yoda Posted December 20, 2020 Author Share Posted December 20, 2020 I hope so... this is the now pinned thread on DT (Dave's) Twitter page about the threat... he tags NC to New England https://mobile.twitter.com/wxrisksecs1/status/1340533860707278848 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Let’s see if we see any signs with the euro run now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 5:57 AM, yoda said: Jesus... now everyone is going to take that literally Expand I mean...kinda gotta book it now, right? DT has promised a combo of Dec. 19, 2009 and Jan. 5/6 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2020 Author Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 6:20 AM, North Balti Zen said: I mean...kinda gotta book it now, right? DT has promised a combo of Dec. 19, 2009 and Jan. 5/6 1996. Expand Well he just posted the 00z GEFS at 192 and basically woofed at it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 0z Euro is encouraging it seems 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2020 Author Share Posted December 20, 2020 Get the 00z EURO tonight to form that SLP a lil later (like 6-12 hours) or the arctic front to pass through our region a lil faster and we all enjoy a nice 2-4 for Christmas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2020 Author Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 10:04 AM, Ji said: Gfs Expand Now that is a better run... its a bit faster/quicker than the 00z EURO... which is better for many of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 GFS is back, nice coffee run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Every run of the euro gets better and better for Christmas. Last night: Two nights ago: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Why are their cutters on the gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 10:44 AM, Ji said: Why are their cutters on the gfs Expand yeah.. the track of the new years storm doesnt really fit the pattern... there is clearly a massive Greenland block and a 50 50 low... I guess those features need to be a little further north and west.. but hey.. I will take it at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 WB 6Z GEFS for Christmas 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 10:44 AM, Ji said: Why are their cutters on the gfs Expand Ever see a storm as whacky as the one on the gfs around 228? Watch that thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 10:44 AM, Ji said: Why are their cutters on the gfs Expand Highest heights are not in our favored area, looks like a East based Greenland block. We need that block to retro West into the Davis Straights. That could be one reason, but not the only one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 7:18 AM, Cobalt said: 0z Euro is encouraging it seems Expand Wrap it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:21 AM, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GEFS for Christmas Expand Wrap this one up as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:21 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: Ever see a storm as whacky as the one on the gfs around 228? Watch that thing Expand loop d loop It cant handle the block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:55 AM, CAPE said: loop d loop It cant handle the block. Expand Mood flakes on Christmas then a big dog on the 30th would be a perfect way to end this miserable f'ing year 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 WB 6Z GEFS really still likes period between Christmas and early 2021... 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:31 AM, frd said: Highest heights are not in our favored area, looks like a East based Greenland block. We need that block to retro West into the Davis Straights. That could be one reason, but not the only one. Expand That’s one issue, the other issue is the PAC side at the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 12:35 PM, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GEFS really still likes period between Christmas and early 2021... Expand For once I can say that is starting to look better. Models are still catching on to the blocking scenario and eventual outcomes at the lower latitudes. Also, I have not seen this blocking signature for some time, evident by the temp anomalies to our far NE via the Canadian 10 day mean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 1:00 PM, snowman19 said: That’s one issue, the other issue is the PAC side Expand When looking at the PNA domain it is possible things improve there, a short window with a more pronounced +PNA will help the storm threat window(s). I have not checked today, but yesterday it appeared the PNA was headed more positive and the NAO more negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 1:04 PM, frd said: When looking at the PNA domain it is possible things improve there, a short window with a more pronounced +PNA will help the storm threat window(s). I have not checked today, but yesterday it appeared the PNA was headed more positive and the NAO more negative. Expand It’s an EPO problem too, troughing over AK 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 Although I did "promise" a white Xmas, the way its looking maybe the best chance (for some) is for the snowpack to survive the upcoming mild period, fog, and probably 1-2" of rain lol. Still a chance for a brief period of snow or snow showers behind the front, and maybe a coating. Flakes in the air is my bar. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 1:05 PM, CAPE said: Although I did "promise" a white Xmas, the way its looking maybe the best chance (for some) is for the snowpack to survive the upcoming mild period, fog, and probably 1-2" of rain lol. Still a chance for a brief period of snow or snow showers behind the front, and maybe a coating. Flakes in the air is my bar. Expand That's going to be a tough road. We still have six days to go and it's going to warm up and we are going to get some sun this week and that's before we get all that rain and temps surge Thursday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 1:08 PM, osfan24 said: That's going to be a tough road. We still have six days to go and it's going to warm up and we are going to get some sun this week and that's before we get all that rain and temps surge Thursday. Expand You got my point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 1:05 PM, snowman19 said: It’s an EPO problem too, troughing over AK Expand Well, psu made a great post on that. You can search for it, but we have our friend the - AO to help us. At least we are in the game after the 25 th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 11:31 AM, frd said: Highest heights are not in our favored area, looks like a East based Greenland block. We need that block to retro West into the Davis Straights. That could be one reason, but not the only one. Expand Just mentioned this in my home forum. Ens means are east-based. That is one way we could waste the good pattern looks on the ops. Unless you have a stable boat and head East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 20, 2020 Share Posted December 20, 2020 On 12/20/2020 at 1:05 PM, snowman19 said: It’s an EPO problem too, troughing over AK Expand The trof is in the Aleutian chain. Thats not a horrible look with a split flow off the West coast. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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