frd Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Lets get a MECS PLEASE i would speculate that due to improved climo,combined with the strat/blocking evolution a rather potent winter storm in the East in early to mid January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 JMA and CMC want to hang energy back over TX midweek as Arctic front presses thru the Northeast. Both move a low out of the Mississippi Valley around Christmas day. 6 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 What I wouldn't do for some snow on Christmas, especially a major storm. And this year would be the perfect year to be snowed in on Christmas. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: What I wouldn't do for some snow on Christmas, especially a major storm. And this year would be the perfect year to be snowed in on Christmas. WSWatches or WWAs on Xmas eve....tough to beat that kind of magic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 15 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: JMA and CMC want to hang energy back over TX midweek as Arctic front presses thru the Northeast. Both move a low out of the Mississippi Valley around Christmas day. one tiny problem 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, osfan24 said: What I wouldn't do for some snow on Christmas, especially a major storm. And this year would be the perfect year to be snowed in on Christmas. A true blessing for the weather weenies, and for many others, after a year of difficulty and sadness for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 The models have all been bouncing around some sort of system on the 24th/25th/26th. CMC probably the closest to what we'd want so far. Needs a stronger/better placed 50/50 low and more blocking, though. The high as shown would probably disappoint us in the same ways the high with yesterday's storm did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: WSWatches or WWAs on Xmas eve....tough to beat that kind of magic That did happen 10 years ago.. Christmas day though, and well, that storm busted badly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Somebody in here said that IF we had a Christmas snow storm, they would gladly give up all snow the rest of winter. I can’t remember who said it, but they might want to consider finding those comments and deleting them stat! Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: WSWatches or WWAs on Xmas eve....tough to beat that kind of magic We did have that, for The Storm Which Shall Not Be Named (*ahem* Dec. 2010 *ahem*). Ducking for cover! Ooops... 'd by @mappy, sorry about that!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, Ji said: one tiny problem CMC is icy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 10 minutes ago, Ji said: one tiny problem The JMA 850mb 0C line is *just* a bit outside! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 48 minutes ago, frd said: Ying and Yang...... wonder what happens in the East between December 25 th and January 7 th 2021. Awesome! Now tell me why that dude is sittin' up there with a frowning emoji as if the blue ball of awfulness wasn't set up there all last winter...lol (and maybe even the winter before) Spread the wealth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: CMC is icy "With all the snowpack in the Northeast, the CAD signature would have to be much better than models are seeing" - Weenie Playbook 101 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 12z Euro has a bit of a wave moving along the Arctic Front for Xmas eve. Quick shot of snow verbatim then COLD. 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Really thinking that any SPV weakening / elongations / re-location, ie. to the Hudson Bay region for example, really benefits us in January versus other areas of the NH. Growing more likely something will happen, but to what degree is still uncertain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 8 minutes ago, CAPE said: 12z Euro has a bit of a wave moving along the Arctic Front for Xmas eve. Quick shot of snow verbatim then COLD. That always works out well for us! LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 8 minutes ago, CAPE said: 12z Euro has a bit of a wave moving along the Arctic Front for Xmas eve. Quick shot of snow verbatim then COLD. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, osfan24 said: That always works out well for us! LOL. any snow around Christmas Eve/ Christmas day, however light, would be awesome. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 10 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: any snow around Christmas Eve/ Christmas day, however light, would be awesome. Yes it would. I remember we had some snow back in 2008 maybe? A little snow on Christmas morning that was enough to give us around an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Start a thread Not falling yet, I will be in NOVA on 23 December for Christmas. Let Bristow do it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 10 minutes ago, osfan24 said: That always works out well for us! LOL. This is gonna evolve into an epic (Arctic) anafrontal snow event- one of the highest probability ways to get snow around here. On quick glance I counted maybe 7-8 EPS members that produce a shot of snow during that period. Others have rain showers presumably ahead of the front. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Not falling yet, I will be in NOVA on 23 December for Christmas. Let Bristow do it Yeah because he would bring the luck....I blocked him years ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 The NAO barely dropped below zero! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: The NAO barely dropped below zero! Better than it spiking positive, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Better than it spiking positive, lol He posted the old data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 WB 12Z EPS. Signal seems strongest Day 15-20. So we will see if it increases over the next week. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Give me p41 and move it 250-300 miles east and call it a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 40 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: The NAO barely dropped below zero! A somewhat -NAO with a VERY -AO is just fine. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 24 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EPS. Signal seems strongest Day 15-20. So we will see if it increases over the next week. When the mean gets to 6 to 8 inches 6 to 7 days prior then we can get excited. Last winter was a dismal showing with low odds and probabilities. Getting 1 or 2 inches prior to December 31 st seems reasonable. The re-load in January may provide the real deal to us in this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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