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December Medium/Long Range Discussion


yoda
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6 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Of course. Everyone should.

You know if I am posting anything from a LR op run its just for fun, lol.

LOL yes I know. I usually search for your posts here. It’s how I know what’s going on. I was more saying I’m exhausted looking ahead after this last storm so I’m keeping my lights on low beam.

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5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

12z deeper then 0z with energy at the base of the trough down in Alabama this run . Something to watch 

ecmwf-deterministic-conus-z500_anom-8854400.png

Is this in regards to having a trailing wave follow up on the arctic front? One singular GEFS model had that on the 12z guidance, but it seems like if that happens, it has some good upside (at least according to that one member)

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3 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

Is this in regards to having a trailing wave follow up on the arctic front? One singular GEFS model had that on the 12z guidance, but it seems like if that happens, it has some good upside (at least according to that one member)

Well it’s more exciting than last Xmas.  We take!  Oh yes.  If nothing else we can roast chestnuts 

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6 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I’ll say..any deeper and will need more colors to choose from..if that was negative tilted...

We actually would probably prefer it to be more positively tilted that way the front of the trough could lower heights more. That’s if there was still enough energy rounding the base

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11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

No shortage of chances for the foreseeable future. No real specific tracking threats at range yet...but keep those progged looks and we will connect soon enough.

Encouraging to see HL blocking continue AND even more encouraging is the sudden stream of STJ activity being forecast.

I think next one is the following time period after the Christmas front

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