jaydreb Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 I would take the GFS depiction for xmas and run. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Seems like it’s his opinion. How do you say someone’s opinion, especially someone with that level of knowledge and expertise, is wrong? He is entitled to his opinion, like anyone else. Given his reputation, it should be informed, and made with proper context though. 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I don’t think it’s hyperbole to say the Atlantic side might be the best we’ve had since January 16. But the PAC is fair at best. Doesn’t seem hostile per se, but also not very supportive. So there’s certainly a big dog chance, but need to time things out west favorably with a more durable NAO block. Yeah that's reasonable, but If he actually said better than 2009-10 as has been suggested... Hype!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: It’s because an OP model at 200 hours out isn’t painting 18-36” across the area so this supposed blocking pattern is going down in flames even before the pattern sets in. People need their digital snow fix it seems. Very true and yes folks require the digital fix. Looking at the next 10 days there appears to be two robust Atlantic wave breaking events. Perhaps the Atlantic blocking is underplayed currently despite the great looks by the models. Maybe the block will be even stronger than modeled. I expect medium range changes moving forward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 GFS with some light snow showers Christmas morning in the area as you’re opening presents or going to mass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Coastal plain screw job 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: GFS with some light snow showers Christmas morning in the area as you’re opening presents or going to mass. Looks like a little more than light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Wow, I’m getting a drink to celebrate that happy hour gfs run!! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Coastal plain screw job 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, WxUSAF said: Wow, I’m getting a drink to celebrate that happy hour gfs run!! Toast my friend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, JakkelWx said: DC Jack. Must be right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: LOL it skips over us. Totally believable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, CAPE said: LOL it skips over us. Totally believable. It took away my digital snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, JakkelWx said: It took away my digital snow Its actually a good run. Details...heh. Xmas miracle back on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: It took away my digital snow St Michaels-Easton jackpot count on it! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 9 minutes ago, CAPE said: LOL it skips over us. Totally believable. Yeah there is no way DCA is getting 7-9 inches and I am getting 2 inches. No way that map verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Better evolution for the 28th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Further south with energy when transferring yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 HH GFYS model strikes again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Changing to snow at 201 Odd looking December 1992 like system. it backs into the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 39 minutes ago, CAPE said: Well then he is just another hypester, or a complete idiot(as he loves to call people). I think he over reacted to 2 VERY good euro op runs yesterday and one EPS where it took a big move in that direction. He was probably expecting the EPS to continue trending and the op not to take a crap the next run (although I would argue it’s a great setup day 10 for something early next year). I think he jumped the gun and got emotional maybe but there was logic behind his thoughts. Even with some degradation today the look is close to a big storm look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 If this 1996 storm DT is calling for later this month or early next year happens I’m not gonna know what to think. DT is a time traveler 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 GFS loves doing loop d loops in the LR when there is blocking. Good sign imo. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: If this 1996 storm DT is calling for later this month or early next year happens I’m not gonna know what to think. DT is a time traveler Effin Biff stole the Delorean! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Yea...what a wicked ass evolution Ugly coastal flooding setup too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Wow is this run active. And that storm around 200 hrs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Psu you’re spot on there. DT sometimes lags behind a few model runs lol. The potential is still there though. The 18z gfs post Xmas storm is an interesting one. the wave kind of doesn’t know what to do. It’s got stout blocking up top but a very progressive flow. It stays open for so long before finally closing. The signal is real though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 18 minutes ago, Amped said: Odd looking December 1992 like system. it backs into the coast. Blocking. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 11 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Gefs lookin better and better for Xmas eve. Mean keeps increasing My bar is coating to an inch 1" - 3" for everyone on Christmas Eve / early Christmas morning is money. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 80% chance of a white Xmas? GFS please be right. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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