NorthArlington101 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:00 PM, jaydreb said: 80% chance of a white Xmas? GFS please be right. I remember when I had an 80% chance at 6” last week 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Anyone have the 18z ensemble members and mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:03 PM, BornAgain13 said: Anyone have the 18z ensemble members and mean? Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 10:24 PM, CAPE said: yep. Expand But it isnt perfect. Discard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:00 PM, jaydreb said: 80% chance of a white Xmas? GFS please be right. Expand That is unbelievable. Timing snow on a regular day is nearly impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 DT still saying lots of potential and opportunities I think I'll wait for Jaydebbiedowner, nosfan and jerkkel to confirm 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just a snapshot of what models are being asked to handle...Blocking galore and energy flying around everywhere. Not that it hasnt been said but anything past D7-8 is a crapshoot.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Still on the subject of DT. He called that window last week well before it happened. Then it kinda disappeared for a bit before it came roaring back. I don’t mind listening to him even if the models don’t show your yard getting two feet. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:20 PM, leesburg 04 said: DT still saying lots of potential and opportunities I think I'll wait for Jaydebbiedowner, nosfan and jerkkel to confirm Expand 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:20 PM, leesburg 04 said: DT still saying lots of potential and opportunities I think I'll wait for Jaydebbiedowner, nosfan and jerkkel to confirm Expand Don’t forget Wentz, snowman, and chris. We need that ensemble consensus 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:24 PM, JakkelWx said: Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:20 PM, leesburg 04 said: DT still saying lots of potential and opportunities I think I'll wait for Jaydebbiedowner, nosfan and jerkkel to confirm Expand Sorry, I thought people liked to see maps showing snow on or around xmas. I can stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:26 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Don’t forget Wentz, snowman, and chris. We need that ensemble consensus Expand I’m feeling it. I don’t love the pac, but it’s got a shot. We keep getting blocking to show up like this we’ll produce eventually. I may be from Philly but when you guys do well I do well. Only difference is I’ll chase a storm so I tend to just root for extreme scenarios haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:18 PM, BristowWx said: That is unbelievable. Timing snow on a regular day is nearly impossible. Expand Nothing is impossible in 2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 10:57 PM, Eskimo Joe said: 1" - 3" for everyone on Christmas Eve / early Christmas morning is money. Expand Its 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:22 PM, poolz1 said: Just a snapshot of what models are being asked to handle...Blocking galore and energy flying around everywhere. Not that it hasnt been said but anything past D7-8 is a crapshoot.. Expand Not sure what you mean. Looks like a clear triple phaser March 93 incoming. 1 9 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:38 PM, 40westwx said: Its 3-6 Expand I'm always conservative with mixed bag events and any snow map beyond D2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:26 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Don’t forget Wentz, snowman, and chris. We need that ensemble consensus Expand I was pointing out the same thing as Leesburg. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Say goodbye PV 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:45 PM, Eskimo Joe said: I'm always conservative with mixed bag events and any snow map beyond D2. Expand yeah I agree.. I am not getting too excited bout this one.. especially with the euro taking a step back... our best hope would be for the front to clear the area and then an upper level low comes bowling through spawning a snowstorm.. the anafront is not really a thing here I was just sayong 3-6 cause the HH GFS actually did show 3-6.. and its Christmas eve so.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:23 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Still on the subject of DT. He called that window last week well before it happened. Then it kinda disappeared for a bit before it came roaring back. I don’t mind listening to him even if the models don’t show your yard getting two feet. Expand Most Meterologists don't change their forecast every 6 hours lol. If we ( this board) were in charge of forecasting for NWS people would have whiplash lol. I think DT is very knowledgeable ,his delivery is undesirable though lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:20 PM, leesburg 04 said: DT still saying lots of potential and opportunities I think I'll wait for Jaydebbiedowner, nosfan and jerkkel to confirm Expand LOL. If you want to take things out of context, that's on you. I have no problem with him, or anyone, saying there is lots of potential and opportunities. There certainly is. But invoking best pattern since 1996 given what we've seen over the past 25 + years is insanity and it's hyping. There are people who actually go to him for their weather needs. There are people that read this board who are weather novices eating this stuff up. It's irresponsible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:23 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Still on the subject of DT. He called that window last week well before it happened. Then it kinda disappeared for a bit before it came roaring back. I don’t mind listening to him even if the models don’t show your yard getting two feet. Expand He called that, but so did literally everyone in the world. The NAO was rising then. It was pretty easy. I like how you left off him woofing about the complete swing and miss in early December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:46 PM, chris21 said: I was pointing out the same thing as Leesburg. Expand LOL my bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 On 12/21/2020 at 12:05 AM, osfan24 said: He called that, but so did literally everyone in the world. The NAO was rising then. It was pretty easy. I like how you left off him woofing about the complete swing and miss in early December. Expand Well my memory ain’t what it once was, but if I remember correctly we did get a storm then but it was just too warm. I could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 On 12/21/2020 at 12:02 AM, osfan24 said: LOL. If you want to take things out of context, that's on you. I have no problem with him, or anyone, saying there is lots of potential and opportunities. There certainly is. But invoking best pattern since 1996 given what we've seen over the past 25 + years is insanity and it's hyping. There are people who actually go to him for their weather needs. There are people that read this board who are weather novices eating this stuff up. It's irresponsible. Expand If you disagree, then what would you say is the best pattern since 1996? One of them has to be the best one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 On 12/21/2020 at 12:09 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: If you disagree, then what would you say is the best pattern since 1996? One of them has to be the best one. Expand I heard something happened in 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Just checking in. Everyone ok? Lots of drinking going on during Sunday Funday. Let me get back to it! You guys bring home the DT BECS now. The pattern looks ripe! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 On 12/21/2020 at 12:11 AM, osfan24 said: I heard something happened in 2010. Expand I heard the euro nailed sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 On 12/21/2020 at 12:11 AM, osfan24 said: I heard something happened in 2010. Expand Ok. So that’s your opinion. DT has his. His are backed with credentials. What are yours? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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