NorthArlington101 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Wait. That’s on the bingo card right? LolDefinitely might’ve missed some earlier, but here’s the update. Waiting to debut a new one just for the obs thread, haha. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Definitely might’ve missed some earlier, but here’s the update. Waiting to debut a new one just for the obs thread, haha. I am honored to be on be on the bingo card. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Definitely might’ve missed some earlier, but here’s the update. Waiting to debut a new one just for the obs thread, haha. Ian showing up will be the hardest one to fill IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 I think we get a DC snowhole tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 12 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Here’s 84hr panel.. big time cad all the way down into NW SC That primary needs to be in northern Tennessee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said: I think we get a DC snowhole tonight Not that kind of setup, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 It feels like we’ve been treading water all day at a 96-105H start time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Yeoman said: That primary needs to be in northern Tennessee I dont like to play the extrap game. But it is already starting to jump off the SC coast there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, Yeoman said: That primary needs to be in northern Tennessee Def wouldn’t take much but I think even where it is at now we can still bank on all frozen for cad areas because that high is in a really good spot. Just depends what type of frozen is your cup of tea. I really want snow but after last year I will take anything I can get at least for myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Not that kind of setup, lol Never doubt its ability to show up.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 LOL, am I the only one that can interpret @Yeoman? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: LOL, am I the only one that can interpret @Yeoman? Possibly. I am kind of hammered in all honesty 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 16 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Definitely might’ve missed some earlier, but here’s the update. Waiting to debut a new one just for the obs thread, haha. Pretty sure that DT brought up “liberals” yesterday. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said: Never doubt its ability to show up.... Yeah but not in this setup. Got a ton a QPF all models agree is coming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Pretty sure that DT brought up “liberals” yesterday. Just need Eskimo Joe to be unimpressed with the 00z GFS and we’ve got another Bingo! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Just need Eskimo Joe to be unimpressed with the 00z GFS and we’ve got another Bingo! That’s pretty much a given. Although 18z lowered our expectations so much that it will take a lot to bring us down more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, jaydreb said: That’s pretty much a given. Although 18z lowered our expectations so much that it will take a lot to bring us down more. Doubtful, have you been around long? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: Doubtful, have you been around long? I’m already depressed about the 6z runs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Snowchaser said: From your mouth to Ji's ears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Curlyq Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: If this is the case, surprised another thread hasn't been started for Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Before the next round begins I just wanted to say that if this seemingly endless parade of storms across the south and up the Piedmont continues all winter, then this is gonna be an historic winter. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 26 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: LOL, am I the only one that can interpret @Yeoman? lol, no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 No 00z icon on TT. I think JI went in and deprogrammed it because it was showing the least amount of snow. 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: No 00z icon on TT. I think JI went in and deprogrammed it because it was showing the least amount of snow. I was literally just getting ready to post myself LOL! It got cold feet and flaked out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 ICON not working on WB either but GFS is now rolling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, Weather Will said: ICON not working on WB either but GFS is now rolling... It doesn’t work when it works 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Sorry I posted this in the wrong thread a min ago @dtk @WxUSAF @high risk do you know what resolution the GEFS and EPS members are run at compared to the operational? I have noticed that the ensemble members (of both the EPS and GEFS) have been running warmer even with similar or further east tracks then the operational runs. This has been a consistent correlation for several runs across both ensemble suits. The track of the operationals has changed but the presentation of the thermal structure of the storm has remained fairly consistent...meaning where you expect the thermal boundaries to be wrt to mslp is roughly the same places each run dependent on the MSLP. But those same thermal boundaries seem to be further NW given the same MSLP track on the individual ensemble members of both the EPS and GEFS. I am wondering if they are run at a lower resolution...they may be warmer due to not modeling the meso scale features as well. That may not be correct...just grasping at possible causality for the observation I noted. I know back in the day the NAM would pick up on CAD better due to its higher resolution...one of the few things it was good for at range with a winter synoptic event. You had to adjust for its over amplified bias...but you could get an idea what the thermal structure of the storm might look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 WB 0Z GFS hr 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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