jaydreb Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Don't panic Ji!! Right where we want it at this range. 3 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Noticing increased signs of +PNA on the OP GFS. Been showing that for several runs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: So we are out to January now? The storm after the storm after the storm? It's not the same as the last several years, though...where we were always looking Day 10-15 just for improvement in the larger signals. This time around, the larger signals are moving up in time...and thus, better reason to actually start believing in potential that could be 2-3 weeks away...and promising signs of continuing potential beyond that. So this time we wait a little longer for the further development of a pattern that's already building...and start looking at legit chances! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, jaydreb said: Right where we want it at this range. The big ones are sniffed out early! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 10 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: The big ones are sniffed out early! Yeah right, it'll be all rain down here in Southern Maryland. I should expect that though, it's not peak climo yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 18 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Right where we want it at this range. I’m one away from bingo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 23 minutes ago, CAPE said: This is an h5 look that will get it done for a moderate snowstorm. Has the look of an area wide Warning level event. We don't do those very often any more. It's either a Hecs or slop to rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 22 minutes ago, IronTy said: Yeah right, it'll be all rain down here in Southern Maryland. I should expect that though, I know where I live. Fixed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Gfs did kinda sorta bring back the snow Thursday. Just the tiniest bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 16 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Fixed I was going for a twofer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Anyone know how to create this on tidbits? Pulled this image from tweeter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Anyone know how to create this on tidbits? Pulled this image from tweeter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 1 minute ago, SnowDreamer said: lol....right in front of my face. Much appreciated! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 WB 18Z GEFS does not look as negative as the last several pages of this forum... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS does not look as negative as the last several pages of this forum... Have the last several pages been negative? Hadn't noticed that. And that looks pretty shit for here. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 9 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS does not look as negative as the last several pages of this forum... Could we narrow that down a bit? How about the same maps through Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 11 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS does not look as negative as the last several pages of this forum... nice climo map - could have made that forecast in July and have an equal chance of being correct. 5 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 2 hours ago, CAPE said: @Ji Not a cutter. Fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 39 minutes ago, CAPE said: And that looks pretty shit for here. OMG, spit my sugar smacks out. At least your odds are 10 % , I am at zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 45 minutes ago, CAPE said: Have the last several pages been negative? Hadn't noticed that. And that looks pretty shit for here. I bet you see more snow this year than Miami....quit yer bitchin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Fringed Right where we want it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 46 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Could we narrow that down a bit? How about the same maps through Friday? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 DT's first call, FWIW for western peeps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 3 hours ago, CAPE said: Don't panic Ji!! I will take the 30 to 50 mile northward tick on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 3 hours ago, CAPE said: Don't panic Ji!! Ya know, I'm really starting to think that these snow maps are bad for the snow psyche...seriously (especially this far out). I think they can, subconsciously, create a false sense of reality. Some see 10 inches on the pretty snow map, and maybe there's a subconscious thought/feeling of "hey I actually HAVE 10 inches!), then you see 3 on the next run, and it's "oh no, it got taken away". It just makes level headed analysis on any threat or pattern more difficult, imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 14 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Ya know, I'm really starting to think that these snow maps are bad for the snow psyche...seriously (especially this far out). I think they can, subconsciously, create a false sense of reality. Some see 10 inches on the pretty snow map, and maybe there's a subconscious thought/feeling of "hey I actually HAVE 10 inches!), then you see 3 on the next run, and it's "oh no, it got taken away". It just makes level headed analysis on any threat or pattern more difficult, imo The first step is admitting you have a problem. Imma head out. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 20 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Ya know, I'm really starting to think that these snow maps are bad for the snow psyche...seriously (especially this far out). I think they can, subconsciously, create a false sense of reality. Some see 10 inches on the pretty snow map, and maybe there's a subconscious thought/feeling of "hey I actually HAVE 10 inches!), then you see 3 on the next run, and it's "oh no, it got taken away". It just makes level headed analysis on any threat or pattern more difficult, imo Haha basically explains my entire time here during that late Dec 2017 pattern that DT kept woofing about. I remember posting all of the ensemble snow means and freaking out about how they were 6"+ 10 days out. In reality? I think I got 0.8" from that pattern. In all honestly I'm not sure how you guys managed to put up with 14 year old me :p but nowadays I reserve my snowfall map postings to just 4 a day way healthier 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Icon at 180 was just about to digital us but the run ended. Typical 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 8 minutes ago, Ji said: Icon at 180 was just about to digital us but the run ended. Typical Would it have been iconic? 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Would it have been iconic? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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