CAPE Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: @CAPEdoesn't have to .That's his trailer park Cambridge lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 I like the long range for the rest of the year for temperatures. Luckily it looks very cold for my escape destination. Coldest year for this time in awhile it seems. My secret / not so secret snow escape is coming together nicely! This is what rain does to you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Nothing happening on the Euro through at least Christmas Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Nothing happening on the Euro through at least Christmas Day. Winchester has flipped to snow by 06z on Christmas Day, verbatim. Front still running through. But yeah, not much. Maybe some flakes on the backend for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: mythical flash freeze event anyone? Reminds me of the Valentine's Day 2015 event... that was nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 11 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Nothing happening on the Euro through at least Christmas Day. Some snow TV I guess. Hard to know with the 6 hour panels and the WB wonkiness with surface/snowfall maps. Abrupt change in temps pre-post front too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 12z deeper then 0z with energy at the base of the trough down in Alabama this run . Something to watch I’ll say..any deeper and will need more colors to choose from..if that was negative tilted... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 12z deeper then 0z with energy at the base of the trough down in Alabama this run . Something to watch Is this in regards to having a trailing wave follow up on the arctic front? One singular GEFS model had that on the 12z guidance, but it seems like if that happens, it has some good upside (at least according to that one member) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Nice setup end of the run. I bet we’ll see DT barking soon if this look continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Is this in regards to having a trailing wave follow up on the arctic front? One singular GEFS model had that on the 12z guidance, but it seems like if that happens, it has some good upside (at least according to that one member) Well it’s more exciting than last Xmas. We take! Oh yes. If nothing else we can roast chestnuts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 6 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I’ll say..any deeper and will need more colors to choose from..if that was negative tilted... We actually would probably prefer it to be more positively tilted that way the front of the trough could lower heights more. That’s if there was still enough energy rounding the base 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 No shortage of chances for the foreseeable future. No real specific tracking threats at range yet...but keep those progged looks and we will connect soon enough. Encouraging to see HL blocking continue AND even more encouraging is the sudden stream of STJ activity being forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: No shortage of chances for the foreseeable future. No real specific tracking threats at range yet...but keep those progged looks and we will connect soon enough. Encouraging to see HL blocking continue AND even more encouraging is the sudden stream of STJ activity being forecast. I think next one is the following time period after the Christmas front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 28 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I think next one is the following time period after the Christmas front No surprises there given the looks headed into the last week of Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 42 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: No shortage of chances for the foreseeable future. No real specific tracking threats at range yet...but keep those progged looks and we will connect soon enough. Encouraging to see HL blocking continue AND even more encouraging is the sudden stream of STJ activity being forecast. Anthony Masiello @antmasiello Replying to @griteater There are some interesting analogs that spring up in extended range with low latitude winter storms in them. What more can be said for the Northeast; it's on. 11:45 AM · Dec 18, 2020· Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, frd said: Anthony Masiello @antmasiello Replying to @griteater There are some interesting analogs that spring up in extended range with low latitude winter storms in them. What more can be said for the Northeast; it's on. 11:45 AM · Dec 18, 2020· Was just reading that thread...thought this response regarding the stj was interesting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 20 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Was just reading that thread...thought this response regarding the stj was interesting. Check out griteaters thread. Cool stuff going on near Greenland and hopefully retrograding blocking will manifest itself. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Damn .... game on ! Simon Lee @SimonLeeWx Nothing quite like seeing NASA's GEOS forecast a 240-hour lower-stratospheric heat flux event that would rank among the biggest ever observed for any time of year in MERRA2 reanalysis. https://acd-ext.gsfc.nasa.gov/Data_services/met/ann_data.html… 3:30 PM · Dec 18, 2020·Twitter Web App 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: No shortage of chances for the foreseeable future. No real specific tracking threats at range yet...but keep those progged looks and we will connect soon enough. Encouraging to see HL blocking continue AND even more encouraging is the sudden stream of STJ activity being forecast. How is all of this, especially the STJ, happening in a borderline strong Niña? It all sounds way too good to be true, and something I’d expect from a Modoki Niño. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Just now, Fozz said: How is all of this, especially the STJ, happening in a borderline strong Nina? As Morrissey has said, some Nina’s are bigger than others. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowproblem Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 10 minutes ago, frd said: Damn .... game on ! Simon Lee @SimonLeeWx Nothing quite like seeing NASA's GEOS forecast a 240-hour lower-stratospheric heat flux event that would rank among the biggest ever observed for any time of year in MERRA2 reanalysis. https://acd-ext.gsfc.nasa.gov/Data_services/met/ann_data.html… 3:30 PM · Dec 18, 2020·Twitter Web App What is a heat flux event? Is this the same sudden stratospheric warming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 How is all of this, especially the STJ, happening in a borderline strong Niña? It all sounds way too good to be true, and something I’d expect from a Modoki Niño.I’m pretty sure it’s because the Nina is dying. Someone posted information about it earlier.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 9 minutes ago, Fozz said: How is all of this, especially the STJ, happening in a borderline strong Niña? It all sounds way too good to be true, and something I’d expect from a Modoki Niño. Enso is no longer the very reliable prediction tool it once was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Mount Holly's (new) quick take on late week.. they did say to stay tuned lol. A cold front associated with the low will cross the area, ending the warmer temperatures and bringing a sudden return to Winter. Rains will likely change to snow and some accumulations are possible later Thu night and into Friday. Still a week away, so exact details will have to wait until we get closer, but this could affect travel during the upcoming holiday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Both the 18z 12k and 3k Nam have mood flakes for eastern areas Sunday afternoon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 @showmethesnow is back! 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 18, 2020 Author Share Posted December 18, 2020 lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Just now, JakkelWx said: I swear I saw a Low forecasted there recently! LOL! 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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