Ji Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 1 minute ago, jaydreb said: No 50/50? I’m out. yea sucks...fast moving storm. you will see the back edge of the snow on radar before the storm even starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 the JMA is due to sniff one out right? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 12 minutes ago, Ji said: i havent seen snow since 18-19. I would be very happy with a 4 inch storm covering christmas decorations. Unlike last winter...i have zero expectations so anything will be gravy For 5 minutes maybe. I mean you complained 2010 was a bust in the 5 weeks between epic snow blitzes then again in early March because it didn’t snow again after Feb 10. ETA: it’s ok. That’s you man. I’m not trying to pick on ya just saying... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 14 minutes ago, Ji said: i havent seen snow since 18-19. I would be very happy with a 4 inch storm covering christmas decorations. Unlike last winter...i have zero expectations so anything will be gravy 5 minutes ago, Ji said: yea sucks...fast moving storm. you will see the back edge of the snow on radar before the storm even starts Yup...that aged well 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ji said: the JMA is due to sniff one out right? Lol it got that one storm in 2006 and has been living off it ever since. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 34 minutes ago, jaydreb said: No 50/50? I’m out. Yeah poor excuse for a -NAO. 50-50 high smh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: ^yeah, that's straight up pretty gorgeous. Haven't seen any 12z MJO-related products, but on the face of it, it seems to contradict with a respectable wave moving through phases 3-6. But, the MJO isn't the only factor and isn't alway the dominant factor so who knows? I hope its right, because that's the best H5 pattern we've had for snow in a couple years. Agreed, good point about the MJO. If there’s really an amplified MJO wave going through phases 3-6, the depicted long range pattern doesn’t make any sense. We’ll have to wait and see. Paul Roundy and Isotherm have targeted January as being the wintry month for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Let me be the first to say right where we want it on the 18z... You guys know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 GFS really trying for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 5 minutes ago, Chris78 said: GFS really trying for Saturday. It will need to make its own cold air. That usually works out ok 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 7 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Let me be the first to say right where we want it on the 18z... You guys know I mean it definitely seems to be heading in the right direction for sure. Plenty of time for it to continue to morph into our first legit shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Congrats Staunton! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 18 minutes ago, Chris78 said: GFS really trying for Saturday. Ha, so close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 26 minutes ago, Chris78 said: GFS really trying for Saturday. It's really trying to continue that Dec 5 magic. Maybe December 5th needed to take a gap decade and is back for the 2020s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilentTalkie Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 18 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Congrats Staunton! That’s a waynesboro to Crozet bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 24 minutes ago, SilentTalkie said: That’s a waynesboro to Crozet bullseye Yes it’s a giant heart...it loves that area of VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 That's a decent looking storm...I'm curious how fast would something like that melt? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 46 minutes ago, Cobalt said: It's really trying to continue that Dec 5 magic. Maybe December 5th needed to take a gap decade and is back for the 2020s? Yea. It hasn't happened in a while but the 5th was money for a few years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Wave 1 configuration coming up Anthony Masiello @antmasiello Replying to @antmasiello Guidance in the extended range is rapidly intensifying the Aleutian High in stratosphere/wave 1 configuration. 2:43 PM · Nov 30, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 5 hours ago, LP08 said: Hard to ask for much else heading into mid month as WxUSAF said. Should we start looking at the weeklies to worry about when it’ll break down? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 The guidance backed off some on the mjo wave today and so mid month looks a lot colder. Way too soon to draw any conclusions yet. Today was a good trend though. 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 12 minutes ago, nj2va said: Should we start looking at the weeklies to worry about when it’ll break down? For our mental health we'd be better off just taking it as it goes...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: For our mental health we'd be better off just taking it as it goes...lol Oh, yeah. That’s how we roll here. Level-headed and sane. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 It's really trying to continue that Dec 5 magic. Maybe December 5th needed to take a gap decade and is back for the 2020s?Last time was 2007? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 3 hours ago, leesburg 04 said: That's a decent looking storm...I'm curious how fast would something like that melt? As soon as you see the back edge on the radar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 48 minutes ago, Ji said: 4 hours ago, Cobalt said: It's really trying to continue that Dec 5 magic. Maybe December 5th needed to take a gap decade and is back for the 2020s? Last time was 2007? 2009 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said: Oh, yeah. That’s how we roll here. Level-headed and sane. Our emotions are “Transient” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Gfs looks a bit different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 When this is warm rain in December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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