WinterWxLuvr Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It's actually 2mb deeper this run at the critical moment for us...from 90-96 hours...it just lost that wonky due north jog that screwed us 18z. More in line with the ensembles. The SW associated with the primary was slightly less amplified originally and that helped. Don't want that to go negative too soon. The high actually is in a bit different location this time Well maybe not. Early on it looked that way but I think I’m guilty of just looking at an H also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Last WB GFS 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Big wiff north of NYC almost like FEB 2010, but cutoff is a bit further north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Depth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Yep, 18z was just a burp. 00z nicely in line with 12z. Train is still rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, Amped said: Big wiff north of NYC almost like FEB 2010 Is this a bad thing? Hope those bozos don't see an inch! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, Deck Pic said: only 10 more runs before the storm starts About time you showed up 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 I was expecting to see more ice with the GFS.. I'm honestly shocked. I'm starting to believe this could be a 10''+ snowfall from Charlottesville, D.C., Baltimore, Philadelphia and maybe up to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, Thanatos_I_Am said: Is this a bad thing? Hope those bozos don't see an inch! Nah. I want everyone to score. But for us the east jog is a good thing. Extra deform for those of you to the NE. This is a crazy run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Depth That is a brutal cut off south of Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 CMC looks like a beatdown, as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, Amped said: Big wiff north of NYC almost like FEB 2010, but cutoff is a bit further north. Those DMV specials often do this right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Lol quite the precip field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, AmericanWxFreak said: I swear Harrisburg and SE PA is the weather capital. Supercell and tornadic thunderstorms in the summer year in and year out and then potent winter storms with maximum potential more often that not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Is this a bad thing? Hope those bozos don't see an inch! Closed 700mb low over Atlantic city, so That probably Implies NYC will get crushed and could be the jackpot of the whole event.. Sharp cutoff north of there though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 So now we see if at 6z we had another blip, trend SE or hold course. WB 18z v. 0Z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 10 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: We tack on some extra pixie dust on Friday, too. Beautiful run. Pleasure being here with y'all. Remember that time in 2000? ETA: I want another bacon strip on the Bingo card Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: For MBY, that panel looks like every Miller B 1-2 hours after onset. The way it's being modeled to bomb, it has to be a hybrid right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Great 00z. Whew! Canadian agrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Little after the party snow showers too on GFS. How amazing would that be... drops a foot of snow then later next day a couple snow showers roll through for a quick .25” on top. Stuff of dreams 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Lets just lock in the GFS right now and call it a day. Pretty much everyone would be happy. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Boy do I feel pretty silly about melting down after 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 13, 2020 Author Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, Deck Pic said: His 18z ensembles were nice for us... I expect him to show some forgiveness at 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Feels like 2009 in here. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 i really like CMC high placement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Who has a CMC Snowmap? I want more digital snow beat downs to look at 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 This H5 look at hour 102 is absolutely classic. If it can close off slightly sooner and/or farther south, I think just about everyone in this forum will be very happy. The deformation zone would be pretty sweet verbatim. I think it’s pretty clear the 18z GFS that caused weenie suicides was just a blip; the GEFS suite being east was a red flag. What’s encouraging is seeing the vort pass through sooner, which prevented higher heights from building in the Atlantic. This is key for allowing the system to take an offshore track rather than move too close to the coast, as well as not completely torching the mid-layers. Hopefully the Euro and it’s ensembles can follow suit. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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