osfan24 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 8:29 PM, ryanconway63 said: Any signs on the EPS of moisture around for Christmas Day? I know it looks very cold Expand Nah. Looks to me like a front goes through on the 24th or very early on the 25th and it's just very cold, windy and dry. Still a ways off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 8:29 PM, ryanconway63 said: Any signs on the EPS of moisture around for Christmas Day? I know it looks very cold Expand Didn’t see anything but cold. Flour in the cake..need water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Jonesin for the next one. Didn’t get a single flake but happy for everyone north and west. Long range pattern looks appetizing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 8:08 PM, chris21 said: Couldn’t be happier to have pulled the trigger on reservations to Canaan the 25-28th. Looked like it might be a torch when I made them. Expand If that long wave pattern holds, I’d imagine there’ll be really good chances to see frozen that time period. We’ll be back here from the 26th-3rd - hoping for a good event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 8:41 PM, Buddy1987 said: Jonesin for the next one. Didn’t get a single flake but happy for everyone north and west. Long range pattern looks appetizing. Expand Sorry bro. You’ll get a southern slider. It was magical up here for 3 hours now it’s ZR. Still fall technically Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Now goes out to December 14th: 250 mb for comparison: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 GFS trying to pop a little energy late Christmas Eve/Day Something to watch.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 10:36 PM, ryanconway63 said: GFS trying to pop a little energy late Christmas Eve/Day Something to watch.... Expand It does, looks good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 now that is an arctic high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 11:27 PM, Ji said: now that is an arctic high Expand Yes when we get one finally it will be suppressing everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 11:27 PM, Ji said: now that is an arctic high Expand All teles line up....brief -EPO gives us a nice arctic high to work with this time. Also a rising NAO post x-mas... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 11:27 PM, Ji said: now that is an arctic high Expand That's the one, Marv! That's the silver tuna. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 8:48 PM, BristowWx said: Sorry bro. You’ll get a southern slider. It was magical up here for 3 hours now it’s ZR. Still fall technically Expand I actually ended up cashing in on some of the vort swinging through here. Moderate snow for a good while got like 1/2” so it was nice to finally see white falling from the sky and accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 11:42 PM, poolz1 said: All teles line up....brief -EPO gives us a nice arctic high to work with this time. Also a rising NAO post x-mas... Expand Our biggest Kahuna’s in history are typically timed when the -NAO is heading back up neutral or negative. This is THE window. Time to load up on coffee! I have enough alcohol in the house. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 12:40 AM, Buddy1987 said: I actually ended up cashing in on some of the vort swinging through here. Moderate snow for a good while got like 1/2” so it was nice to finally see white falling from the sky and accumulating. Expand Hate to ask but could you send it my way. My slush has turned to slush. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 12:59 AM, BristowWx said: Hate to ask but could you send it my way. My slush has turned to slush. Expand Lmao!! I have nothing to spare. I had freezing rain all day and then whatever the hell is out there now. I can send a snowball is what I believe I can muster up. Did you really not get anything up that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 2:00 AM, Buddy1987 said: Lmao!! I have nothing to spare. I had freezing rain all day and then whatever the hell is out there now. I can send a snowball is what I believe I can muster up. Did you really not get anything up that way? Expand No I got 2 inches and then mostly ZR all day. But it never hurts to ask for more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 8:19 PM, WxUSAF said: Yeah, I think so too. Expand We are LOOOOOOONG overdue for a -AO winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 5:24 AM, psuhoffman said: We are LOOOOOOONG overdue for a -AO winter Expand The WDI meter for that must surely be at critical mass...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Did eps lose the blocking and ao? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 10:32 AM, Ji said: Did eps lose the blocking and ao? Expand The AO trends basically neutral and the NAO slightly positive by the end of the month. Btw that area of +heights on the means focused in the WA is not exactly the block we want. 50-50 high! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 I think after the Christmas trough there will be a brief opportunity. I just think the heights look too high in 50/50 location for the Christmas storm even if it does kind of dive down south and Negative tilt. Gfs para nailed today’s storm pretty well imo. A lot better than the OP. I might start giving it more serious look these days... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Rest up weenies, because we're not done. Lots of chances on overnight GFS and Euro runs. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 1:41 PM, WxUSAF said: Rest up weenies, because we're not done. Lots of chances on overnight GFS and Euro runs. Expand Never trusting models again. So whats it show? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 1:41 PM, WxUSAF said: Rest up weenies, because we're not done. Lots of chances on overnight GFS and Euro runs. Expand good to know you saw some potential. I saw Ji's post about losing the AO/blocking on the EPS. that deflated my weenie. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 1:45 PM, H2O said: Never trusting models again. So whats it show? Expand 6z GFS is pretty close to an event next Monday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Very cold OP run post christmas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 when is the next one? 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 On 12/17/2020 at 1:45 PM, WxUSAF said: 6z GFS is pretty close to an event next Monday Expand I'm sure there will be a 5m layer somewhere above me with +20C temps that will show on models 12 hours before the event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 This was a good warmup for an upcoming (date TBD) 50" BECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now