah that's reasonable, but If he actually said better than 2009-10 as has been suggested... Hype!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: It’s because an OP model at 200 hours out isn’t painting 18-36” across the area so this supposed blocking pattern is going down in flames even before the pattern sets in. People need their digital snow fix it seems. Very true and yes folks require the digital fix. Looking at the next 10 days there appears to be two robust Atlantic wave breaking events. Perhaps the Atlantic blocking is underplayed currently despite the great looks by the models. Maybe the block will be even stronger than modeled. I expect medium range changes moving forward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 GFS with some light snow showers Christmas morning in the area as you’re opening presents or going to mass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Coastal plain screw job 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: GFS with some light snow showers Christmas morning in the area as you’re opening presents or going to mass. Looks like a little more than light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Wow, I’m getting a drink to celebrate that happy hour gfs run!! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Coastal plain screw job 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, WxUSAF said: Wow, I’m getting a drink to celebrate that happy hour gfs run!! Toast my friend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, JakkelWx said: DC Jack. Must be right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: LOL it skips over us. Totally believable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, CAPE said: LOL it skips over us. Totally believable. It took away my digital snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, JakkelWx said: It took away my digital snow Its actually a good run. Details...heh. Xmas miracle back on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: It took away my digital snow St Michaels-Easton jackpot count on it! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now